Pool Corporation · POOL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

POOLCORP Holds Guidance as Digital Adoption and Margins Improve

The supplied Q3 analysis offers partial support for the idea that resilient maintenance and renovation demand can support growth: margins improved, building materials returned to year-over-year growth, and POOL360 adoption accelerated. The evidence is not conclusive because sales growth remained modest and management continues to flag rates, tariffs, weather and chemical deflation.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $5.88B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.39 Consensus $3.38
EPS surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.45B Consensus $999.1M
Revenue surprise +45.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.9% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -23.3% Up to 20 sessions
POOLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management moved from a lowered outlook to maintained full-year guidance. Q3 also showed 50 basis points of gross-margin expansion, the first year-over-year growth in building materials in three years, and POOL360 adoption at 17% of sales.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year sales guidance of flat to slightly up and EPS guidance of $10.81-$11.31, versus the prior quarter's lowered outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 net sales increased 1% year over year to $1.5 billion, while gross margin expanded 50 basis points to 29.6%.
  • Building-materials sales rose 4%, the segment's first year-over-year increase in three years, according to the supplied analysis.
  • POOL360 adoption reached 17% of quarterly sales, and management cited private-label products, technology and expansion as growth levers.
  • The demand backdrop remains mixed: higher borrowing rates, tariff uncertainty, weather and chemical price deflation remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Increase POOL360 adoption and roll out additional features.
  • Expand private-label chemicals and outdoor-living products.
  • Open 8-10 new sales centers in fiscal 2025 and continue acquisitions.
  • Invest in AI and supply-chain automation to improve efficiency.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
POOL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.91 Q1 '24 actual $2.04, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4.90 Q2 '24 actual $4.99, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.14 Q3 '24 actual $3.27, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.08 Q2 '25 actual $5.17, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.38 Q3 '25 actual $3.39, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.99 Q4 '25 actual $0.84, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.35 Q1 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.33 Q2 '26 actual $5.38, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.36 Q4 '26 estimate $0.79 Q1 '27 estimate $1.53 Q2 '27 estimate $5.71
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy20 ratings
Bullish1155.0%
Neutral840.0%
Bearish15.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$161.42Current
$185Low
$272.67Average
$460High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 24, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 24, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 20, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 20, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJan 13, 2026
CFRA Buy HoldUpgradeDec 23, 2025
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 15, 2025
Loop Capital Hold HoldMaintainOct 25, 2024
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeDec 8, 2023
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainFeb 13, 2023
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 25, 2023
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 19, 2022
Sidoti & Co. Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 8, 2020
Johnson Rice Buy AccumulateMaintainJul 24, 2017
Wunderlich Securities Buy BuyMaintainFeb 14, 2014
Wunderlich Buy BuyMaintainFeb 14, 2014
Wedbush Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 17, 2012
Morgan Keegan Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 17, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $161.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoSam Reid$185$175.76 +14.6%Sep 11, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGarik Shmois$210$188.24 +30.1%Aug 24, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$185$181.14 +14.6%Jul 24, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$227$183.14 +40.6%Jul 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$189$183.33 +17.1%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$260$183.33 +61.1%Jul 24, 2026
StephensTrey Grooms$225$183.33 +39.4%Jul 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$235$219.47 +45.6%Jul 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$210$187.77 +30.1%May 11, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$240$229.14 +48.7%Apr 24, 2026
OppenheimerScott Schneeberger$280$219.04 +73.5%Feb 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$232$221.62 +43.7%Feb 23, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$246$218.36 +52.4%Feb 20, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$300$218.36 +85.9%Feb 20, 2026
Wells FargoSam Reid$275$267.33 +70.4%Feb 11, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$310$258.46 +92.0%Jan 13, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$320$252.28 +98.2%Jan 12, 2026
CFRAAnalyst unavailable$304$232.3 +88.3%Dec 22, 2025
Wells FargoSam Reid$250$240.24 +54.9%Dec 15, 2025
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$345$300.01 +113.7%Oct 24, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$360$300.31 +123.0%Oct 23, 2025
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$300$291.59 +85.9%Apr 25, 2025
Wells FargoSam Reid$300$291.59 +85.9%Apr 25, 2025
OppenheimerScott Schneeberger$386$370.86 +139.1%Oct 28, 2024
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$335$377.33 +107.5%Oct 24, 2024
Goldman SachsSusan Maklari$415$377.33 +157.1%Oct 24, 2024
StephensTrey Grooms$400$377.33 +147.8%Oct 24, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$408$364.68 +152.8%Oct 16, 2024
Stifel NicolausAndrew Carter$310$336.43 +92.0%Jul 18, 2024
OppenheimerScott Schneeberger$356$310.74 +120.5%Jun 25, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsGarik Shmois$305$337.91 +88.9%Jun 25, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$305$337.91 +88.9%Jun 25, 2024
StephensTrey Grooms$350$337.91 +116.8%Jun 25, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Manthey$380$357.65 +135.4%May 29, 2024
OppenheimerScott Schneeberger$436$414.62 +170.1%Mar 28, 2024
StephensTrey Grooms$340$299.2 +110.6%Oct 19, 2022
StephensAnalyst unavailable$460$426.54 +185.0%Apr 27, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsGarik Shmois$465$427.19 +188.1%Apr 22, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Pool Corporation, established in 1993 and based in Covington, Louisiana, serves as a leading wholesale distributor of swimming pool essentials, outdoor living accessories, and related recreational merchandise. Operating extensively across the United States and globally, the company supported its diverse clientele through 410 sales centers spanning North America, Europe, and Australia as of March 2022. Its comprehensive product portfolio encompasses a broad array of upkeep items like chemicals, general provisions, and pool accouterments; components for servicing and replacing critical pool machinery such as purification systems, heating units, circulation pumps, and lighting fixtures; and structural elements including complete fiberglass pools, luxury spas, and comprehensive pre-packaged pool kits designed for both subterranean and elevated installations, encompassing structural walls, liners, support braces, and coping. Furthermore, Pool Corp.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T22:20:43.064459+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T22:20:43.061702+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.