Principal Financial Group, Inc. · PFG · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Principal Financial Group: growth platforms intact, volatility remains a watchpoint

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: retirement, SMB deposits, asset management, and productivity initiatives provide potential support, while volatility, fee pressure, and flow risks remain material counterweights.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $23.30B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.88
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.00B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.3% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.1% Up to 20 sessions
PFGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasizes maintained guidance alongside a stronger focus on expense flexibility, AI-enabled productivity, private-market deployment, and pension products for high-interest-rate environments.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed 9%–12% EPS growth guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported adjusted EPS growth and higher AUM, while emphasizing expense alignment.
  • Retirement plans, small- and midsized-business deposits, and asset-management pipelines were identified as growth drivers.
  • Capital deployment and AI assistant Paige were among the initiatives discussed.

Management priorities

  • Maintain disciplined expense alignment with revenue.
  • Continue capital deployment to growth initiatives and share repurchases.
  • Expand Paige and deploy capital in private markets and infrastructure debt.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PFG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.73 Q1 '24 actual $1.65, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.84 Q2 '24 actual $1.63, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.01 Q3 '24 actual $1.76, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.97 Q2 '25 actual $2.16, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.20 Q3 '25 actual $2.10, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2.23 Q4 '25 actual $2.19, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2.01 Q1 '26 actual $2.07, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.34 Q2 '26 actual $2.50, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.44 Q4 '26 estimate $2.51 Q1 '27 estimate $2.28
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish520.0%
Neutral1456.0%
Bearish624.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$108.81Current
$64Low
$96.52Average
$128High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 10, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainJul 28, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 28, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 6, 2026
Raymond James Outperform Strong BuyDowngradeMay 19, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJan 21, 2025
Citigroup Sell SellMaintainJul 23, 2024
Goldman Sachs Sell SellMaintainJan 9, 2023
Credit Suisse Underperform NeutralDowngradeDec 8, 2022
Wolfe Research Perform Peer PerformMaintainJan 21, 2022
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainAug 3, 2016
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 29, 2016
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 4, 2015
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 12, 2015
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainDec 3, 2014
Sterne Agee Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2014
Sandler O'Neill Buy HoldUpgradeApr 28, 2014
Evercore Partners Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeApr 11, 2014
Scotiabank Sector Underperform Sector PerformDowngradeNov 22, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $108.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$86$109.7 -21.0%Oct 7, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$128$114.77 +17.6%Sep 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$114.02 +10.3%Sep 10, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$121$114.92 +11.2%Aug 17, 2026
Wells FargoWes Carmichael$113$109.57 +3.9%Jul 22, 2026
Atlantic EquitiesAnalyst unavailable$94$113.09 -13.6%Jul 15, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$98$111.67 -9.9%Jul 10, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$92$112.55 -15.4%Jul 7, 2026
Piper SandlerJohn Barnidge$125$112.36 +14.9%Jun 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$107$103.3 -1.7%May 21, 2026
Raymond JamesWilma Burdis$111$101.85 +2.0%May 19, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$108$99.34 -0.7%Apr 27, 2026
BarclaysAlex Scott$87$97 -20.0%Apr 24, 2026
UBSMichael Ward$94$92.32 -13.6%Apr 9, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$85$90.2 -21.9%Jan 13, 2026
UBSMichael Ward$92$92.36 -15.4%Jan 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$85$90.88 -21.9%Jan 8, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$100$89.24 -8.1%Dec 23, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$93$90.5 -14.5%Dec 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$81$79.14 -25.6%Oct 23, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$94$81.77 -13.6%Oct 9, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$83$83.57 -23.7%Oct 8, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$80$83.41 -26.5%Oct 7, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$94$83.41 -13.6%Oct 7, 2025
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$77$77.65 -29.2%Aug 18, 2025
Wells FargoElyse Greenspan$69$78.3 -36.6%Jan 14, 2025
Bank of America SecuritiesJoshua Shanker$91$87.51 -16.4%Oct 10, 2024
BarclaysAlex Scott$74$81.14 -32.0%Sep 4, 2024
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$83$77.67 -23.7%Aug 19, 2024
RBC CapitalMark Dwelle$87$81.44 -20.0%Jul 29, 2024
JefferiesSuneet Kamath$76$87.46 -30.2%Jul 18, 2024
JefferiesSuneet Kamath$78$79.46 -28.3%Jun 28, 2024
Piper SandlerJohn Barnidge$85$84.56 -21.9%May 17, 2024
Piper SandlerJohn Barnidge$90$84.6 -17.3%Apr 5, 2024
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$75$78.69 -31.1%Feb 15, 2024
Goldman SachsAlex Scott$64$69.38 -41.2%Dec 2, 2021
Credit SuisseAndrew Kligerman$82$61.5 -24.6%Jul 5, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Principal Financial Group, Inc. engages in the investment management offering business. It offers financial products and services to businesses, individuals, and institutional clients. It operates its business through the following segments: Retirement and Income Solutions, Principal Asset Management, and Benefits and Protection. The Retirement and Income Solutions Segment offers a comprehensive portfolio of products and services for retirement savings along with select products for retirement income. The Principal Asset Management segment provides global investment solutions to institutional, retirement, retail and high net worth investors in the U.S. and select emerging markets. The Benefits and Protection segment includes selling individual life insurance products. The company was founded by Edward A. Temple in 1879 and is headquartered in Des Moines, IA.

Historical context

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Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T15:20:39.672840+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T15:20:39.669998+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.