Nu Holdings Ltd. · NU · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Nu reports record Q1 revenue as AI and SME lending expand

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis for Nu: record revenue and net income, customer growth, AI-enabled efficiency, and SME expansion show continued demand and monetization. The thesis remains conditional on credit quality, provisions, regulatory conditions and disciplined execution of the U.S. rollout.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $65.96B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.19 Consensus $0.20
EPS surprise -3.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.97B Consensus $5.06B
Revenue surprise -1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.7% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.0% Up to 20 sessions
NUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes a customer base above 135 million, a 40% year-over-year increase in the credit portfolio to $37.2 billion, a 5-million-customer SME base, and AI-native banking capabilities serving 15 million monthly active users. The U.S. plan is now described as a staged, capital-light pilot, while guidance sentiment remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained; the supplied analysis does not identify a new numerical guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes record Q1 revenue of $5 billion and net income of $871 million.
  • Customer count exceeded 135 million, while the credit portfolio grew 40% year over year to $37.2 billion.
  • Management highlighted AI-driven productivity, AI-native products and a 5-million-customer SME base.
  • The U.S. rollout is planned as staged and capital-light, with an expected efficiency-ratio impact of less than 100 basis points.
  • Seasonal provisions, regulatory changes and credit quality remain important risks to monitor.

Management priorities

  • Advance the three-phase AI transformation and launch AI-native experiences.
  • Scale SME products and deepen credit offerings for small businesses.
  • Pilot a controlled, capital-light U.S. operation.
  • Invest in AI infrastructure, cloud-native core banking and talent.
  • Continue expanding unsecured and secured lending across Brazil, Mexico and Colombia.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NU REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 estimate $2B Q3 '23 actual $1B, miss Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $6B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy23 ratings
Bullish1356.5%
Neutral939.1%
Bearish14.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$13.6Current
$7Low
$15.63Average
$22High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Itau BBA Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 16, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 14, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $13.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$17$14.76 +25.0%Aug 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$18.2$14.61 +33.8%Aug 20, 2026
NeedhamKyle Peterson$19$13.93 +39.7%Aug 14, 2026
NeedhamKyle Peterson$17$12.46 +25.0%Jun 26, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$13$11.93 -4.4%Jun 3, 2026
See 23 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and receive transfers, pay bills, and make everyday purchases through their mobile phones; and Nu Shopping, an integrated marketplace that enables customers to purchase goods and services from various ecommerce retailers. It also offers transactional solutions, such as Nu Personal Accounts, a digital account solution for personal financial activities; Nu business accounts for entrepreneur customers and their businesses; and Nu business prepaid and credit card.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-17T18:39:04.876874+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T11:50:52.591759+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T11:50:52.588712+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.