Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish1356.5%
Neutral834.8%
Bearish28.7%
Pan American Silver Corp. · PAAS · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025
Pan American Silver Maintains Guidance Amid Operational Risks
The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: strong Q1 execution, cost control, and cash generation provide support for continued investment and shareholder returns. That view is tempered by regulatory uncertainty at Escobal, technical issues at Bell Creek, and commodity, foreign-exchange, and project-cost exposure.
Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials
$18.33B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $0.22
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $697.4M
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
event-close to next-session close
Stock move
+4.0%
Event window
SPY move
+0.7%
Same window
Abnormal move
+3.3%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.3×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+12.1%
Up to 20 sessions
PAASSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about PAAS FY2025 Q1
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove PAAS's +4.0% move after FY2025 Q1 earnings?What changed in PAAS's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q1?Give me the bull and bear case for PAAS after FY2025 Q1 earnings.
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis adds record Q1 mine operating earnings, record cash and short-term investments, and Bell Creek seismicity and ground-movement challenges. Guidance remained maintained, while management continued to advance La Colorada Skarn and Jacobina initiatives.
Guidance delta
Maintained: the supplied analysis identifies no change to 2025 production, cost, or capital-expenditure guidance.
Key takeaways
- Q1 operating performance exceeded guidance, supported by precious-metal prices, by-product credits, and cost control.
- Management highlighted La Colorada Skarn, Jacobina optimization, exploration, and shareholder returns as priorities.
- Escobal regulatory uncertainty and Bell Creek operating issues remain key watch items.
- The current analysis does not provide reported-versus-consensus EPS or revenue results.
Management priorities
- Advance La Colorada Skarn engineering, drilling, and partnership discussions.
- Complete the first-phase Jacobina optimization study and continue exploration.
- Address operating challenges at Minera Florida and Bell Creek.
- Maintain dividends and share repurchases.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$44.21Current
$22Low
$58.44Average
$94High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 12, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | Sector Outperform | Maintain | Jan 26, 2026 |
| CIBC | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 10, 2025 |
| TD Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 27, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 18, 2024 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 12, 2022 |
| National Bank Of Canada | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | May 17, 2021 |
| Deutsche bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 13, 2021 |
| B. Riley Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 19, 2020 |
| B. Riley FBR | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 19, 2020 |
| FBR Capital | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 8, 2020 |
| B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 21, 2019 |
| National Bank Financial Inc | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Aug 30, 2019 |
| National Bank Financial | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Aug 30, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Nov 19, 2018 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 22, 2017 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jun 27, 2016 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 8, 2015 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Feb 25, 2014 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jun 25, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $44.21. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $53 | $46.29 | +19.9% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| TD Securities | Wayne Lam | $72 | $59.14 | +62.9% | May 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $49.65 | +112.6% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| CIBC | Cosmos Chiu | $88 | $55.63 | +99.0% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $64 | $67.54 | +44.8% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $57.68 | +22.1% | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $44.39 | +13.1% | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Ovais Habib | $47 | $36.47 | +6.3% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| CIBC | Analyst unavailable | $62 | $38.5 | +40.2% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| CIBC | Cosmos Chiu | $46 | $29.69 | +4.0% | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Matthew Murphy | $24 | $21.24 | -45.7% | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Ovais Habib | $23 | $19.93 | -48.0% | Jun 18, 2024 |
| CIBC | Cosmos Chiu | $30 | $21.84 | -32.1% | May 22, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $18.09 | -50.2% | Jan 11, 2023 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationPan American Silver Corp. is a mining enterprise dedicated to the full spectrum of metal operations, from discovery and site development to extraction, refinement, and environmental reclamation. The company focuses on precious and base metals including silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper. Its extensive operations are situated across several countries, specifically Canada, Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia, where it manages key mining properties such as La Colorada, Dolores, Huaron, Morococha, Shahuindo, La Arena, Timmins West, Bell Creek, Manantial Espejo, San Vicente, Joaquin, Cap-Oeste Sur Este, and Navidad. Founded in 1979 as Pan American Minerals Corp., the firm officially changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Historical context
All PAAS earningsBasic Materials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA Alcoa Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +20.5% | +7.2% | Alcoa: Strong Q3 execution, with safety and transaction risks ahead |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-23T00:02:08.365952+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T01:10:41.034462+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T01:10:41.031585+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.