Rogers Communications Inc. · RCI · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Rogers raises guidance as MLSE and new networks reshape growth

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: improved guidance, deleveraging and new connectivity products strengthen Rogers' growth profile, while MLSE execution, competition and regulation could limit delivery.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $17.50B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.82 Consensus $0.80
EPS surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.83B Consensus $5.31B
Revenue surprise -27.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.3% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.2% Up to 20 sessions
RCISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Rogers had completed the Blackstone-led equity investment and acquired a controlling MLSE stake; management also raised revenue guidance and highlighted satellite texting, 5G Advanced and broader Wi‑Fi 7 deployment.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2025 revenue-growth guidance to 3–5% and expected capex at the low end of the $3.8–4.0 billion range.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 analysis points to 2% growth in consolidated service revenue and adjusted EBITDA.
  • Leverage fell to about 3.5x after the Blackstone-led equity investment and MLSE transaction.
  • Satellite-to-mobile texting, 5G Advanced and Wi‑Fi 7 broaden the service offering.
  • Sports and media assets remain a central monetization opportunity.
  • Competition, regulation and integration execution remain key risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute and monetize the controlling MLSE stake.
  • Expand satellite service, 5G Advanced and nationwide Wi‑Fi 7.
  • Grow high-margin services while keeping capex at the low end of guidance.
  • Use multiline discounts and service additions to support account growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RCI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.83 Q2 '24 actual $0.85, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.07 Q3 '24 actual $1.04, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.80 Q2 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.92 Q3 '25 actual $0.99, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.98 Q4 '25 actual $1.08, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.73 Q1 '26 actual $0.74, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.80 Q2 '26 actual $0.83, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.84 Q3 '26 actual $0.92, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.95 Q1 '27 estimate $0.69 Q2 '27 estimate $0.78 Q3 '27 estimate $0.88
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish1144.0%
Neutral1352.0%
Bearish14.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$32.39Current
$35Low
$47Average
$70High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 13, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 23, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 14, 2025
TD Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 19, 2024
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 19, 2024
Canaccord Genuity Hold BuyDowngradeJul 25, 2024
National Bank Financial Inc Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 28, 2023
Desjardins Buy HoldUpgradeJan 28, 2022
JP Morgan Underweight NeutralDowngradeJul 8, 2019
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector OutperformDowngradeApr 22, 2019
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeJan 25, 2019
Edward Jones Hold BuyDowngradeNov 29, 2018
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainNov 17, 2017
CIBC Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 5, 2017
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 19, 2016
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 22, 2015
Euro Pacific Capital Hold BuyDowngradeJan 26, 2015
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 20, 2014
National Bank Financial Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeOct 20, 2014
Cormark Securities Market Perform BuyDowngradeFeb 20, 2014
Veritas Research Buy SellUpgradeSep 3, 2013
Veritas Buy SellUpgradeSep 3, 2013
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 23, 2013
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainFeb 19, 2013
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainFeb 19, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $32.39. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysLauren Bonham$35$29.9 +8.1%Oct 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$36$33.86 +11.1%Jul 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$37$36.49 +14.2%Jan 27, 2026
BMO CapitalTim Casey$70$40.19 +116.1%Sep 19, 2024
BarclaysLauren Bonham$46$40.35 +42.0%Apr 10, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Rogers Communications Inc., a prominent Canadian telecommunications and media conglomerate, structures its diverse operations across three core divisions: Wireless, Cable, and Media. In its Wireless segment, Rogers caters to approximately 11.3 million subscribers through its Rogers, Fido, and chatr brands. This division offers an extensive range of mobile services, including internet access, traditional and enhanced voice communication, wireless home phone, and global voice and data roaming. Customers also benefit from device and accessory financing, device protection plans, email, and convenient device delivery services. Furthermore, Rogers provides specialized wireless solutions for businesses, encompassing machine-to-machine (M2M) connectivity, Internet of Things (IoT) platforms, and landline bridging. The Cable division delivers high-speed internet and comprehensive WiFi services.…

Historical context

All RCI earnings

Communication Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
OMC Omnicom Group Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +2.2% +2.6% Omnicom pairs resilient demand with AI and integration progress
SPOT Spotify Technology S.A. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 -11.6% +11.1% Spotify: resilient Q3 demand, with AI and audiobooks central to growth
CMCSA Comcast Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +8.5% +3.4% Comcast balances wireless and Peacock gains against Q4 costs

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T08:30:43.460771+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T08:30:43.457992+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.