PPG Industries, Inc. · PPG · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

PPG: Aerospace growth offsets refinish and cost pressures

PPG’s aerospace momentum, share gains, and AI-enabled product work support the growth case, but the near-term earnings path depends on refinish normalization, cost control, and successful capacity expansion.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $23.27B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.51 Consensus $1.58
EPS surprise -4.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.91B Consensus $3.78B
Revenue surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.3% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +3.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.4% Up to 20 sessions
PPGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the focus toward 2026 execution: aerospace capacity expansion and AI formulation are scaling, while refinish destocking and higher interest costs are creating near-term margin pressure. Guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management targets flat to low-single-digit organic sales growth and low-single-digit EPS growth for 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Aerospace demand is a central growth driver, but capacity constraints are prompting additional investment.
  • AI-enabled formulation and digital tools are supporting product development, productivity, and share gains.
  • Refinish destocking, higher interest costs, tariffs, and softer end markets temper the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Expand aerospace capacity through debottlenecking and new facilities.
  • Scale AI formulation across more products and continue digital body-shop tools.
  • Pursue share gains while delivering operational-excellence savings and disciplined capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PPG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $5B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $5B Q3 '24 actual $5B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish2054.1%
Neutral1540.5%
Bearish25.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$104.67Current
$115Low
$149.19Average
$194High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 30, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 17, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 6, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $104.67. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinJames Hooper$136$106.72 +29.9%Sep 24, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$133$105.05 +27.1%Sep 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$125$111.42 +19.4%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$122$111.73 +16.6%Jul 30, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$138$125.33 +31.8%Jul 6, 2026
See 61 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PPG Industries, Inc. operates globally as a manufacturer and distributor of paints, protective coatings, and various specialty materials. Its Performance Coatings division offers an extensive range of products, including paints, solvents, adhesives, sealants, and software, designed for the repair and refurbishment of automotive and commercial vehicles, light industrial applications, and signage. This segment also supplies advanced coatings, sealants, transparent components (such as transparent armor), engineered materials, and chemical management services to the commercial, military, and general aviation aerospace sectors. Furthermore, it develops protective coatings and finishes for metals and large-scale structures, serving metal fabricators, heavy-duty maintenance contractors, and manufacturers of ships, bridges, and rail cars.…

Historical context

All PPG earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T05:26:05.912051+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T05:26:05.909220+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.