The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. · PNC · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025
PNC maintains guidance as loan demand and capital support Q1 performance
The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of PNC’s near-term trajectory: resilient corporate demand, balance-sheet positioning and maintained guidance provide support, but macro, CRE and fee-income risks limit confidence.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shifts from a broader expansion and repricing focus to evidence of resilient C&I demand and margin expansion, while adding sharper emphasis on tariff uncertainty, recession risk and pressure on non-interest income.
Guidance delta
Management maintained full-year guidance despite tariff uncertainty and recession concerns.
Key takeaways
- Management described resilient corporate demand, including higher C&I loan utilization.
- Net interest margin expanded modestly, while full-year net interest income remained a stated target.
- Shareholder returns continued alongside capital building.
- The main counterweights are tariff and recession risk, CRE office credit pressure, and softer fee activity.
Management priorities
- Target 2–3% spot loan growth for the year.
- Use forward-starting swaps to lock in fixed-rate asset yields through 2026.
- Continue share buybacks while building CET1 capital.
- Pursue new-market growth and expand card and cash-management products while managing expenses.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 1, 2026 |
| HSBC | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jun 29, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette& Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Compass Point | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Odeon Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Dec 14, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 19, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Nomura | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 16, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 10, 2019 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 27, 2018 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 19, 2018 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Oct 15, 2018 |
| Argus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 29, 2016 |
| CLSA | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 23, 2016 |
| Atlantic Equities | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Mar 14, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 27, 2014 |
| Rafferty Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 17, 2014 |
| Rafferty | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 17, 2014 |
| Sandler O'Neill | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 16, 2014 |
| Evercore Partners | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Dec 16, 2013 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 6, 2013 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 17, 2012 |
| Stifel | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 17, 2012 |
| ISI Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 16, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 19, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $217.39. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $240 | $220.4 | +10.4% | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Manan Gosalia | $273 | $219.43 | +25.6% | Oct 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $218.84 | +15.0% | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Chris Kotowski | $269 | $214.94 | +23.7% | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $221.03 | +15.0% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $286 | $221.03 | +31.6% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $252 | $216.4 | +15.9% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | John Pancari | $265 | $222.26 | +21.9% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| HSBC | Domenico Santoro | $283 | $224.42 | +30.2% | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $265 | $252.51 | +21.9% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $280 | $254.57 | +28.8% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $281 | $253.41 | +29.3% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $273 | $254.15 | +25.6% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $275 | $254.15 | +26.5% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $280 | $254.15 | +28.8% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $284 | $254.15 | +30.6% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $285 | $254.15 | +31.1% | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Ramsden | $280 | $254.15 | +28.8% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Jefferies | David Chiaverini | $305 | $254.15 | +40.3% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $288 | $255.06 | +32.5% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | John Pancari | $280 | $251.69 | +28.8% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $270 | $249.49 | +24.2% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $271 | $246.13 | +24.7% | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Manan Gosalia | $278 | $246.06 | +27.9% | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $257 | $243.7 | +18.2% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $245 | $222.71 | +12.7% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $268 | $222.96 | +23.3% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Manan Gosalia | $267 | $223.17 | +22.8% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $277 | $222.06 | +27.4% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $234 | $205.46 | +7.6% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $263 | $238.86 | +21.0% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $284 | $221.38 | +30.6% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $260 | $221.38 | +19.6% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $221 | $221.09 | +1.7% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $240 | $223.18 | +10.4% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $235 | $223.18 | +8.1% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| HSBC | Saul Martinez | $206 | $215.99 | -5.2% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | John Pancari | $247 | $216.97 | +13.6% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $271 | $211.46 | +24.7% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Betsy Graseck | $211 | $209.86 | -2.9% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $229 | $212.66 | +5.3% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $190.16 | +1.2% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $229 | $194.43 | +5.3% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $230 | $201.85 | +5.8% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $206 | $203.32 | -5.2% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $210 | $205.1 | -3.4% | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $225 | $206.27 | +3.5% | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $211 | $201.89 | -2.9% | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $201 | $203.77 | -7.5% | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $238 | $192.55 | +9.5% | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Ramsden | $190 | $189.93 | -12.6% | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Mike Mayo | $215 | $192.34 | -1.1% | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $229 | $192.34 | +5.3% | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | John Pancari | $225 | $192.34 | +3.5% | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Stephens | Terry McEvoy | $200 | $192.34 | -8.0% | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Ramsden | $180 | $178.78 | -17.2% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Scott Siefers | $178 | $184.29 | -18.1% | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ebrahim Poonawala | $200 | $172.17 | -8.0% | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Ramsden | $182 | $179.71 | -16.3% | Jul 17, 2024 |
| UBS | Erika Najarian | $179 | $156.51 | -17.7% | Jul 8, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Mike Mayo | $194 | $150.25 | -10.8% | Jun 12, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Scott Siefers | $158 | $153.1 | -27.3% | May 24, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Ken Usdin | $162 | $146.67 | -25.5% | Apr 17, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | John Pancari | $175 | $146.54 | -19.5% | Apr 17, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Ken Usdin | $171 | $157.37 | -21.3% | Apr 8, 2024 |
| HSBC | Saul Martinez | $155 | $159.97 | -28.7% | Mar 28, 2024 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $176 | $164.3 | -19.0% | Jan 10, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $190 | $159.37 | -12.6% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $218 | $160.42 | +0.3% | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $178 | $149.14 | -18.1% | Dec 19, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $177 | $148.81 | -18.6% | Dec 16, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $176 | $150.66 | -19.0% | Dec 6, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $200 | $166.64 | -8.0% | Sep 12, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $156.46 | -21.8% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $222 | $153.42 | +2.1% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $180 | $153.42 | -17.2% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $168 | $158.38 | -22.7% | Jul 12, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $202 | $157.77 | -7.1% | Jul 1, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $177 | $167.63 | -18.6% | May 26, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Michael Rose | $210 | $178.05 | -3.4% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Stephen Biggar | $220 | $175.75 | +1.2% | Apr 18, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Stephen Biggar | $245 | $200.96 | +12.7% | Jan 22, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | John Pancari | $235 | $208.52 | +8.1% | Jan 19, 2022 |
| UBS | Erika Najarian | $245 | $208.52 | +12.7% | Jan 19, 2022 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $250 | $207.07 | +15.0% | Jan 3, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Keith Horowitz | $220 | $200.68 | +1.2% | Dec 16, 2021 |
| Wells Fargo | Mike Mayo | $240 | $215.36 | +10.4% | Oct 25, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ebrahim Poonawala | $215 | $198.03 | -1.1% | Oct 15, 2021 |
| KBW | David Konrad | $193 | $184.53 | -11.2% | Jul 6, 2021 |
| Compass Point | Dave Rochester | $190 | $190.37 | -12.6% | May 18, 2021 |
| Stephens | Terry McEvoy | $195 | $174.48 | -10.3% | Apr 19, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationPNC Financial Services Group, Inc. stands as a diversified financial institution operating across the United States. Founded in 1852 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company maintains an extensive physical footprint, boasting 2,591 branches and 9,502 ATMs. Its Retail Banking division delivers a full spectrum of financial solutions to individual consumers and small businesses. This includes a variety of deposit accounts such as checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit. Lending products span residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education financing, and personal and small business loans and credit lines. Additionally, the segment provides brokerage, insurance, investment, and cash management services, all accessible via its branch network, ATMs, call centers, and digital banking channels. The Corporate & Institutional Banking segment caters to the needs of mid-sized and large corporations, government entities, and not-for-profit organizations.…
Historical context
All PNC earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTB-PH M&T Bank Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.2% | — | M&T Bank: Loan Growth Holds Up as Rates Pressure Margins |
| MTB-PJ M&T Bank Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.2% | — | M&T: Deposit growth supports margins as AI use expands |
| RF-PE Regions Financial Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +10.3% | — | Regions Financial: Fee Growth and Credit Quality Support Q3 |
| RF-PC Regions Financial Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +10.3% | — | Regions Financial: Fee growth supports a steady Q3 outlook |
| TFC-PI Truist Financial Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -50.9% | — | Truist sharpens focus as Q3 EPS rises 12% |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +24.2% | +1.5% | Travelers posts strong Q3, with investment income above $900 million |
Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-01T00:02:13.289232+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T09:00:44.000192+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T09:00:43.996836+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.