Micron Technology, Inc. · MU · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2025

Micron reports record Q1 as AI memory demand tightens supply

The supplied analysis supports the view that AI-driven memory demand can sustain Micron’s near-term growth, pricing, and margin expansion. The counterweight is execution: capacity, capital intensity, node ramps, and the durability of demand must keep pace.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $1202.89B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.78 Consensus $3.96
EPS surprise +20.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $13.64B Consensus $12.91B
Revenue surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +10.2% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +9.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +46.9% Up to 20 sessions
MUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior supplied quarter, Micron’s narrative shifted from an upbeat FY2026 setup to a record Q1 outcome with 56.8% gross margin, a $20 billion FY2026 CapEx plan, and a record Q2 outlook. HBM4, 1-gamma DRAM, G9 NAND, and LPDDR6 became more central to the growth plan, while capacity constraints and multiyear contract terms remain key watchpoints.

Guidance delta

Management raised the outlook, projecting record Q2 revenue of $18.7 billion and EPS of $8.42; the prior quarter had guided to about $12.5 billion of revenue and $3.75 EPS for Q1.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue reached $13.6 billion and gross margin was 56.8%, both records in the supplied analysis.
  • Management linked demand strength to AI data centers, HBM, 1-gamma DRAM, G9 NAND, and enterprise SSDs.
  • FY2026 CapEx is planned at $20 billion to expand HBM, DRAM, NAND, and fab capacity.
  • The supplied analysis says current capacity is expected to meet only 50%–70% of demand.

Management priorities

  • Ramp HBM4 and increase the HBM3E mix.
  • Scale 1-gamma DRAM and roll out G9 NAND across data-center and client SSDs.
  • Expand capacity through Idaho, New York, Japan, Singapore, and India projects.
  • Develop LPDDR6 for smartphones and AI PCs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MU EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-0.99 Q1 '24 actual $-0.95, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-0.25 Q2 '24 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.48 Q3 '24 actual $0.62, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.11 Q4 '24 actual $1.18, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.60 Q3 '25 actual $1.91, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.86 Q4 '25 actual $3.03, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.96 Q1 '26 actual $4.78, beat Q2 '26 estimate $9.19 Q2 '26 actual $12.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $20.98 Q3 '26 actual $25.11, beat Q4 '26 estimate $31.72 Q1 '27 estimate $35.47 Q2 '27 estimate $38.45 Q3 '27 estimate $41.33
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy69 ratings
Bullish5782.6%
Neutral1014.5%
Bearish22.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,065.11Current
$52Low
$842.64Average
$2,200High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 23, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
Show 64 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,065.11. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Robert W. BairdTristan Gerra$1,520$1,082.28 +42.7%Sep 28, 2026
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$1,400$1,096.16 +31.4%Sep 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$1,300$910.43 +22.1%Aug 25, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,300$974.33 +22.1%Aug 20, 2026
New StreetPierre Ferragu$1,250$979.87 +17.4%Aug 14, 2026
See 242 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Micron Technology, Inc. is a global leader specializing in the development, manufacture, and sale of advanced semiconductor memory and storage solutions. Its operations are structured across four primary business segments: Compute and Networking, Mobile, Storage, and Embedded. The company's product portfolio encompasses a range of memory and data storage technologies. These include high-speed, low-latency Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) components for rapid data retrieval; non-volatile, re-programmable NAND flash storage devices; and fast-read, non-volatile, re-writable NOR memory chips.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T18:56:10.946747+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T18:56:10.943725+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.