Realty Income Corporation · O · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
Realty Income Raises 2026 AFFO Guidance as Expansion Broadens
The current analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: raised 2026 AFFO guidance, a large acquisition pipeline, and partnership-led capital formation could support growth. The case remains dependent on disciplined underwriting, acquisition spreads, credit performance, and execution across new initiatives.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the company is now described as having raised 2026 AFFO guidance and targeting $8 billion of 2026 acquisitions. The current analysis also highlights Mexico expansion with GIC, an $800 million Blackstone perpetual preferred equity investment, and a $1.5 billion open-end fund.
Guidance delta
Management's analysis says 2026 AFFO guidance was raised to $4.38-$4.42 per share from the prior outlook.
Key takeaways
- The analysis says 2026 AFFO guidance increased to $4.38-$4.42 per share.
- Management's plan includes an $8 billion 2026 acquisition target across the U.S., Europe, and emerging markets.
- Partnerships with GIC and Blackstone, plus an open-end fund, broaden the capital base and geographic reach.
- AI and predictive analytics are being applied to sourcing, underwriting, asset management, and tenant-risk assessment.
- Key execution questions include cap rates, credit losses, Mexico development, and open-end fund deployment.
Management priorities
- Deploy the planned 2026 acquisition pipeline across the U.S., Europe, and emerging markets
- Expand build-to-suit logistics development in Mexico with partners
- Grow the open-end fund and related management-fee opportunity
- Deepen AI integration across sourcing, underwriting, and asset management
- Maintain disciplined underwriting and a spread over cost of capital
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 1, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Freedom Broker | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Dec 24, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Underweight | Neutral | Downgrade | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 7, 2025 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 6, 2025 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 13, 2023 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 10, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 29, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 9, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 27, 2020 |
| Edward Jones | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 28, 2020 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 4, 2019 |
| Capital One Financial | Equal Weight | Underweight | Upgrade | May 8, 2019 |
| Capital One | Equal Weight | Underweight | Upgrade | May 8, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 15, 2018 |
| Janney Montgomery Scott | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 29, 2018 |
| Janney Capital | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 29, 2018 |
| Mitsubishi UFJ | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 10, 2018 |
| DA Davidson | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 29, 2018 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 28, 2016 |
| Wunderlich Securities | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Feb 16, 2016 |
| Wunderlich | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Feb 16, 2016 |
| Goldman Sachs | Hold | Neutral | Maintain | May 23, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $55.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $55.61 | +7.0% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $56.84 | +17.9% | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $57.15 | +10.6% | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $65 | $61.74 | +17.9% | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $64 | $61.28 | +16.1% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $62.79 | +23.3% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $64.99 | +21.5% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $63.77 | +17.9% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Wesley Golladay | $65 | $63.84 | +17.9% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $70.75 | $63.04 | +28.3% | Jun 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $60.57 | +21.5% | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Joe Dickstein | $69 | $61.28 | +25.1% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $66 | $62.53 | +19.7% | May 13, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $63.62 | +21.5% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $68 | $64.92 | +23.3% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $69 | $64.71 | +25.1% | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Zhiger Kurmet | $69 | $67.38 | +25.1% | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $67 | $60.56 | +21.5% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Omotayo Okusanya | $69 | $61.42 | +25.1% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $55.93 | +17.9% | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $57.44 | +8.8% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $64 | $57.5 | +16.1% | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | John Kilichowski | $60 | $56.74 | +8.8% | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $56.22 | +8.8% | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $63 | $59.94 | +14.3% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $62 | $60.64 | +12.4% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $64 | $60.79 | +16.1% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $60 | $57.92 | +8.8% | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $58 | $58.52 | +5.2% | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $57.76 | +7.0% | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Linda Tsai | $64 | $53.41 | +16.1% | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $64 | $62.98 | +16.1% | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $70.25 | $61.83 | +27.4% | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Greg McGinniss | $61 | $61.59 | +10.6% | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Jay Kornreich | $64 | $60.5 | +16.1% | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $67.5 | $59.18 | +22.4% | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Wesley Golladay | $58 | $59.18 | +5.2% | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ronald Kamdem | $62 | $59.18 | +12.4% | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Greg McGinniss | $56 | $55.1 | +1.6% | May 16, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $71 | $59.59 | +28.8% | Jun 30, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Andrew Rosivach | $84 | $72.61 | +52.3% | Apr 15, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $80 | $70.86 | +45.1% | Jan 10, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Michael Bilerman | $74 | $67.2 | +34.2% | Dec 13, 2021 |
| Jefferies | Jonathan Petersen | $80 | $65.03 | +45.1% | Jul 15, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationKnown as "The Monthly Dividend Company," Realty Income is an S&P 500 corporation committed to delivering reliable monthly income to its shareholders. Operating as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), its monthly payouts are generated from the consistent cash flow of over 6,500 commercial properties, which are leased to various businesses under long-term contracts. With a remarkable 52-year operational history, the firm (NYSE: O) has announced 608 uninterrupted monthly dividends for its common stock and has increased its dividend payout 109 times since going public in 1994. It also holds a distinguished position within the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats index. For additional details, please visit the company's official website at www.realtyincome.com.
Historical context
All O earningsLatest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T04:56:04.163227+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T04:56:04.160311+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.