QUALCOMM Incorporated · QCOM · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

Qualcomm advances diversification as memory costs pressure margins

Qualcomm's Q3 analysis supports a constructive diversification thesis: automotive momentum strengthened, non-handset growth remained central, and data-center products moved closer to commercialization. The evidence is balanced by unresolved margin pressure, handset-share risk, supply constraints, and execution uncertainty around new businesses.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $208.18B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.21 Consensus $2.23
EPS surprise -0.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.95B Consensus $9.69B
Revenue surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.6% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.7% Up to 20 sessions
QCOMSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised. Qualcomm reported Q3 revenue and non-GAAP EPS at the top of guidance, raised its FY26 automotive outlook to approximately $7 billion, completed the Modular acquisition, and advanced its data-center roadmap. At the same time, memory-cost inflation and a reduced Apple share became more prominent constraints.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment changed from maintained in the prior quarter to raised in Q3 FY2026, with Q3 revenue and non-GAAP EPS at the top of guidance and the FY26 automotive outlook raised to approximately $7 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 FY2026 revenue was $9.9 billion and non-GAAP EPS was $2.21, both at the top of guidance.
  • Non-handset businesses are accelerating, with management targeting $40 billion of revenue by FY29.
  • Automotive reached record quarterly revenue of $1.6 billion, and the FY26 automotive outlook was raised to approximately $7 billion.
  • Data-center initiatives are advancing, with custom-silicon revenue expected to begin in the December quarter and High-Bandwidth Compute targeted for a mid-2027 launch.
  • Memory-cost inflation is pressuring margins; management described double-digit price increases as a response.

Management priorities

  • Scale non-handset businesses across data center, automotive, IoT, and industrial markets.
  • Ramp custom silicon and AI accelerator revenue beginning in the December quarter.
  • Advance High-Bandwidth Compute toward a mid-2027 first solution and server-class CPUs in FY28.
  • Integrate Modular's software stack and broaden the Snapdragon ecosystem through stated partnerships.
  • Use pricing actions to offset memory-cost inflation and restore gross margins.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
QCOM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.37 Q1 '24 actual $2.75, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.32 Q2 '24 actual $2.44, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.25 Q3 '24 actual $2.33, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.56 Q4 '24 actual $2.69, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.71 Q3 '25 actual $2.77, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.87 Q4 '25 actual $3.00, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.39 Q1 '26 actual $3.50, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.56 Q2 '26 actual $2.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.23 Q3 '26 actual $2.21, miss Q4 '26 estimate $2.38 Q1 '27 estimate $2.70
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold67 ratings
Bullish2943.3%
Neutral3349.2%
Bearish57.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$196.03Current
$120Low
$197.74Average
$400High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 9, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 9, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 63 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $196.04. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$190$176.4 -3.1%Sep 9, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$159$149.51 -18.9%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalSrini Pajjuri$160$149.81 -18.4%Jul 30, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$165$149.74 -15.8%Jul 30, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$165$155.68 -15.8%Jul 30, 2026
See 122 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

QUALCOMM Incorporated is a company dedicated to developing and bringing to market fundamental technologies crucial for the global wireless communication industry. Its operations are structured into three primary segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT), Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL), and Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives (QSI). The QCT division specializes in creating and supplying integrated circuits and system software, leveraging 3G, 4G, 5G, and other advanced wireless technologies. These components are essential for a range of products, including those used for wireless voice and data communication, networking, application processing, multimedia, and global positioning.…

Historical context

All QCOM earnings

Technology peers this season

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ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T17:11:51.527664+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T14:00:55.967367+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T14:00:55.964454+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.