Raymond James Financial, Inc. · RJF · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

Raymond James Q3 2026: Record Revenue, AI Rollout, Clark Capital Close

Raymond James delivered its second consecutive record quarter in FY2026, with Q3 revenue of $3.93 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and pretax income of $750 million. Three structural drivers are compounding: (1) adviser recruiting continues to generate organic asset growth at a high retention rate, (2) the proprietary 'Raymond' AI assistant reached full enterprise rollout with 6,500 users and 99.5% satisfaction, and (3) the Clark Capital acquisition closed, adding approximately $47 billion in combined AUM and non-discretionary assets. The loan portfolio hit a record $56.2 billion with securities-based balances up 34% YoY. The balance sheet remains well-capitalized at an 11.7% Tier 1 leverage ratio, and the firm has repurchased $1.6 billion of stock over the trailing year. Management maintained its guidance stance and expressed confidence in sustaining momentum into the fourth quarter.…

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $33.46B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Raymond James Financial, Inc. operates as a comprehensive financial services firm, extending a wide array of services to individuals, businesses, and governmental entities throughout the United States, Canada, and Europe. Its diverse operations are categorized into several key segments: Private Client Group, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Banking, and an "Other" category. The Private Client Group division equips clients with various investment solutions, personalized portfolio management, a selection of insurance and annuity products, and mutual funds. This segment also provides essential backing to third-party product partners, covering aspects like sales and marketing support, distribution, accounting, and general administrative assistance. Additionally, it facilitates margin loans and offers securities borrowing and lending services.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.14 Consensus $3
EPS surprise +7.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.93B Consensus $3.87B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RJF REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $561M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q3 '26 actual $4B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $4B Q3 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish1144.0%
Neutral1456.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$174.16Previous close
$123Low
$158.81Average
$205High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 23, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 23, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 10, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainApr 6, 2026
Show 17 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $174.16. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$184$172.75 +5.6%Jul 27, 2026
Raymond JamesMichael Cho$179$164.91 +2.8%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesBrennan Hawken$175$165.16 +0.5%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesDevin Ryan$205$168.01 +17.7%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$174$169.45 -0.1%Jul 10, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$192$169.9 +10.2%Jul 9, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$200$165.35 +14.8%Jul 9, 2026
UBSMichael Brown$175$166.58 +0.5%Jul 8, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$155$143.22 -11.0%May 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$166$156.16 -4.7%Apr 23, 2026
See 35 more

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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.1% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.8% Up to 20 sessions
RJFSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared to Q2 FY2026, Raymond James extended its record revenue streak from $3.86 billion to $3.93 billion while accelerating year-over-year growth from 13% to 16%. The Clark Capital acquisition moved from pending to closed, adding ~$47 billion in assets. The AI initiative evolved from an operations agent providing natural-language guidance to a full enterprise rollout of the 'Raymond' assistant with 6,500 users. Securities-based loan growth accelerated from 31% to 34% YoY, with total loans rising from $54.8 billion to a record $56.2 billion. The Tier 1 leverage ratio stepped down from 12.4% to 11.7%, and the capex outlook shifted from stable to increasing. The cash-sweep class-action litigation is now flagged as an ongoing legal expense headwind.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance stance, consistent with the prior quarter's maintained posture. The capex outlook was raised from stable to increasing, reflecting continued commitment to $1.1 billion in annual technology spend and further AI investment. Management expressed confidence in sustaining momentum into Q4 but did not disclose a specific fourth-quarter revenue or earnings target in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 revenue of $3.93 billion (up 16% YoY) and pretax income of $750 million, extending the prior quarter's record streak.
  • Adviser recruiting pipeline and 97% adviser satisfaction underpin organic growth; recruiting remains the firm's primary growth engine.
  • Proprietary AI assistant 'Raymond' reached full enterprise rollout with 6,500 users and 99.5% satisfaction, backed by $1.1 billion in annual technology spend.
  • Clark Capital acquisition closed, adding approximately $47 billion in combined AUM and non-discretionary assets to the wealth-management platform.
  • Record loan portfolio of $56.2 billion, with securities-based loan balances up 34% year-over-year.
  • Balance sheet remains well-capitalized with an 11.7% Tier 1 leverage ratio and $1.6 billion in share repurchases over the trailing year.

Management priorities

  • Scale the Raymond AI assistant and expand AI Academy education across the adviser workforce.
  • Sustain $1.1 billion in annual technology investment to support adviser productivity and client experience.
  • Pursue additional strategic acquisitions to broaden wealth-management capabilities.
  • Maintain capital returns through ongoing share repurchases and dividends.
  • Grow fee-based assets and expand the securities-based lending franchise.

Related earnings events

Financial Services

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-23T01:03:34.927740+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-30T01:23:13.872335+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-30T08:53:31.148528+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-30T08:53:31.145873+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.