Rubrik, Inc. · RBRK · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Rubrik raises FY2027 outlook as cloud ARR reaches 89%

The supplied analysis supports the view that resilient demand for cyber resilience, identity protection and AI governance can support Rubrik's growth over the next year. Evidence includes 32% year-over-year subscription ARR growth, 120% net revenue retention, 89% cloud ARR and raised guidance; adoption speed, competition, hardware costs and regulation remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $23.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.16 Consensus $-0.03
EPS surprise +637.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $387.1M Consensus $366.3M
Revenue surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.7% Event window
SPY move -2.6% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +18.6% Up to 20 sessions
RBRKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised. The current analysis adds 89% cloud ARR, a Predibase acquisition and Anthropic-related partnership activity, while continuing to emphasize Agent Cloud, identity protection and cyber resilience.

Guidance delta

Raised, according to the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported record fiscal Q1 performance, with subscription ARR up 32% year over year and net revenue retention at 120%.
  • Cloud ARR reached 89% of subscription ARR, indicating the cloud transition is nearing completion.
  • Management highlighted Rubrik Agent Cloud, Identity Resilience and AI-governance initiatives as growth areas.
  • The company cited Anthropic and Predibase developments as additions to its AI-security capabilities.

Management priorities

  • Increase R&D investment in data, security and AI platforms
  • Expand go-to-market efforts for Identity Resilience and Rubrik Agent Cloud
  • Build partnerships with cloud and AI platform providers
  • Continue developing the unified Rubrik platform and AI-governance capabilities

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RBRK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $-1.83 Q1 '25 actual $-1.58, beat Q2 '25 estimate $-0.49 Q2 '25 actual $-0.40, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-0.32 Q1 '26 actual $-0.15, beat Q2 '26 estimate $-0.34 Q2 '26 actual $-0.03, beat Q3 '26 estimate $-0.17 Q3 '26 actual $0.10, beat Q4 '26 estimate $-0.11 Q4 '26 actual $0.04, beat Q1 '27 estimate $-0.03 Q1 '27 actual $0.16, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.04 Q2 '27 actual $0.20, beat Q3 '27 estimate $0.08 Q4 '27 estimate $0.06 Q1 '28 estimate $0.15 Q2 '28 estimate $0.19
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy22 ratings
Bullish22100.0%
Neutral00.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$115.57Previous close
$41Low
$81.13Average
$120High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 31, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainAug 28, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 28, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 28, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainAug 28, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 28, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 28, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 25, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 19, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 19, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 15, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 11, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 11, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 5, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainFeb 9, 2026
William Blair Outperform Market PerformUpgradeDec 5, 2025
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainJun 6, 2025
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $115.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Cantor FitzgeraldJonathan Ruykhaver$120$94.92 +3.8%Aug 28, 2026
D.A. DavidsonRudy Kessinger$115$96.69 -0.5%Aug 28, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$120$107.02 +3.8%Aug 28, 2026
ScotiabankJoe Vandrick$114$98.04 -1.4%Aug 25, 2026
OppenheimerParam Singh$120$99.47 +3.8%Aug 20, 2026
UBSMatthew Martino$106$100.55 -8.3%Aug 19, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$100$74.74 -13.5%Aug 3, 2026
D.A. DavidsonRudy Kessinger$90$67.94 -22.1%Jun 11, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldJonathan Ruykhaver$95$71.32 -17.8%Jun 11, 2026
StephensRen Hefley$90$77 -22.1%Jun 5, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$95$77 -17.8%Jun 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$90$77 -22.1%Jun 5, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$90$77 -22.1%Jun 5, 2026
Truist FinancialJunaid Siddiqui$90$77 -22.1%Jun 5, 2026
BTIGGray Powell$91$77 -21.3%Jun 5, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$95$77 -17.8%Jun 5, 2026
OppenheimerRubrik to Outperform$85$64.33 -26.5%May 20, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$70$53.18 -39.4%May 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$65$52.28 -43.8%Apr 27, 2026
ScotiabankJoe Vandrick$70$53.6 -39.4%Apr 20, 2026
CIBCTodd Coupland$110$51.84 -4.8%Mar 16, 2026
BMO CapitalKeith Bachman$70$53.6 -39.4%Mar 13, 2026
D.A. DavidsonRudy Kessinger$70$54.5 -39.4%Mar 13, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldJonathan Ruykhaver$85$54.02 -26.5%Mar 13, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$65$47.26 -43.8%Feb 23, 2026
StephensTodd Weller$105$78.01 -9.1%Dec 29, 2025
KeyBancEric Heath$113$70.43 -2.2%Dec 5, 2025
GuggenheimJohn DiFucci$110$70.43 -4.8%Dec 5, 2025
GuggenheimJohn DiFucci$108$69.32 -6.6%Dec 1, 2025
Truist FinancialJoel Fishbein$50$43.48 -56.7%Nov 18, 2024
BMO CapitalKeith Bachman$38$29.91 -67.1%Sep 10, 2024
CitigroupFatima Boolani$48$29.82 -58.5%Sep 10, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$43$29.87 -62.8%Sep 10, 2024
Piper SandlerRubrik one$42$33.41 -63.7%Aug 19, 2024
Robert W. BairdShrenik Kothari$42$33.85 -63.7%Jul 15, 2024
KeyBancEric Heath$48$34.74 -58.5%Jun 12, 2024
Cantor FitzgeraldYi Fu Lee$50$30.26 -56.7%May 30, 2024
CIBCTodd Coupland$50$34.83 -56.7%May 22, 2024
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$42$36.07 -63.7%May 21, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsEric Heath$46$36.07 -60.2%May 20, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$46$36.57 -60.2%May 20, 2024
Truist FinancialJoel Fishbein$43$36.57 -62.8%May 20, 2024
Wells FargoAndrew Nowinski$42$36.57 -63.7%May 20, 2024
BarclaysSaket Kalia$41$36.57 -64.5%May 20, 2024
BMO CapitalKeith Bachman$40$36.57 -65.4%May 20, 2024
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$48$36.57 -58.5%May 20, 2024
GuggenheimJohn DiFucci$48$36.57 -58.5%May 20, 2024
KeyBancEric Heath$46$36.57 -60.2%May 20, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Rubrik, Inc. operates as a global provider of advanced data security solutions, catering to a wide range of individuals and businesses. The company's comprehensive suite of offerings addresses various aspects of data protection, including securing enterprise data, unstructured data, cloud environments, and Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) applications. Beyond foundational protection, Rubrik also furnishes tools for data threat analytics, assessing an organization's security posture, and critical cyber recovery capabilities to aid in post-incident remediation. Rubrik serves an extensive array of sectors, counting financial services, retail, trade, transportation, energy, industrial, healthcare, life sciences, education, technology, media, communications, and government entities among its clientele. Established in 2013, the company was initially known as Scaledata, Inc., rebranding to Rubrik, Inc. in October 2014. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Palo Alto, California.

Historical context

All RBRK earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-05T08:24:27.897545+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T06:50:59.380507+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T06:50:59.377457+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.