Ralph Lauren Corporation · RL · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026

Ralph Lauren raises FY2026 outlook as full-price demand accelerates

The current and prior analyses support a constructive operating thesis: resilient full-price demand, Asia growth, direct-to-consumer expansion, and brand investment are driving momentum, while tariffs, wholesale changes, and price resistance remain the key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $21.66B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.22 Consensus $5.80
EPS surprise +7.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.41B Consensus $2.31B
Revenue surprise +4.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.5% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.1% Up to 20 sessions
RLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shows stronger reported momentum than the prior quarter, with Q3 revenue growth at 10%, AUR growth at 18%, a raised FY2026 outlook, record additions of 2.1 million direct-to-consumer customers, and expanded digital-commerce initiatives.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 guidance, with high-single-digit to low-double-digit revenue growth expected.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue grew 10% year over year, while AUR increased 18%.
  • Full-price demand, Asia growth, and direct-to-consumer expansion supported momentum.
  • Management highlighted AI shopping tools, TikTok Shop, store expansion, and brand activations.

Management priorities

  • Expand direct-to-consumer channels and social commerce
  • Scale AI and digital shopping tools
  • Invest in global stores, logistics, and brand activations

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $1.66 Q4 '24 actual $1.71, beat Q1 '25 estimate $2.47 Q1 '25 actual $2.70, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.41 Q2 '25 actual $2.54, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.51 Q1 '26 actual $3.77, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.45 Q2 '26 actual $3.79, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5.80 Q3 '26 actual $6.22, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.55 Q4 '26 actual $2.80, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4.32 Q1 '27 actual $4.59, beat Q2 '27 estimate $4.21 Q3 '27 estimate $6.91 Q4 '27 estimate $3.23
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy48 ratings
Bullish3266.7%
Neutral1327.1%
Bearish36.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$363.75Current
$102Low
$303.06Average
$511High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 21, 2026
Raymond James Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJul 21, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 16, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainFeb 6, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJan 15, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainMay 23, 2025
BMO Capital Underperform UnderperformMaintainMay 23, 2025
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainFeb 7, 2025
Wedbush Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 11, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainAug 11, 2023
OTR Global Positive MixedUpgradeApr 28, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 10, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 10, 2023
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainDec 16, 2021
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeJan 15, 2021
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 27, 2020
PiperJaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 8, 2019
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 8, 2019
Atlantic Equities Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 24, 2019
Bank of America Underperform UnderperformMaintainAug 26, 2019
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 15, 2019
Buckingham Research Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 9, 2019
Buckingham Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 9, 2019
Miller Tabak Sell HoldDowngradeNov 20, 2017
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainNov 3, 2017
Tigress Financial Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 25, 2017
CLSA Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2016
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 27, 2016
Brean Capital Hold HoldMaintainAug 11, 2016
Standpoint Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 8, 2016
BB&T Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 20, 2016
Susquehanna Outperform PositiveMaintainNov 3, 2015
Stephens & Co. Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeJul 13, 2015
Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 9, 2015
Janney Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 9, 2015
ISI Group Strong Buy BuyUpgradeSep 9, 2014
McNicoll Lewis Vlak Buy BuyMaintainMay 12, 2014
Maxim Group Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2014
Bank oferica Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 10, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $363.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Telsey AdvisoryDana Telsey$470$395.63 +29.2%Aug 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$425$397.6 +16.8%Aug 7, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$460$389.42 +26.5%Aug 7, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$460$395.83 +26.5%Aug 7, 2026
BarclaysPaul Kearney$463$395.83 +27.3%Aug 7, 2026
Deutsche BankKrisztina Katai$446$395.83 +22.6%Aug 7, 2026
NeedhamTom Nikic$450$395.83 +23.7%Aug 6, 2026
Deutsche BankKrisztina Katai$441$379.22 +21.2%Aug 4, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$425$376.48 +16.8%Jul 21, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$410$376.48 +12.7%Jul 21, 2026
Telsey AdvisoryAnalyst unavailable$460$407.84 +26.5%Jun 23, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$437$372.43 +20.1%May 22, 2026
UBSJay Sole$511$375.34 +40.5%May 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$415$374.8 +14.1%May 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$439$374.8 +20.7%May 22, 2026
NeedhamTom Nikic$405$375.88 +11.3%May 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$480$359.66 +32.0%May 5, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$420$337.61 +15.5%Feb 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$477$341.35 +31.1%Feb 6, 2026
BTIGBob Drbul$435$338.66 +19.6%Feb 6, 2026
BarclaysPaul Kearney$416$338.66 +14.4%Feb 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$474$353.82 +30.3%Jan 28, 2026
Deutsche BankKrisztina Katai$422$366.18 +16.0%Jan 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$473$360.94 +30.0%Jan 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$409$358.52 +12.4%Jan 6, 2026
Telsey AdvisoryAnalyst unavailable$435$366.61 +19.6%Dec 17, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$400$371.66 +10.0%Dec 16, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$425$367.5 +16.8%Dec 12, 2025
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$385$355.89 +5.8%Dec 3, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$375$319.66 +3.1%Nov 3, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$385$338.47 +5.8%Oct 23, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$421$332.12 +15.7%Oct 23, 2025
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$400$317.92 +10.0%Oct 14, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$352$317.23 -3.2%Oct 14, 2025
Telsey AdvisoryDana Telsey$350$306.12 -3.8%Sep 17, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$365$306.12 +0.3%Sep 17, 2025
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$335$299.24 -7.9%Aug 5, 2025
Telsey AdvisoryAnalyst unavailable$335$304.45 -7.9%Aug 4, 2025
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$300$273.96 -17.5%May 23, 2025
UBSJay Sole$384$274.08 +5.6%May 23, 2025
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$275$264.51 -24.4%May 14, 2025
BarclaysPaul Kearney$260$219.96 -28.5%Apr 28, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$262$209.59 -28.0%Apr 22, 2025
UBSJay Sole$315$237.34 -13.4%Jan 10, 2025
Telsey AdvisoryDana Telsey$247$219.02 -32.1%Nov 8, 2024
CitigroupPaul Lejuez$189$203.03 -48.0%Oct 29, 2024
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$205$199.19 -43.6%Oct 23, 2024
CFRAZachary Warring$171$203.24 -53.0%Oct 17, 2024
BarclaysPaul Kearney$200$159.39 -45.0%Aug 8, 2024
Raymond JamesRick Patel$195$171.46 -46.4%May 24, 2024
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$180$169.57 -50.5%May 24, 2024
CFRAZachary Warring$160$169.57 -56.0%May 23, 2024
BMO CapitalSimeon Siegel$113$168.48 -68.9%May 23, 2024
UBSJay Sole$250$166.98 -31.3%May 16, 2024
JefferiesAshley Helgans$195$167.03 -46.4%Apr 30, 2024
Goldman SachsRalph Lauren$132$138.39 -63.7%Dec 13, 2023
J.P. MorganMatthew Boss$141$128.49 -61.2%Aug 10, 2023
Telsey AdvisoryDana Telsey$155$132.78 -57.4%Aug 4, 2023
Telsey AdvisoryDana Telsey$140$117.71 -61.5%Feb 9, 2023
Cowen & Co.Cowen Cowen$132$100.12 -63.7%Nov 17, 2022
UBSJay Sole$130$100.24 -64.3%Nov 11, 2022
UBSJay Sole$162$99.79 -55.5%Jun 13, 2022
Credit SuisseMichael Binetti$130$93.24 -64.3%May 20, 2022
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$110$105.61 -69.8%Apr 9, 2022
Deutsche BankGabriella Carbone$136$117.95 -62.6%Feb 4, 2022
Evercore ISIOmar Saad$160$117.95 -56.0%Feb 4, 2022
Truist FinancialBeth Reed$156$117 -57.1%Feb 3, 2022
Cowen & Co.John Kernan$171$117 -53.0%Feb 3, 2022
Goldman SachsBrooke Roach$110$115.48 -69.8%Dec 14, 2021
BMO CapitalSimeon Siegel$110$121.48 -69.8%Nov 3, 2021
Piper SandlerErinn Murphy$102$118.24 -72.0%May 21, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ralph Lauren Corporation is a prominent international entity primarily involved in the creation, marketing, and distribution of premium lifestyle goods across North America, Europe, Asia, and other global regions. The company's diverse product range includes: Apparel: A comprehensive selection of clothing for men, women, and children. Footwear & Accessories: Various shoe styles (casual, dress, boots, sneakers, sandals), eyewear, timepieces, both fashion and fine jewelry, scarves, hats, gloves, umbrellas, and an assortment of leather items like handbags, luggage, small leather goods, and belts. Home Goods: Linens for bed and bath, furniture, fabric and wall coverings, lighting solutions, tabletop items, kitchen textiles, floor coverings, and giftware. Fragrances: A variety of scents developed for both men and women.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T17:46:09.553177+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T17:46:09.550451+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.