Paychex, Inc. · PAYX · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2026

Paychex Closes FY26 With 17% Revenue Growth, Sets 5–6% FY27 Outlook

Paychex closed fiscal 2026 with broad-based strength: full-year revenue grew 17% to $6.5B, Q4 EPS of $1.32 narrowly beat the $1.31 consensus, and margins expanded over 70 basis points. The Paycor acquisition is delivering synergies ahead of plan with over $100M in cost savings realized and cross-sell momentum across ASO, PO, and retirement. The Wise AI platform has scaled to roughly 600 features and represents both a productivity lever and a future monetization path. Management's FY27 guidance — 5–6% revenue growth, ~44% adjusted operating margin, and 7–9% EPS growth — signals a deliberate step-down from FY26's acquisition-boosted growth but reflects confidence in durable organic expansion. The market initially sold off on the print (-1.68% abnormal) but the stock subsequently drifted 14.9% higher to $122.13, well above the analyst consensus target of $108.80, suggesting investors…

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $43.44B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Rochester, New York, Paychex, Inc. delivers comprehensive human capital management (HCM) solutions. The company primarily serves small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across the United States, Europe, and India, addressing their needs in human resources, payroll administration, employee benefits, and insurance. Its diverse service portfolio includes: Payroll Management: Encompassing core payroll processing, payroll tax administration, employee payment facilitation, and ensuring compliance with regulations like new-hire reporting and garnishment processing. Human Resources Solutions: Providing support for employer compliance, HR and employee benefits administration, risk management outsourcing, and even the availability of professionally trained on-site HR representatives.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.32 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.61B Consensus $1.60B
Revenue surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PAYX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1B Q1 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 actual $2B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish516.7%
Neutral1963.3%
Bearish620.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$122.13Current
$98Low
$122.61Average
$145High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 30, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainJun 25, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJun 17, 2026
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 15, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJun 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainMar 26, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 26, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $122.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSKevin McVeigh$115$111.96 -5.8%Jul 22, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$107$112.76 -12.4%Jul 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$109$99.81 -10.8%Jun 30, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$98$98.84 -19.8%Jun 25, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$110$100.28 -9.9%Jun 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$107$91.68 -12.4%Mar 27, 2026
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$103$92 -15.7%Mar 13, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$98$106.19 -19.8%Jan 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$123$112.28 +0.7%Dec 22, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$110$112.28 -9.9%Dec 19, 2025
See 39 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.7% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.9% Up to 20 sessions
PAYXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter (FY26 Q3), AI capabilities expanded from 500+ to roughly 600 features with the introduction of the Wise AI platform branding and a payroll-agnostic product strategy powered by a modular tax engine. Paycor integration progressed from bookings recovery to over $100M in delivered cost synergies with cross-sell traction in ASO, PO, and retirement. ASO engagements grew more than 60% year over year. The Perks marketplace surpassed 400,000 employee users and is being expanded to Paycor's 2.5M employees. Management issued initial FY27 guidance targeting 5–6% revenue growth and ~44% adjusted operating margin, representing a moderated but still profitable growth trajectory. The prior quarter's interest-on-funds upward revision was not reiterated as a new change this quarter.

Guidance delta

FY27 outlook targets 5–6% revenue growth (down from FY26's 17%, reflecting the lap of Paycor acquisition revenue), adjusted operating margin of approximately 44%, and EPS growth of 7–9%. Guidance sentiment was maintained and management tone was confident. The prior quarter had seen an upward revision to interest-on-funds guidance; no new upward or downward revision was noted this quarter.

Key takeaways

  • FY26 total revenue rose 17% to $6.5B; Q4 EPS of $1.32 beat the $1.31 consensus by 0.76% on revenue of $1.61B, with margins expanding over 70 bps.
  • Wise AI platform now powers roughly 600 features and agents drawing on more than 26 trillion data points, with both direct monetization and indirect upsell, pricing, and retention benefits expected.
  • Paycor integration delivered over $100M in cost synergies and significant cross-sell momentum in ASO, PO, and retirement solutions.
  • New payroll-agnostic product strategy launched via a modular tax engine, broadening the addressable market beyond traditional payroll clients.
  • FY27 guidance projects 5–6% revenue growth, approximately 44% adjusted operating margin, and 7–9% EPS growth under a stable macro backdrop.
  • The stock initially dipped 1.68% on the report but subsequently rallied 14.9% to $122.13, trading above the analyst consensus target of $108.80.

Management priorities

  • Extend Wise AI capabilities across all HCM platforms and commercialize AI-driven features.
  • Roll out payroll-agnostic solutions and modular tax engine to non-payroll customers.
  • Scale the Perks digital benefits marketplace to Paycor's 2.5M employees and add new benefit offerings.
  • Continue Paycor integration with a focus on enterprise cross-sell and broker channel growth.
  • Invest in modernized infrastructure to support AI, advisory differentiation, and margin expansion.

Related earnings events

Industrials

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-24T16:16:13.649578+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-30T01:23:13.872335+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-30T04:33:09.089914+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-30T04:33:09.087203+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.