Pan American Silver Corp. · PAAS · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Pan American Silver Maintains 2025 Guidance Amid Expansion Plans

The call presents a constructive operating picture: strong 2024 performance and a maintained 2025 production outlook support the company’s near-term plan, while project execution, regulatory timing and metal-price sensitivity remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $16.65B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.37
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $791.6M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.9% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +5.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.5% Up to 20 sessions
PAASSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management emphasized the full-year contribution from the Yamana assets, a net cash position, continued exploration and project investment, and the expected progression of Escobal consultations. The analysis also identified residual heap leaching through mid-to-late 2026 as a new operating consideration.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2025 production and cost guidance; no prior-quarter guidance comparison was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record revenue, operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2024.
  • 2025 guidance calls for 20–21 million ounces of silver and 735,000–800,000 ounces of gold.
  • La Colorada, Timmins and Jacobina projects are central to the operating plan.
  • Escobal remains subject to consultation and regulatory timing.

Management priorities

  • Advance La Colorada exploration and infrastructure projects.
  • Improve recovery through Jacobina optimization and paste backfill.
  • Develop Timmins tailings capacity and satellite deposits.
  • Continue exploration focused on reserve replacement.
  • Maintain dividends and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PAAS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.08 Q4 '23 actual $-0.04, miss Q1 '24 estimate $-0.06 Q1 '24 actual $0.01, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.15 Q2 '24 actual $0.11, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.21 Q3 '24 actual $0.32, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.40 Q2 '25 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.49 Q3 '25 actual $0.48, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.90 Q4 '25 actual $1.11, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.06 Q1 '26 actual $1.09, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.84 Q2 '26 actual $0.73, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.66 Q4 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '27 estimate $1.14 Q2 '27 estimate $1.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish1356.5%
Neutral834.8%
Bearish28.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$40.15Current
$22Low
$58.44Average
$94High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 6, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeMay 12, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainJan 26, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $40.15. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$53$46.29 +32.0%Jul 6, 2026
TD SecuritiesWayne Lam$72$59.14 +79.3%May 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$94$49.65 +134.1%Mar 26, 2026
CIBCCosmos Chiu$88$55.63 +119.2%Feb 4, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$64$67.54 +59.4%Jan 26, 2026
See 9 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Pan American Silver Corp. is a mining enterprise dedicated to the full spectrum of metal operations, from discovery and site development to extraction, refinement, and environmental reclamation. The company focuses on precious and base metals including silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper. Its extensive operations are situated across several countries, specifically Canada, Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia, where it manages key mining properties such as La Colorada, Dolores, Huaron, Morococha, Shahuindo, La Arena, Timmins West, Bell Creek, Manantial Espejo, San Vicente, Joaquin, Cap-Oeste Sur Este, and Navidad. Founded in 1979 as Pan American Minerals Corp., the firm officially changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-05T00:02:40.001238+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T02:00:43.555621+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T02:00:43.552853+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.