Nu Holdings Ltd. · NU · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Nu Holdings: Growth and expansion meet near-term margin pressure

The supplied analysis supports a constructive long-term growth narrative driven by customer expansion, secured lending, Mexico and Colombia deposits, and operating leverage. Near-term confidence is tempered by funding costs, provisioning and execution risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $70.33B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.12
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.23B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.5% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.9% Up to 20 sessions
NUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added emphasis to Mexico's approved banking license, rapid secured-lending growth and AI-enhanced credit models. At the same time, management highlighted short-term margin pressure from higher credit-loss allowances, deposit-funding costs and investment in deposits.

Guidance delta

Management guidance was not provided in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Customer growth and engagement remained central to the quarter's story, with the customer base reaching 119 million and monthly active users reaching 100 million.
  • Mexico's banking-license approval supports expansion of deposits and credit products.
  • Secured lending scaled rapidly, while higher funding costs and credit-loss allowances pressured near-term margins.

Management priorities

  • Expand secured lending, including private payroll loans.
  • Build deposit franchises in Mexico and Colombia.
  • Scale AI credit-model capabilities and deepen product usage.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NU EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 estimate $0.06 Q3 '23 actual $0.07, match Q4 '23 estimate $0.08 Q4 '23 actual $0.08, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.09 Q1 '24 actual $0.09, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.10 Q2 '24 actual $0.12, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.13 Q2 '25 actual $0.14, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.16 Q3 '25 actual $0.17, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.20 Q4 '25 actual $0.19, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.20 Q1 '26 actual $0.19, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.20 Q2 '26 actual $0.22, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.23 Q4 '26 estimate $0.25 Q1 '27 estimate $0.25 Q2 '27 estimate $0.27
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy23 ratings
Bullish1356.5%
Neutral939.1%
Bearish14.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$14.56Current
$7Low
$15.81Average
$22High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2026
Itau BBA Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 16, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $14.56. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Redburn PartnersGonzalo López$19$13.59 +30.5%Sep 28, 2026
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$17$14.76 +16.8%Aug 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$18.2$14.61 +25.0%Aug 20, 2026
NeedhamKyle Peterson$19$13.93 +30.5%Aug 14, 2026
NeedhamKyle Peterson$17$12.46 +16.8%Jun 26, 2026
See 24 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and receive transfers, pay bills, and make everyday purchases through their mobile phones; and Nu Shopping, an integrated marketplace that enables customers to purchase goods and services from various ecommerce retailers. It also offers transactional solutions, such as Nu Personal Accounts, a digital account solution for personal financial activities; Nu business accounts for entrepreneur customers and their businesses; and Nu business prepaid and credit card.…

Historical context

All NU earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-29T00:02:51.244038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T00:40:40.765219+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T00:40:40.762491+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.