NiSource Inc · NI · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

NiSource expands data-center power strategy as guidance improves

The call supports a constructive but execution-dependent outlook: resilient demand from data-center customers and improved guidance strengthen the growth case, while capital intensity, regulatory approvals, financing, and weather exposure temper it.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $20.91B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.23
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.34B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.6% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
NISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the company’s outlook became more expansive. Management added new data-center commitments, raised the capital ambition, and moved from maintained to improved guidance sentiment, while also highlighting a formal review of severe-weather response.

Guidance delta

Management’s guidance stance improved: the analysis says the outlook was tightened upward and that 2027 guidance was initiated.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted new data-center agreements as a central growth driver.
  • The company is extending investment across regulated infrastructure, generation, and storage.
  • Severe weather response and regulatory execution remain important constraints.

Management priorities

  • Execute new data-center generation and storage projects
  • Extend and fund the long-term capital plan
  • Advance rate cases, storm hardening, and operational safety reviews

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.54 Q4 '23 actual $0.53, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.83 Q1 '24 actual $0.85, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.17 Q2 '24 actual $0.21, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.16 Q3 '24 actual $0.20, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.20 Q2 '25 actual $0.22, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.20 Q3 '25 actual $0.19, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.50 Q4 '25 actual $0.51, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.05 Q1 '26 actual $1.06, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.16 Q2 '26 actual $0.16, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.23 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $1.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy21 ratings
Bullish1571.4%
Neutral628.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$43.87Current
$32Low
$46.3Average
$52High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 20, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 19, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 14, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
Show 16 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $43.87. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$49.5$43 +12.8%Oct 22, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$48$42.48 +9.4%Oct 19, 2026
KeyBancSophie Karp$48$41.23 +9.4%Oct 13, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$45$39.42 +2.6%Sep 28, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGabriel Moreen$48$40.97 +9.4%Aug 26, 2026
See 26 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. The company provides natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through approximately 37,300 miles of distribution main pipeline and the associated individual customer service lines; and 310 miles of transmission main pipeline in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland.…

Historical context

All NI earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-28T19:06:44.283056+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-28T01:23:13.546025+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-28T21:00:43.857601+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-28T21:00:43.854962+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.