Pan American Silver Corp. · PAAS · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Pan American Silver Maintains Guidance as Silver Operations Stay on Track

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong silver operations, low costs, cash generation and the potential Juanicipio addition support the operating narrative, while gold execution, regulatory approvals and project delivery remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $19.50B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.43 Consensus $0.40
EPS surprise +7.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $811.9M Consensus $860.8M
Revenue surprise -5.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.1% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +7.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.1% Up to 20 sessions
PAASSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds record Q2 performance and a raised dividend to the narrative, while keeping guidance maintained. Silver remained on target, but gold production was slightly below guidance and shifted toward Q4; the MAG Silver transaction remained pending Mexican antitrust clearance.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Silver production was described as on target, while gold production was slightly below guidance and weighted toward Q4.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record Q2 2025 results, strong cash generation and a raised dividend.
  • Silver production was on target at low costs; gold production was slightly below guidance and shifted toward Q4.
  • The MAG Silver acquisition, La Colorada Skarn development and a strong balance sheet remain central to the growth narrative.

Management priorities

  • Progress the MAG Silver acquisition, subject to Mexican antitrust clearance.
  • Advance the La Colorada Skarn project, including resource updates and potential partnership discussions.
  • Address grade reconciliation and geotechnical issues while executing capital projects and maintaining shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PAAS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $666M Q4 '23 actual $670M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $592M Q1 '24 actual $601M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $987M Q2 '24 actual $686M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $722M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $861M Q2 '25 actual $812M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $855M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish1356.5%
Neutral834.8%
Bearish28.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$46.27Current
$22Low
$58.44Average
$94High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 6, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeMay 12, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainJan 26, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $46.27. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$53$46.29 +14.5%Jul 6, 2026
TD SecuritiesWayne Lam$72$59.14 +55.6%May 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$94$49.65 +103.2%Mar 26, 2026
CIBCCosmos Chiu$88$55.63 +90.2%Feb 4, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$64$67.54 +38.3%Jan 26, 2026
See 9 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Pan American Silver Corp. is a mining enterprise dedicated to the full spectrum of metal operations, from discovery and site development to extraction, refinement, and environmental reclamation. The company focuses on precious and base metals including silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper. Its extensive operations are situated across several countries, specifically Canada, Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia, where it manages key mining properties such as La Colorada, Dolores, Huaron, Morococha, Shahuindo, La Arena, Timmins West, Bell Creek, Manantial Espejo, San Vicente, Joaquin, Cap-Oeste Sur Este, and Navidad. Founded in 1979 as Pan American Minerals Corp., the firm officially changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Historical context

All PAAS earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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RPM RPM International Inc. FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 +1.5% +3.2% RPM posts record quarter, but input costs narrow the outlook

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T12:00:43.799474+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T12:00:43.796543+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.