Regions Financial Corporation · RF · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Regions beats Q1 EPS, misses revenue as asset spreads tighten

Regions enters 2026 from a strong base: Q1 EPS beat consensus with 18% ROE, and the path to net interest income growth rests on 2% loan growth, declining deposit costs, and fixed-rate asset repricing into longer-duration securities. Management reaffirmed its net interest income and noninterest revenue outlook despite a modestly softer quarter. The bank is investing in AI and a new commercial lending system while returning capital through buybacks and dividends with CET1 near 10.4% on a pro forma basis. The central tension is margin: tighter asset spreads and competitive deposit pricing could restrain the net interest income expansion the thesis depends on, and the deliberate securities-duration extension — at a $40M realized loss — is a near-term trade-off for future yield.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $23.26B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.62 Consensus $0.60
EPS surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.87B Consensus $1.91B
Revenue surprise -2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.8% Event window
SPY move +1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.2% Up to 20 sessions
RFSPY benchmark

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What changed

Q1 EPS beat consensus by roughly 3.9% while revenue trailed by about 2.2%, as tighter asset spreads kept net interest margin slightly below expectations. Regions sold $900M of short-duration securities at a $40M loss to extend duration and improve yields. Despite the softer quarter, management maintained its net interest income and noninterest revenue guidance and its capital-return framework.

Guidance delta

Guidance maintained. Management reaffirmed net interest income and noninterest revenue growth for the year, with low single-digit loan growth expected, and said deposit cost declines plus fixed-rate asset repricing should drive margin expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 EPS of $0.62 beat estimates by roughly 3.9%, with ROE of 18%; revenue of $1.873B came in about 2.2% below consensus.
  • Net interest margin slipped slightly on tighter asset spreads; management expects deposit cost declines and asset repricing to drive expansion.
  • Loan growth of 2% and low-single-digit deposit growth supported net interest income.
  • Wealth management (+9% YoY) and treasury management payments (+6%) offset a 2% decline in noninterest revenue.
  • Capital remained strong (CET1 ~10.4% pro forma), supporting ongoing buybacks and dividends.

Management priorities

  • Launch the commercial lending system and small-business digital origination platform in summer 2026.
  • Pilot deposit conversion in Q3 2026, with full conversion slated for 2027.
  • Continue hiring across commercial banking, wealth management, and branch networks.
  • Extend the duration of newly purchased securities to improve yields.
  • Maintain share repurchases and dividends while monitoring regulatory capital changes.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RF EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.45 Q1 '24 actual $0.37, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.48 Q2 '24 actual $0.52, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.53 Q3 '24 actual $0.49, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.56 Q2 '25 actual $0.60, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.60 Q3 '25 actual $0.63, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.61 Q4 '25 actual $0.57, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '26 actual $0.62, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.63 Q2 '26 actual $0.68, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.66 Q4 '26 estimate $0.69 Q1 '27 estimate $0.67 Q2 '27 estimate $0.70
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold52 ratings
Bullish2140.4%
Neutral2751.9%
Bearish47.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$27.62Current
$18Low
$28.16Average
$36High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 23, 2026
Baird Neutral UnderperformUpgradeSep 18, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 8, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 21, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 20, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 20, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 7, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 6, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 6, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 20, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 30, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainJan 5, 2026
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeOct 14, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2025
Compass Point Buy BuyMaintainDec 10, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeOct 24, 2024
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeOct 24, 2024
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 21, 2024
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2024
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 3, 2024
Odeon Capital Hold BuyDowngradeNov 13, 2023
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeDec 1, 2022
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 21, 2022
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 25, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2020
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 7, 2020
Janney Montgomery Scott Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 21, 2020
Janney Capital Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 21, 2020
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 12, 2019
Citi Sell NeutralDowngradeOct 8, 2019
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 11, 2019
Sandler O'Neill Buy HoldUpgradeMar 25, 2019
B. Riley FBR Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 5, 2018
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 24, 2018
FBR Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 10, 2017
Susquehanna Neutral PositiveDowngradeDec 1, 2016
PiperJaffray Neutral OverweightDowngradeNov 16, 2016
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 16, 2016
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeJun 6, 2016
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 1, 2016
Sterne Agee CRT Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2015
Sterne Agee Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2015
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 28, 2015
Wunderlich Securities Hold BuyDowngradeJan 21, 2015
Wunderlich Hold BuyDowngradeJan 21, 2015
Miller Tabak Buy HoldUpgradeAug 8, 2014
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2013
Sandler O'Neil Buy HoldUpgradeMar 6, 2013
Rafferty Capital Buy BuyMaintainFeb 28, 2013
Drexel Hamilton Hold HoldMaintainOct 2, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $27.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$31$27.6 +12.2%Sep 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$36$30.42 +30.3%Sep 8, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$34$30.7 +23.1%Aug 27, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldDave Rochester$35$31.11 +26.7%Jul 21, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$34$31.11 +23.1%Jul 21, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$34$31.3 +23.1%Jul 20, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$34$31.65 +23.1%Jul 20, 2026
JefferiesDavid Chiaverini$32$31.65 +15.9%Jul 17, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$34$30.92 +23.1%Jul 15, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$31$30.36 +12.2%Jul 6, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$33$30.28 +19.5%Jul 6, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$28$30.28 +1.4%Jul 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$35$30.16 +26.7%Jun 29, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$30$28.41 +8.6%Apr 21, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$31$28.38 +12.2%Apr 20, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$32$28.13 +15.9%Apr 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$30$30.48 +8.6%Feb 4, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$31$27.77 +12.2%Jan 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$31$27.77 +12.2%Jan 19, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$30$28.52 +8.6%Jan 16, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$32$28.18 +15.9%Jan 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$30$27.56 +8.6%Jan 5, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$29$27.78 +5.0%Dec 22, 2025
StephensAnalyst unavailable$27$24.56 -2.2%Oct 14, 2025
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$29$26.5 +5.0%Sep 30, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$32$26.63 +15.9%Sep 29, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldDave Rochester$30$26.82 +8.6%Sep 9, 2025
BarclaysJason Goldberg$27$26.24 -2.2%Jul 21, 2025
StephensTerry McEvoy$26$24.08 -5.9%Oct 29, 2024
Argus ResearchKevin Heal$26$23.78 -5.9%Oct 24, 2024
Deutsche BankMatt O'Connor$26$23.64 -5.9%Oct 24, 2024
Truist FinancialBrandon King$26$23.82 -5.9%Oct 21, 2024
D.A. DavidsonPeter Winter$29$23.82 +5.0%Oct 21, 2024
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$26$22.54 -5.9%Oct 2, 2024
WedbushDavid Chiaverini$28$22.91 +1.4%Sep 24, 2024
CitigroupKeith Horowitz$26$22.72 -5.9%Sep 19, 2024
Piper SandlerScott Siefers$23$23.07 -16.7%Sep 3, 2024
Morgan StanleyBetsy Graseck$28$22.43 +1.4%Jul 30, 2024
D.A. DavidsonPeter Winter$26$22.39 -5.9%Jul 22, 2024
Truist FinancialBrandon King$23$22.39 -16.7%Jul 22, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid George$21$22.09 -24.0%Jul 22, 2024
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$23$22.09 -16.7%Jul 22, 2024
Wells FargoMike Mayo$22$22.09 -20.3%Jul 21, 2024
JefferiesKen Usdin$24$20.09 -13.1%Jul 3, 2024
UBSErika Najarian$22$20.51 -20.3%Apr 4, 2024
Piper SandlerScott Siefers$15$14.1 -45.7%Oct 25, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$29$21.92 +5.0%Jan 3, 2023
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$25$20.71 -9.5%Dec 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$28$20.4 +1.4%Dec 16, 2022
JefferiesKen Usdin$22$18.92 -20.3%Jul 11, 2022
UBSErika Najarian$32$24.59 +15.9%Jan 12, 2022
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$27$23.88 -2.2%Nov 16, 2021
Odeon Capital Group LLCRichard Bove$27.7$23.8 +0.3%Nov 10, 2021
Piper SandlerStephen Scouten$28$23.85 +1.4%Oct 25, 2021
Wells FargoMike Mayo$24$21.49 -13.1%Oct 4, 2021
KBWDavid Konrad$18$19.12 -34.8%Jul 6, 2021
Compass PointDave Rochester$25$22.19 -9.5%May 18, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Regions Financial Corporation (RF) operates as a financial holding company, delivering a comprehensive array of banking and related services to both individual consumers and corporate entities. The firm's operations are strategically divided into three principal divisions: Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank, and Wealth Management. The Corporate Bank segment specializes in commercial banking solutions. Its extensive offerings include various lending options such as commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate financing, and investor real estate credit. Furthermore, it provides equipment lease financing, manages diverse deposit products, and offers sophisticated capital markets services like securities underwriting and placement, loan syndication, foreign exchange, derivatives, and merger and acquisition advisory, along with other consulting services. This segment primarily serves corporate clients, middle-market businesses, and developers and investors in commercial real estate.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T20:11:15.067111+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T20:11:15.063197+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.