PG&E Corporation · PCG · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

PG&E maintains guidance as data-center growth and wildfire policy remain central

The quarter supports a constructive operating narrative around load growth, capital investment, and cost-of-capital progress, but the case remains dependent on regulatory execution, wildfire outcomes, and conversion of planned investment into rate-base growth.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $35.73B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.40
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $6.23B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.9% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move -3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.1% Up to 20 sessions
PCGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management continued to emphasize load growth and increasing capital spending, while the current analysis kept guidance unchanged and added focus on the upcoming GRC, undergrounding plan, cost of capital, and investment-grade objectives.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its 2025 earnings guidance and 2026-2028 EPS growth guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management maintained its earnings outlook and highlighted data-center, EV, and building-electrification load growth.
  • The $63 billion capital plan remains unchanged, with potential upside capex under evaluation.
  • Wildfire mitigation, AB 1054 reform, cost of capital, and regulatory filings remain key to the thesis.

Management priorities

  • File the General Rate Case covering 2027-2030.
  • Advance the ten-year undergrounding plan and cost-of-capital application.
  • Continue wildfire mitigation and pursue investment-grade credit ratings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PCG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.45 Q4 '23 actual $0.47, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.35 Q1 '24 actual $0.37, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.30 Q2 '24 actual $0.31, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.33 Q3 '24 actual $0.37, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.32 Q2 '25 actual $0.31, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.42 Q3 '25 actual $0.50, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.36 Q4 '25 actual $0.36, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.40 Q1 '26 actual $0.43, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.36 Q2 '26 actual $0.40, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.42 Q4 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '27 estimate $0.46 Q2 '27 estimate $0.40
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1240.0%
Neutral1756.7%
Bearish13.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$12.9Current
$13Low
$19.22Average
$25High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $12.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$17$13.13 +31.7%Oct 12, 2026
UBSGregg Orrill$14$12.88 +8.5%Sep 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$18$13.33 +39.5%Sep 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$14$13.33 +8.5%Sep 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$17$13.33 +31.7%Sep 3, 2026
See 45 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PG&E Corporation operates as a holding company, overseeing the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity and natural gas to its clientele. The firm's expertise spans a broad range of energy-related services, including general utilities, power provision, gas supply, electrical grids, solar solutions, and sustainability initiatives. Established in 1995, the company maintains its corporate headquarters in Oakland, California.

Historical context

All PCG earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T12:50:42.029585+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T12:50:42.026443+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.