Parker-Hannifin Corporation · PH · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Parker-Hannifin: Aerospace Strength Offsets Industrial Softness

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: aerospace demand, backlog, order strength, and operating execution are supporting growth and margins, while industrial softness, tariff uncertainty, and dependence on aerospace remain important offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $121.49B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $6.73
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.98B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.9% Up to 20 sessions
PHSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Aerospace organic-growth guidance was raised to 12%, while guidance for several industrial segments was lowered. Management also highlighted 9% overall order growth and full mitigation of the estimated tariff impact.

Guidance delta

Management maintained overall guidance, raised aerospace organic-growth guidance to 12%, and lowered guidance for several industrial segments.

Key takeaways

  • Record margins and cash flow were achieved despite a modest sales decline.
  • Aerospace and defense remained the main growth engine, supported by aftermarket demand and backlog.
  • Overall order rates rose 9%, while tariff costs were described as fully offset through pricing, supply-chain, and cost actions.
  • The transcript analysis also notes a 10% dividend increase and ongoing share repurchases.

Management priorities

  • Extend margin expansion through the Win strategy and Kaizen tools.
  • Invest in supply-chain capacity and dual-sourcing capabilities.
  • Maintain an active M&A pipeline and deploy capital toward aerospace, filtration, HVAC/R, and motion-control growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $5.26 Q2 '24 actual $6.15, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6.15 Q3 '24 actual $6.51, beat Q4 '24 estimate $6.22 Q4 '24 actual $6.77, beat Q1 '25 estimate $6.14 Q1 '25 actual $6.20, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7.10 Q4 '25 actual $7.69, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6.62 Q1 '26 actual $7.22, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7.16 Q2 '26 actual $7.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.84 Q3 '26 actual $8.17, beat Q4 '26 estimate $8.31 Q4 '26 actual $9.27, beat Q1 '27 estimate $8.21 Q2 '27 estimate $8.21 Q3 '27 estimate $8.71
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy39 ratings
Bullish2666.7%
Neutral1230.8%
Bearish12.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$963.34Current
$260Low
$925.6Average
$1,358High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 14, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 14, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $963.34. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$1,200$956.32 +24.6%Oct 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$950$960.6 -1.4%Oct 14, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,050$974.98 +9.0%Sep 24, 2026
BernsteinVarun Govindaraj$1,218$1,057.28 +26.4%Aug 14, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,358$1,079.69 +41.0%Aug 7, 2026
See 70 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Parker-Hannifin Corporation is a global enterprise specializing in the production and distribution of advanced motion and control technologies and systems. These solutions serve a broad spectrum of international markets, including mobile applications, industrial operations, and the aerospace sector. Its organizational structure is primarily divided into two key business units: Diversified Industrial and Aerospace Systems. Within the Diversified Industrial division, the product portfolio is extensive, covering sealing, protective shielding, thermal management systems, bonding agents, surface coatings, and technologies designed to reduce noise, vibration, and harshness. This segment also provides filtration units, diagnostic tools, and related solutions for purifying fuel, air, oil, water, and various other liquids and gases by eliminating contaminants.…

Historical context

All PH earnings

Industrials peers this season

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JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +0.6% -2.0% J.B. Hunt: Strong demand, but margin repair remains central
FAST Fastenal Company FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.3% +1.1% Fastenal Q3: Share Gains and Digital Adoption Lift Growth

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-17T00:02:52.217204+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T08:50:44.911605+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T08:50:44.908789+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.