NextEra Energy, Inc. · NEE · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2026

NextEra leans into large-load power demand and infrastructure growth

The current and prior analyses support a constructive growth case for NextEra centered on Florida customer growth, large-load power demand, renewable and storage expansion, transmission and gas infrastructure, and AI-enabled operations. That case remains contingent on execution, permitting, financing, supply availability, and durable customer demand.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $160.66B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.53 Consensus $0.56
EPS surprise -5.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.50B Consensus $6.72B
Revenue surprise -3.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.0% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.1% Up to 20 sessions
NEESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the current quarter emphasizes a larger approximately 33 GW renewable and storage backlog, a 9.5 GW U.S.–Japan gas-fired generation opportunity, expanded transmission and gas infrastructure plans, and the Rewire AI suite. The strategic direction and maintained guidance sentiment are consistent with the prior quarter, while project execution and demand durability remain key tests.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management analysis describes continued confidence and a $12–$13 billion full-year FPL capex plan.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 2026 analysis highlights adjusted EPS growth of 10% at FPL and 14% at Energy Resources.
  • Renewable and storage backlog additions reached 4 GW, with total backlog described as approximately 33 GW.
  • Management is expanding large-load, transmission, gas, storage, and Rewire AI initiatives.
  • The growth opportunity is substantial, but execution and regulatory risks remain material.

Management priorities

  • Serve large-load and hyperscaler demand through generation, tariffs, and data-center hubs.
  • Expand transmission, gas pipeline, renewable, and battery-storage infrastructure.
  • Scale the Rewire AI product suite across the fleet.
  • Advance U.S.–Japan gas-fired generation and nuclear-related projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NEE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.49 Q4 '23 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.78 Q1 '24 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.98 Q2 '24 actual $0.96, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.98 Q3 '24 actual $1.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.01 Q2 '25 actual $1.05, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.97 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.09 Q2 '26 actual $1.15, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.18 Q4 '26 estimate $0.61 Q1 '27 estimate $1.06 Q2 '27 estimate $1.23

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2470.6%
Neutral926.5%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$75.92Current
$66Low
$92.29Average
$116High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 13, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 7, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 13, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 24, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMar 5, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 28, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJan 28, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainDec 31, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 29, 2025
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMar 20, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainDec 12, 2024
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 12, 2024
Seaport Global Sell NeutralDowngradeNov 9, 2023
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeOct 5, 2023
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2023
Erste Group Hold BuyDowngradeApr 25, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 26, 2023
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 3, 2021
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainNov 19, 2020
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 4, 2020
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainJun 25, 2019
Argus Buy BuyMaintainNov 5, 2018
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeJan 30, 2017
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 4, 2016
Baird Outperform NeutralUpgradeJan 29, 2016
Scotia Howard Weil Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainNov 17, 2015
ISI Group Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 6, 2014
BGC Financial Hold HoldMaintainApr 28, 2014
Wunderlich Securities Hold HoldMaintainMay 1, 2013
Wunderlich Hold HoldMaintainMay 1, 2013
Hilliard Lyons Buy BuyMaintainJan 30, 2013
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $75.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$114$85.02 +50.2%Aug 21, 2026
BernsteinSunaina Ocalan$108$89.36 +42.3%Jul 27, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$89.78 +26.5%Jul 27, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesPaul Fremont$95$89.78 +25.1%Jul 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$116$88.97 +52.8%Jul 22, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$94$89.07 +23.8%Jul 22, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$94$88.38 +23.8%Jul 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$91$87.44 +19.9%Jul 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$117$87.12 +54.1%Jun 24, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$107$86.23 +40.9%Jun 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$90$88.55 +18.6%May 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$111$89.19 +46.2%May 21, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$115$88.48 +51.5%May 19, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$107$96.6 +40.9%May 4, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$104$95.22 +37.0%Apr 27, 2026
BTIGAlex Kania$112$96.25 +47.5%Apr 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$102$96.25 +34.4%Apr 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$107$91.63 +40.9%Apr 21, 2026
Wells FargoShahriar Pourreza$99$92.01 +30.4%Apr 21, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$108$91.1 +42.3%Apr 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$106$92.28 +39.6%Feb 20, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.57 +25.1%Jan 29, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$92$87.66 +21.2%Jan 28, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$90$87.78 +18.6%Jan 28, 2026
BTIGAlex Kania$103$87.15 +35.7%Jan 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$104$83.76 +37.0%Jan 21, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$87$81.82 +14.6%Jan 14, 2026
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$88$80.53 +15.9%Dec 31, 2025
UBSWilliam Appicelli$91$81.32 +19.9%Dec 17, 2025
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$89$79.64 +17.2%Dec 10, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$94$79.64 +23.8%Dec 10, 2025
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$100$80.55 +31.7%Dec 9, 2025
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$90$82.45 +18.6%Oct 29, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$96$82.72 +26.5%Oct 29, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$88$83.57 +15.9%Oct 29, 2025
Evercore ISINicholas Amicucci$93$83.57 +22.5%Oct 28, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$97$86.03 +27.8%Oct 27, 2025
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$98$83.99 +29.1%Oct 21, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$87$84.77 +14.6%Oct 21, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$85$84.49 +12.0%Oct 14, 2025
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$84$83.35 +10.7%Oct 13, 2025
Evercore ISINicholas Amicucci$92$82.11 +21.2%Oct 6, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$78$76.08 +2.7%Aug 21, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$73$66.64 -3.8%Apr 22, 2025
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$91$83.78 +19.9%Oct 18, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$90$84.43 +18.6%Sep 25, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$83$72.01 +9.3%Jul 15, 2024
ScotiabankAndrew Weisel$73$72.34 -3.8%Jun 12, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$79$72.74 +4.1%Jun 12, 2024
RBC CapitalShelby Tucker$84$71.46 +10.7%Jun 12, 2024
CFRADaniel RIch$85$72.74 +12.0%Jun 11, 2024
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$74$77.15 -2.5%Jun 5, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$83$76.96 +9.3%May 28, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$78$71.25 +2.7%May 7, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$72$65.98 -5.2%Apr 25, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$68$62.75 -10.4%Apr 16, 2024
BarclaysBetty Jiang$66$65.38 -13.1%Apr 10, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$77$62.55 +1.4%Apr 4, 2024
J.P. MorganChristopher Turnure$86$57.1 +13.3%Feb 22, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$73$55.97 -3.8%Feb 6, 2024
CitigroupRyan Levine$69$61.99 -9.1%Jan 4, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$91$53.63 +19.9%Oct 19, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$98$83.62 +29.1%Jan 10, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$110$84.08 +44.9%Jan 10, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$97$85.81 +27.8%Dec 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$95$83.28 +25.1%Nov 11, 2022
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$108$90.47 +42.3%Sep 12, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$81$73.95 +6.7%Apr 25, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$82.12 +15.9%Apr 20, 2022
KeyBancSophie Karp$87$84.18 +14.6%Mar 7, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesPaul Fremont$88$81.47 +15.9%Jan 24, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesJulien Dumoulin Smith$95$84.32 +25.1%Jan 11, 2022
BernsteinMeike Becker$100$91.49 +31.7%Dec 15, 2021
Goldman SachsMichael Lapides$83$76.73 +9.3%Jul 28, 2021
Credit SuisseMaheep Mandloi$85$73.78 +12.0%Jul 13, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NextEra Energy, Inc., operating through its diverse subsidiaries, is a prominent electric power provider in North America. The company's operations encompass the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity to both individual consumers and large-scale wholesale clients. Its energy portfolio is broad, featuring power generation from wind, solar, nuclear, coal, and natural gas facilities. Beyond direct power supply, NextEra Energy is actively involved in developing, constructing, and managing long-term contracted clean energy infrastructure, including renewable energy generation sites, battery storage solutions, and electric transmission networks.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T17:00:56.057419+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T17:00:56.054723+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.