PG&E Corporation · PCG · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

PG&E Q1 core EPS beats; FY26 guidance held at $1.64-$1.66

PG&E's investment case rests on steady double-digit core EPS growth supported by rate-reducing demand and disciplined cost control. Q1 2026 delivered a core EPS and revenue beat and a reaffirmed FY2026 range, while a growing data-center large-load pipeline, a ~11,000-mile undergrounding program, and the Diablo Canyon license extension provide multi-year tailwinds. The $73B capital plan requires no new equity through 2030, and a positive credit-outlook action from Moody's underpins the investment-grade trajectory. The main variables are regulatory: the pace of wildfire-liability reform (SB 254) and rate-case outcomes could shift capital allocation and costs.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $33.02B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.43 Consensus $0.40
EPS surprise +8.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.88B Consensus $6.26B
Revenue surprise +10.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.3% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.3% Up to 20 sessions
PCGSPY benchmark

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What changed

The reported quarter continued the double-digit EPS growth trend set in the prior period. Whereas the prior quarter (FY2025) showed earnings up 10% year over year with guidance raised, Q1 2026 added an EPS and revenue beat versus consensus while guidance was maintained rather than raised. Notable new developments include the Diablo Canyon 20-year NRC license extension in early 2026, a data-center pipeline that grew to 4.6GW in final engineering, and Moody's positive credit-outlook action.

Guidance delta

FY2026 core EPS guidance reaffirmed, unchanged at $1.64-$1.66 per share (maintained). That sustains the roughly 10% year-over-year growth path that management set last quarter, when the outlook had been raised.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 2026 core EPS of $0.43 beat the $0.40 consensus, with revenue of $6.88B also surpassing estimates by about 10%.
  • Management reaffirmed FY2026 core EPS guidance of $1.64-$1.66, holding a roughly 10% year-over-year growth trajectory.
  • Data-center large-load pipeline reached 4.6GW in final engineering, with 1.8GW expected online by 2030.
  • Undergrounding and hardening plan targets nearly 11,000 miles by 2037, with 1,200 miles completed and over $100M in avoided maintenance costs.
  • Diablo Canyon received a 20-year NRC license extension in early 2026, and Moody's lifted PG&E's credit outlook to positive.

Management priorities

  • File the 10-year undergrounding plan with OEIS in Q3
  • Advance data-center large-load projects through preliminary and final engineering
  • Continue deploying continuous monitoring sensors and analytics
  • Maintain a no-new-equity policy through 2030 and target a 20% dividend payout ratio
  • Pursue additional $5B in incremental customer investment opportunities

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PCG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.45 Q4 '23 actual $0.47, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.35 Q1 '24 actual $0.37, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.30 Q2 '24 actual $0.31, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.33 Q3 '24 actual $0.37, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.32 Q2 '25 actual $0.31, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.42 Q3 '25 actual $0.50, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.36 Q4 '25 actual $0.36, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.40 Q1 '26 actual $0.43, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.36 Q2 '26 actual $0.40, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.42 Q4 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '27 estimate $0.46 Q2 '27 estimate $0.40
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1240.0%
Neutral1756.7%
Bearish13.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$12.27Current
$13Low
$19.28Average
$25High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2026
Truist Securities Hold BuyDowngradeSep 3, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $12.27. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSGregg Orrill$14$12.88 +14.1%Sep 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$18$13.33 +46.7%Sep 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$14$13.33 +14.1%Sep 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$17$13.33 +38.5%Sep 3, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$13$13.27 +5.9%Sep 1, 2026
See 44 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PG&E Corporation operates as a holding company, overseeing the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity and natural gas to its clientele. The firm's expertise spans a broad range of energy-related services, including general utilities, power provision, gas supply, electrical grids, solar solutions, and sustainability initiatives. Established in 1995, the company maintains its corporate headquarters in Oakland, California.

Historical context

All PCG earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T16:11:18.475053+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T16:11:18.472118+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.