Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated · PEG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

PSEG reaffirms guidance as nuclear and rate-case plans advance

PSEG’s Q2 update supports a measured constructive view: management described resilient utility and nuclear operations, maintained guidance, and continued to advance capital investment and new-generation plans. The thesis remains dependent on regulatory execution, market exposure, and the economics and timing of nuclear projects.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $34.54B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.86 Consensus $0.79
EPS surprise +8.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.55B Consensus $2.66B
Revenue surprise -4.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.5% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -2.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.7% Up to 20 sessions
PEGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the emphasis shifted toward a year-end 2026 base-rate filing, New Jersey EO1 reforms, PJM contracting opportunities, and the loss of Zero Emission Certificate revenue. The capital plan remains supported by liquidity and financing, while capex outlook moved from stable to increasing.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28-$4.40 per share and reaffirmed its 6%-8% CAGR outlook through 2030.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 net income was $0.67 per share and non-GAAP earnings were $0.86 per share.
  • Management reaffirmed full-year non-GAAP operating earnings guidance.
  • A new base-rate case is planned by year-end 2026 amid New Jersey regulatory reforms.
  • PSEG highlighted nuclear output, demand-response programs, and a $4.2 billion annual capital plan.

Management priorities

  • File a new base-rate case by year-end 2026.
  • Submit the EE2 Triennium extension proposal by September 30.
  • Pursue new nuclear generation and multiyear nuclear output contracts.
  • Continue investment in solar, battery storage, and distribution modernization.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PEG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.53 Q4 '23 actual $0.54, match Q1 '24 estimate $1.31 Q1 '24 actual $1.31, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.63 Q2 '24 actual $0.63, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.87 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.70 Q2 '25 actual $0.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.71 Q4 '25 actual $0.72, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.44 Q1 '26 actual $1.55, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.79 Q2 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.18 Q4 '26 estimate $0.84 Q1 '27 estimate $1.59
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1548.4%
Neutral1548.4%
Bearish13.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$69.12Current
$70Low
$86.35Average
$98High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $69.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$70.16 +27.3%Sep 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$91$74.19 +31.7%Aug 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$84$75.98 +21.5%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$93$78.84 +34.5%Jul 22, 2026
JefferiesPaul Zimbardo$78$78.64 +12.8%Jul 20, 2026
See 34 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy provider primarily operating through its subsidiaries in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company's business activities are structured into two primary segments: PSE&G and PSEG Power. The PSE&G division is responsible for transmitting electricity and distributing both electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This segment also commits resources to solar power generation projects and various energy efficiency initiatives, as well as offering appliance service and repair.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T20:07:48.830627+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T01:20:55.408028+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T01:20:55.405074+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.