Prudential Financial, Inc. · PRU · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Prudential balances Japan remediation with PGIM and retirement growth

The supplied analysis supports a mixed but constructive operating picture: retirement demand, PGIM credit expansion and growth in Brazil provide support, while Japan remediation, regulatory uncertainty, asset-management outflows and variable-annuity runoff constrain the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $41.21B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.30 Consensus $3.37
EPS surprise -2.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $14.52B Consensus $14.67B
Revenue surprise -1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.7% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.0% Up to 20 sessions
PRUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The central change was the disclosure of employee misconduct in Japan, a voluntary 90-day sales suspension and a customer-reimbursement and remediation process. Management also highlighted PGIM’s integrated $1 trillion credit platform, continued retirement and longevity demand, and portfolio optimization.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained. The supplied analysis identifies a $300–$350 million 2026 cost from Japan misconduct and a $150–$180 million sales impact from the suspension.

Key takeaways

  • Full-year performance was supported by retirement-strategy sales, PGIM credit capabilities and Brazil growth.
  • Japan misconduct led to a voluntary 90-day sales suspension, a customer-reimbursement program and material 2026 costs.
  • PGIM unified public and private credit capabilities while active-equity outflows remained a concern.
  • Capital strength and shareholder returns remained part of management’s stated focus.

Management priorities

  • Implement the Japan customer-reimbursement program and remediation process.
  • Retain Life Planners through training, compensation redesign and financial support.
  • Integrate PGIM credit capabilities and expand private-credit secondary strategies.
  • Prioritize U.S. retirement, Brazil and Europe while exiting non-core international businesses.
  • Pursue cost-efficiency benefits targeted at $150 million pretax run-rate by 2027.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PRU EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.61 Q4 '23 actual $2.58, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3.13 Q1 '24 actual $3.12, match Q2 '24 estimate $3.45 Q2 '24 actual $3.39, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3.47 Q3 '24 actual $3.48, match Q2 '25 estimate $3.22 Q2 '25 actual $3.58, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.72 Q3 '25 actual $4.26, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.37 Q4 '25 actual $3.30, miss Q1 '26 estimate $3.09 Q1 '26 actual $3.61, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.52 Q2 '26 actual $4.08, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.46 Q4 '26 estimate $3.28 Q1 '27 estimate $3.53
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish718.9%
Neutral2567.6%
Bearish513.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$118.75Current
$79Low
$107.73Average
$128High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 17, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 11, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $118.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$105$122.44 -11.6%Aug 24, 2026
Wells FargoWes Carmichael$110$124.54 -7.4%Aug 19, 2026
Piper SandlerPaul Newsome$128$122.11 +7.8%Aug 11, 2026
Atlantic EquitiesAnalyst unavailable$114$115.15 -4.0%Jul 15, 2026
JefferiesSuneet Kamath$110$115 -7.4%Jul 10, 2026
See 50 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Prudential Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Japan and internationally. It operates through PGIM, Retirement Strategies, Group Insurance, Individual Life, and International Businesses segments. The PGIM segment offers investment management services and solutions related to public fixed income, public equity, real estate debt and equity, private credit and other alternatives, and multi-asset class strategies to institutional and retail clients, as well as its insurance and retirement businesses. The Retirement Strategies segment provides a range of retirement investment, and income products and services to retirement plan sponsors in the public, private, and not-for-profit sectors; group annuities and other products; international reinsurance; investment only products; and FlexGuard suite, Fixed annuities, and variable annuities…

Historical context

All PRU earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T04:00:58.623483+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T04:00:58.621213+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.