The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. · PNC · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

PNC: Strong loan and fee momentum, FY2026 guidance maintained

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong loan production, fee growth, acquisition scale and cost initiatives reinforce PNC’s earnings trajectory, while integration, funding, macro and regulatory risks remain material tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $89.11B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.13 Consensus $3.93
EPS surprise +5.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.17B Consensus $6.24B
Revenue surprise -1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.4% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.5% Up to 20 sessions
PNCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the FirstBank acquisition had completed and management reported stronger organic loan production, margin expansion and fee-income momentum. FY2026 guidance sentiment moved from raised to maintained, with execution and funding risks still prominent.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management kept FY2026 revenue and loan-growth outlook broadly unchanged and continued to target net interest margin above 3% in the second half.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong organic loan production and an expanding net interest margin.
  • Fee income growth and the completed FirstBank acquisition broadened the earnings base.
  • Branch, digital and cost-efficiency initiatives remain central to the operating plan.
  • The main debate is whether growth and profitability can persist while integration, funding and regulatory risks are managed.

Management priorities

  • Complete the FirstBank integration and conversion process.
  • Expand branches and digital customer acquisition while sustaining loan production.
  • Execute the cost-reduction program and continue technology investment.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PNC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.01 Q1 '24 actual $3.36, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.98 Q2 '24 actual $3.30, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.30 Q3 '24 actual $3.75, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.55 Q2 '25 actual $3.85, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.05 Q3 '25 actual $4.35, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.23 Q4 '25 actual $4.88, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.93 Q1 '26 actual $4.13, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.46 Q2 '26 actual $4.85, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.91 Q4 '26 estimate $5.11 Q1 '27 estimate $5.05 Q2 '27 estimate $5.27
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish2350.0%
Neutral2247.8%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$223.34Previous close
$162Low
$236.54Average
$305High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 16, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 7, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 29, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 16, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 16, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJan 20, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette& Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainDec 17, 2025
Piper Sandler Overweight NeutralUpgradeOct 9, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 19, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 3, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 2, 2025
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeMar 31, 2025
Compass Point Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 10, 2024
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 3, 2024
Odeon Capital Buy HoldUpgradeDec 14, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 19, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeJan 6, 2023
Nomura Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 16, 2020
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 10, 2019
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeNov 27, 2018
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 19, 2018
Bernstein Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 15, 2018
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeMay 5, 2018
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 29, 2016
CLSA Underperform UnderperformMaintainSep 23, 2016
Atlantic Equities Neutral OverweightDowngradeMar 14, 2016
Sterne Agee Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 27, 2014
Rafferty Capital Hold BuyDowngradeApr 17, 2014
Rafferty Hold BuyDowngradeApr 17, 2014
Sandler O'Neill Buy HoldUpgradeJan 16, 2014
Evercore Partners Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeDec 16, 2013
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 6, 2013
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeOct 17, 2012
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeOct 17, 2012
ISI Group Hold BuyDowngradeOct 16, 2012
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainApr 19, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $223.34. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$265$252.51 +18.7%Jul 23, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$280$254.57 +25.4%Jul 16, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$281$253.41 +25.8%Jul 16, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$273$254.15 +22.2%Jul 16, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$275$254.15 +23.1%Jul 16, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$280$254.15 +25.4%Jul 16, 2026
BarclaysJason Goldberg$284$254.15 +27.2%Jul 16, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$285$254.15 +27.6%Jul 16, 2026
Goldman SachsRichard Ramsden$280$254.15 +25.4%Jul 15, 2026
JefferiesDavid Chiaverini$305$254.15 +36.6%Jul 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$288$255.06 +29.0%Jul 7, 2026
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$280$251.69 +25.4%Jul 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$270$249.49 +20.9%Jul 6, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$271$246.13 +21.3%Jun 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyManan Gosalia$278$246.06 +24.5%Jun 29, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$257$243.7 +15.1%Jun 26, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$245$222.71 +9.7%Apr 16, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$268$222.96 +20.0%Apr 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyManan Gosalia$267$223.17 +19.5%Apr 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$277$222.06 +24.0%Apr 16, 2026
Truist FinancialJohn McDonald$234$205.46 +4.8%Mar 26, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$263$238.86 +17.8%Feb 4, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$284$221.38 +27.2%Jan 20, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$260$221.38 +16.4%Jan 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$221$221.09 -1.0%Jan 20, 2026
Truist FinancialJohn McDonald$240$223.18 +7.5%Jan 20, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$235$223.18 +5.2%Jan 20, 2026
HSBCSaul Martinez$206$215.99 -7.8%Jan 7, 2026
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$247$216.97 +10.6%Jan 6, 2026
BarclaysJason Goldberg$271$211.46 +21.3%Jan 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyBetsy Graseck$211$209.86 -5.5%Dec 18, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$229$212.66 +2.5%Dec 18, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$220$190.16 -1.5%Oct 9, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$229$194.43 +2.5%Oct 7, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$230$201.85 +3.0%Sep 30, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$206$203.32 -7.8%Sep 29, 2025
Truist FinancialJohn McDonald$210$205.1 -6.0%Sep 24, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$225$206.27 +0.7%Sep 19, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$211$201.89 -5.5%Sep 10, 2025
Truist FinancialJohn McDonald$201$203.77 -10.0%Sep 8, 2025
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$238$192.55 +6.6%Jul 30, 2025
Goldman SachsRichard Ramsden$190$189.93 -14.9%Oct 16, 2024
Wells FargoMike Mayo$215$192.34 -3.7%Oct 16, 2024
BarclaysJason Goldberg$229$192.34 +2.5%Oct 16, 2024
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$225$192.34 +0.7%Oct 15, 2024
StephensTerry McEvoy$200$192.34 -10.5%Oct 15, 2024
Goldman SachsRichard Ramsden$180$178.78 -19.4%Sep 10, 2024
Piper SandlerScott Siefers$178$184.29 -20.3%Sep 3, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$200$172.17 -10.5%Aug 15, 2024
Goldman SachsRichard Ramsden$182$179.71 -18.5%Jul 17, 2024
UBSErika Najarian$179$156.51 -19.9%Jul 8, 2024
Wells FargoMike Mayo$194$150.25 -13.1%Jun 12, 2024
Piper SandlerScott Siefers$158$153.1 -29.3%May 24, 2024
JefferiesKen Usdin$162$146.67 -27.5%Apr 17, 2024
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$175$146.54 -21.6%Apr 17, 2024
JefferiesKen Usdin$171$157.37 -23.4%Apr 8, 2024
HSBCSaul Martinez$155$159.97 -30.6%Mar 28, 2024
UBSAnalyst unavailable$176$164.3 -21.2%Jan 10, 2023
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$190$159.37 -14.9%Jan 6, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$218$160.42 -2.4%Jan 3, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$178$149.14 -20.3%Dec 19, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$177$148.81 -20.7%Dec 16, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$176$150.66 -21.2%Dec 6, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$200$166.64 -10.5%Sep 12, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$170$156.46 -23.9%Jul 18, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$222$153.42 -0.6%Jul 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$180$153.42 -19.4%Jul 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$168$158.38 -24.8%Jul 12, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$202$157.77 -9.6%Jul 1, 2022
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$177$167.63 -20.7%May 26, 2022
Raymond JamesMichael Rose$210$178.05 -6.0%Apr 20, 2022
Argus ResearchStephen Biggar$220$175.75 -1.5%Apr 18, 2022
Argus ResearchStephen Biggar$245$200.96 +9.7%Jan 22, 2022
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$235$208.52 +5.2%Jan 19, 2022
UBSErika Najarian$245$208.52 +9.7%Jan 19, 2022
BarclaysJason Goldberg$250$207.07 +11.9%Jan 3, 2022
CitigroupKeith Horowitz$220$200.68 -1.5%Dec 16, 2021
Wells FargoMike Mayo$240$215.36 +7.5%Oct 25, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$215$198.03 -3.7%Oct 15, 2021
KBWDavid Konrad$193$184.53 -13.6%Jul 6, 2021
Compass PointDave Rochester$190$190.37 -14.9%May 18, 2021
StephensTerry McEvoy$195$174.48 -12.7%Apr 19, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. stands as a diversified financial institution operating across the United States. Founded in 1852 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company maintains an extensive physical footprint, boasting 2,591 branches and 9,502 ATMs. Its Retail Banking division delivers a full spectrum of financial solutions to individual consumers and small businesses. This includes a variety of deposit accounts such as checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit. Lending products span residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education financing, and personal and small business loans and credit lines. Additionally, the segment provides brokerage, insurance, investment, and cash management services, all accessible via its branch network, ATMs, call centers, and digital banking channels. The Corporate & Institutional Banking segment caters to the needs of mid-sized and large corporations, government entities, and not-for-profit organizations.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T09:20:58.115391+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T09:20:58.112431+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.