Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated · PEG · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

PSEG highlights nuclear execution and data-center load growth

PSEG's Q3 analysis supports a constructive operating picture: management cited regulated investment, nuclear execution and data-center demand, while regulatory, capacity-market and load-commitment uncertainties remain material checks on that outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $33.92B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.13 Consensus $1.02
EPS surprise +10.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.23B Consensus $2.72B
Revenue surprise +18.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.0% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.8% Up to 20 sessions
PEGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised, while the focus shifted toward an 11.5 GW large-load pipeline, Hope Creek's extended fuel cycle and the planned Salem uprate. Management also outlined a new energy-efficiency program and continued to emphasize New Jersey affordability and supply adequacy.

Guidance delta

Management narrowed Q3 non-GAAP earnings guidance to $4.00-$4.06 per share and described full-year performance as tracking toward the upper half of its prior range.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted a 11.5 GW large-load pipeline, driven mainly by data-center and edge-computing demand.
  • The regulated capital plan remains on track, with $3.8 billion of 2025 spending and a $21-$24 billion five-year plan.
  • Hope Creek's fuel-cycle extension and a planned 200 MW Salem uprate support the nuclear-generation program.

Management priorities

  • Execute regulated transmission, distribution and grid-modernization investment.
  • Advance the Hope Creek fuel-cycle extension, Salem uprate and energy-efficiency programs.
  • Address New Jersey affordability and supply adequacy while engaging with policymakers.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PEG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $3B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1548.4%
Neutral1548.4%
Bearish13.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$68.07Current
$70Low
$86.33Average
$98High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $68.07. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$86$66.9 +26.3%Sep 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$70.16 +29.3%Sep 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$91$74.19 +33.7%Aug 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$84$75.98 +23.4%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$93$78.84 +36.6%Jul 22, 2026
See 35 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy provider primarily operating through its subsidiaries in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company's business activities are structured into two primary segments: PSE&G and PSEG Power. The PSE&G division is responsible for transmitting electricity and distributing both electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This segment also commits resources to solar power generation projects and various energy efficiency initiatives, as well as offering appliance service and repair.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T04:30:42.598343+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T04:30:42.595328+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.