Marvell Technology, Inc. · MRVL · FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Marvell raises outlook as AI infrastructure demand broadens

The current analysis supports the view that resilient AI infrastructure demand can sustain Marvell’s growth trajectory, but the thesis depends on execution: custom silicon, XPU-attach, optical interconnect and scale-up optics must convert the raised outlook into revenue while supply and mix risks remain manageable.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $213.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.94 Consensus $0.93
EPS surprise +0.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.74B Consensus $2.72B
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -10.3% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -10.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +12.8% Up to 20 sessions
MRVLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, management described stronger FY27 and FY28 revenue expectations, added a broad multi-year Google warrant agreement, and emphasized custom silicon, XPU-attach and scale-up optics as increasingly important growth engines.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY27 revenue guidance to approximately $12 billion and FY28 guidance to approximately $18 billion, with FY28 up $1.5 billion from the prior quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 FY27 revenue was $2.739 billion, up 37% year over year, led by a 46% increase in data-center revenue.
  • Management raised FY27 and FY28 revenue outlooks to approximately $12 billion and $18 billion, respectively.
  • A new multi-year Google warrant expands the custom silicon and XPU-attach opportunity.
  • Capacity pre-payments, supply execution and margin progression remain important watch points.

Management priorities

  • Scale custom silicon and XPU-attach programs, including the Google relationship
  • Advance optical DSP, NPO/CPO scale-up optics and high-density switching products
  • Secure supply through approximately $1 billion of capacity pre-payments
  • Provide additional product-roadmap and custom-revenue detail at Investor Day

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MRVL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1B Q1 '25 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 actual $2B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q1 '27 actual $2B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 actual $3B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $3B Q4 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy72 ratings
Bullish5981.9%
Neutral1216.7%
Bearish11.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$244.25Current
$53Low
$185.33Average
$400High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 28, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 28, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 28, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 28, 2026
Show 67 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $244.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$270$235.01 +10.5%Sep 9, 2026
Craig-HallumChristian Schwab$300$222.18 +22.8%Aug 28, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$325$241.45 +33.1%Aug 28, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$300$241.45 +22.8%Aug 28, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$220$241.45 -9.9%Aug 28, 2026
See 177 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Marvell Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides data infrastructure semiconductor solutions and spanning the data center core to network edge in the United States, Argentina, China, India, Israel, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, and internationally. The company develops and scales system-on-a-chip architectures, integrating analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing functionality. It offers a portfolio of ethernet solutions, including spanning controllers, network adapters, physical transceivers, and switches; single or multiple core processors; and custom application specific integrated circuits, interconnects, fibre channel adapters, and processors.…

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-28T13:22:23.543707+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T03:10:47.706462+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T03:10:47.703617+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.