Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish2351.1%
Neutral2146.7%
Bearish12.2%
1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.
ON Semiconductor Corporation · ON · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025
Onsemi: China EV and AI Power Momentum, but Margins Need Recovery
The supplied analysis provides partial support for a constructive longer-term view of Onsemi through China EV silicon-carbide adoption, AI data-center power demand, and platform expansion. That case remains conditional because utilization, gross-margin recovery, automotive weakness outside China, and execution on capacity and portfolio changes are unresolved.
Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology
$30.18B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$0.53
Consensus $0.53
EPS surprise
-0.4%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$1.47B
Consensus $1.45B
Revenue surprise
+1.1%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-15.6%
Event window
SPY move
+1.5%
Same window
Abnormal move
-17.1%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
3.3×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+2.0%
Up to 20 sessions
ONSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about ON FY2025 Q2
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did ON fall 15.6% after missing EPS estimates in FY2025 Q2?What changed in ON's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q2?Give me the bull and bear case for ON after FY2025 Q2 earnings.
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior analysis, the current analysis places greater emphasis on scaling AI data-center power architectures, including 800-V DC solutions, expanding Treo sampling, dual Smart Power Stage production, and Fab Right execution. The core pattern is unchanged: China EV and AI-related demand are growth drivers, while margins and non-China automotive demand remain the principal constraints.
Guidance delta
Maintained in the supplied analysis; no new numerical guidance range is provided.
Key takeaways
- The supplied analysis highlights strong China EV silicon-carbide demand and continued traction in AI data-center power and the Treo platform.
- Management’s trajectory centers on higher-value power products, next-generation wide-bandgap technology, and 800-V DC data-center architectures.
- The central constraint remains utilization and gross-margin recovery, with automotive demand outside China still weak.
- The post-event market reaction was sharply negative relative to the benchmark, underscoring investor sensitivity to execution and margin risk.
Management priorities
- Scale silicon-carbide EV power solutions and next-generation wide-bandgap products.
- Advance Treo, Smart Power Stage, and AI data-center power architectures.
- Align manufacturing capacity and product mix through Fab Right and portfolio rationalization.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$77.53Current
$60Low
$87.23Average
$150High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Rosenblatt | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 4, 2026 |
| B. Riley Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 4, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 26, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 26, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Benchmark | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Roth Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Loop Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 6, 2025 |
| Roth MKM | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Craig-Hallum | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Summit Insights Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 30, 2023 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Aug 1, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 2, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 7, 2023 |
| William Blair | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 10, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 16, 2022 |
| B. Riley FBR | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 22, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 12, 2020 |
| B. Riley | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 27, 2020 |
| Longbow Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 17, 2019 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 30, 2018 |
| PiperJaffray | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 19, 2017 |
| Pacific Crest | Overweight | Downgrade | Jun 20, 2017 | |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Oct 3, 2016 |
| CLSA | Perform | Perform | Maintain | Sep 20, 2016 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 9, 2016 |
| Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 7, 2016 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $77.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $84.89 | +3.2% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Jay Goldberg | $100 | $73.6 | +29.0% | Sep 22, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $75 | $69.12 | -3.3% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $66.6 | +16.1% | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $66.6 | -3.3% | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $95 | $66.6 | +22.5% | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $40 | $83.38 | -48.4% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Aneesha Sherman | $62 | $83.37 | -20.0% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $91 | $77.45 | +17.4% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Needham | Quinn Bolton | $116 | $80.02 | +49.6% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Matthew Prisco | $110 | $83.36 | +41.9% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $101.77 | +93.5% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $94.54 | +61.2% | Jul 1, 2026 |
| UBS | Timothy Arcuri | $95 | $87.81 | +22.5% | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $118.74 | +67.7% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $140 | $118.74 | +80.6% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Mark Lipacis | $137 | $118.74 | +76.7% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $118.74 | +41.9% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $107 | $117.06 | +38.0% | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $104 | +54.8% | May 5, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $102.04 | +54.8% | May 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tom O'Malley | $75 | $71.18 | -3.3% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | David O'Connor | $62 | $63.13 | -20.0% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Williams Trading | David Williams | $60 | $48.12 | -22.6% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $51 | $48.25 | -34.2% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| CFRA | Angelo Zino | $64 | $50.46 | -17.5% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Roth Capital | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $45.4 | -22.6% | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Tore Svanberg | $60 | $53.94 | -22.6% | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Gary Mobley | $95 | $69.96 | +22.5% | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Tristan Gerra | $75 | $72.24 | -3.3% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| B.Riley Financial | Craig Ellis | $100 | $72.24 | +29.0% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $64 | $72.24 | -17.5% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Toshiya Hari | $92 | $72.24 | +18.7% | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $89 | $72.24 | +14.8% | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $85 | $69.24 | +9.6% | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Rosenblatt Securities | Kevin Cassidy | $75 | $74.9 | -3.3% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $97 | $73.97 | +25.1% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Tristan Gerra | $70 | $78.27 | -9.7% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Mark Lipacis | $105 | $78.27 | +35.4% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| CFRA | Angelo Zino | $80 | $78.27 | +3.2% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Rolland | $95 | $78.74 | +22.5% | Jul 17, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $65 | $75.46 | -16.2% | Jul 11, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Blayne Curtis | $100 | $70.46 | +29.0% | May 13, 2024 |
| Williams Trading | David Williams | $80 | $70.25 | +3.2% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Rosenblatt Securities | Kevin Cassidy | $70 | $70.16 | -9.7% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Ross Seymore | $85 | $72.3 | +9.6% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| B.Riley Financial | Craig Ellis | $103 | $70.16 | +32.9% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Rolland | $85 | $70.82 | +9.6% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | John Vinh | $90 | $70.82 | +16.1% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $87 | $70.82 | +12.2% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Toshiya Hari | $89 | $70.82 | +14.8% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Gary Mobley | $95 | $60.65 | +22.5% | Apr 23, 2024 |
| BNP Paribas | David O'Connor | $55 | $62.93 | -29.1% | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Toshiya Hari | $81 | $65.64 | +4.5% | Apr 16, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Mark Lipacis | $104 | $65.64 | +34.1% | Apr 15, 2024 |
| New Street | Vijay Rakesh | $92 | $74.04 | +18.7% | Mar 19, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Tore Svanberg | $105 | $108.41 | +35.4% | Aug 1, 2023 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Tore Svanberg | $83 | $86.09 | +7.1% | May 17, 2023 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $90 | $79.2 | +16.1% | May 2, 2023 |
| Wedbush | Seth Basham Analyst Firm | $115 | $77.15 | +48.3% | Mar 13, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $83.52 | +22.5% | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Itay Michaeli | $115 | $82.55 | +48.3% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $82.55 | +22.5% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Craig-Hallum | Analyst unavailable | $96 | $82.32 | +23.8% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $93 | $82.42 | +20.0% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $82.28 | +16.1% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $89 | $80.4 | +14.8% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $80.4 | +29.0% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $80.4 | +16.1% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $80.4 | +29.0% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $83 | $74.3 | +7.1% | Nov 16, 2022 |
| Williams Trading | David Williams | $69 | $61.74 | -11.0% | Nov 1, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $80 | $63.41 | +3.2% | Nov 1, 2022 |
| Robert W. Baird | Tristan Gerra | $80 | $61.43 | +3.2% | Oct 31, 2022 |
| Needham | Rajvindra Gill | $73 | $61.43 | -5.8% | Oct 31, 2022 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Rolland | $82 | $70.96 | +5.8% | Aug 16, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $79 | $71.37 | +1.9% | Aug 15, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $77 | $67.38 | -0.7% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $67.35 | +4.5% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $67.35 | -3.3% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $64.46 | -16.2% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $63.66 | -12.3% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $63.66 | -3.3% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $72 | $63.66 | -7.1% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Ross Seymore | $65 | $66.78 | -16.2% | Jul 30, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Toshiya Hari | $60 | $61.08 | -22.6% | Jul 27, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $56 | $59.96 | -27.8% | Jun 10, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $56.48 | -12.3% | May 3, 2022 |
| Rosenblatt Securities | Kevin Cassidy | $80 | $56.26 | +3.2% | May 3, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $53.5 | -22.6% | May 2, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Harlan Sur | $70 | $55.62 | -9.7% | May 2, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $60 | $55.62 | -22.6% | May 2, 2022 |
| Robert W. Baird | Tristan Gerra | $80 | $55.62 | +3.2% | May 2, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Ross Seymore | $70 | $51.78 | -9.7% | Apr 25, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Harsh Kumar | $75 | $63.5 | -3.3% | Feb 27, 2022 |
| Craig-Hallum | Anthony Stoss | $72 | $65.97 | -7.1% | Feb 8, 2022 |
| UBS | Pradeep Ramani | $69 | $65.97 | -11.0% | Feb 8, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Mark Lipacis | $75 | $65.97 | -3.3% | Feb 8, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $68 | $65.97 | -12.3% | Feb 8, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Ambrish Srivastava | $60 | $65.97 | -22.6% | Feb 8, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Harlan Sur | $71 | $65.97 | -8.4% | Feb 8, 2022 |
| KeyBanc | John Vinh | $80 | $65.97 | +3.2% | Feb 8, 2022 |
| Needham | Rajvindra Gill | $80 | $65.97 | +3.2% | Feb 8, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Tore Svanberg | $64 | $62.26 | -17.5% | Feb 7, 2022 |
| Robert W. Baird | Tristan Gerra | $80 | $62.26 | +3.2% | Feb 7, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Gary Mobley | $65 | $64.64 | -16.2% | Jan 13, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | Vivek Arya | $82 | $65.12 | +5.8% | Jan 10, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Toshiya Hari | $70 | $70.17 | -9.7% | Jan 3, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Matt Ramsay | $65 | $57.14 | -16.2% | Nov 2, 2021 |
| Raymond James | Chris Caso | $68 | $57.14 | -12.3% | Nov 2, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationON Semiconductor Corporation operates as a global provider of sophisticated power and sensing solutions. Their cutting-edge power innovations are pivotal in modernizing various sectors: they contribute to the development of lighter, extended-range electric vehicles, underpin rapid-charging infrastructure, and bolster sustainable energy initiatives for applications such as solar arrays, industrial power systems, and energy storage. The company's operations are structured into three main divisions: the Power Solutions Group, the Advanced Solutions Group, and the Intelligent Sensing Group. ON Semiconductor offers a broad array of semiconductor products, including analog components, discrete devices, modules, and integrated circuits. These products are designed to perform numerous critical functions, such as power switching, energy conversion, signal conditioning, circuit protection, signal amplification, and voltage regulation.…
Historical context
All ON earningsTechnology peers this season
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| ORCL Oracle Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +10.3% | -1.7% | Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth |
Latest beats and misses
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One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T15:10:42.388625+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T15:10:42.385880+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.