Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. · MRSH · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Marsh tops Q1 estimates on 8% revenue growth; AI push and AltamarCAM set 2026 tone

Marsh's Q1 print shows a business able to grow adjusted EPS and expand margins even as insurance and reinsurance pricing compresses, aided by AI-driven productivity, an active acquisition pipeline (AltamarCAM) and steady capital returns. The test over the coming year is whether underlying revenue growth near 4% and margin expansion can outpace falling pricing, lower fiduciary income and the drag from the $425M litigation charge.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $81.09B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.29 Consensus $3.22
EPS surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.60B Consensus $7.41B
Revenue surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.4% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.4% Up to 20 sessions
MRSHSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter (Q4 2025 revenue +9%), Q1 2026 revenue grew 8% to $7.6B with 4% underlying growth, and adjusted EPS rose 8% to $3.29, beating consensus by roughly 2.2%. The quarter introduced a $425M one-time litigation charge tied to the Greenfield Capital collapse and the pending AltamarCAM acquisition, alongside a roughly $5B capital deployment plan including $750M of buybacks. The stock rallied about 4.4% around the print but has drifted about -12.4% since.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management reaffirmed expectations for continued margin expansion and adjusted EPS growth in 2026, with underlying revenue growth expected similar to 2025 despite pricing headwinds. No material change to guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue rose 8% YoY to $7.6B with 4% underlying growth despite insurance/reinsurance pricing pressure; adjusted EPS grew 8% to $3.29.
  • Executives beat consensus on both lines: EPS of $3.29 vs $3.22 est., and revenue of $7.60B vs $7.41B est.
  • Management framed AI as a core growth pillar across risk, consulting and brokerage, with new tools (ADA, Centrus, GC Quotebox) driving efficiency and new revenue.
  • A $425M one-time litigation charge related to the Greenfield Capital collapse was disclosed in Q1.
  • The pending AltamarCAM acquisition (private-market asset manager, roughly EUR20B AUM) and $750M of buybacks headline a roughly $5B capital deployment plan.
  • Guidance was maintained: management expects underlying revenue growth similar to 2025 and continued margin expansion.

Management priorities

  • Execute the Thrive program to deliver $400M of cost savings.
  • Roll out AI-driven tools including Renewal Companion, Captives Companion and the Marsh Risk Cortex analytics engine.
  • Complete the AltamarCAM acquisition later in 2026 pending regulatory approval.
  • Invest in producer talent and expand in high-growth markets.
  • Balance roughly $5B of capital deployment across M&A opportunism and $750M of share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MRSH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $2.67 Q2 '25 actual $2.72, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.78 Q3 '25 actual $1.85, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.97 Q4 '25 actual $2.12, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.22 Q1 '26 actual $3.29, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.88 Q2 '26 actual $2.96, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.98 Q4 '26 estimate $2.23 Q1 '27 estimate $3.57 Q2 '27 estimate $3.21

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1132.4%
Neutral2264.7%
Bearish12.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$173.23Current
$135Low
$201.61Average
$256High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 19, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 13, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 10, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 9, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 26, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 17, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainApr 14, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 8, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy OutperformUpgradeFeb 17, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJan 30, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainNov 3, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeOct 20, 2025
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainOct 5, 2023
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 14, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 29, 2023
Atlantic Equities Neutral OverweightDowngradeNov 7, 2022
MKM Partners Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 30, 2020
CFRA Buy HoldUpgradeApr 29, 2020
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJun 12, 2019
Compass Point Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 15, 2019
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 26, 2018
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeOct 3, 2017
Sandler O'Neill Buy HoldUpgradeNov 7, 2016
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 4, 2015
Keefe, Bruyette& Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 8, 2015
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeSep 24, 2014
Evercore Partners Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 9, 2014
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 11, 2014
Miller Tabak Hold BuyDowngradeOct 3, 2013
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $173.23. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$203$194.67 +17.2%Aug 25, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$200$186.37 +15.5%Aug 19, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$216$184.62 +24.7%Jul 27, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$201$181.59 +16.0%Jul 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$188$181.59 +8.5%Jul 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$180$182.22 +3.9%Jul 21, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$234$179.91 +35.1%Jul 10, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$197$179.05 +13.7%Jul 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$212$177.18 +22.4%Jul 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$175$178.54 +1.0%Jul 6, 2026
UBSBrian Meredith$203$162.52 +17.2%Jun 9, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$182$164.11 +5.1%May 26, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$180$163.38 +3.9%May 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$193$171.93 +11.4%Apr 13, 2026
Raymond JamesStrong Buy$225$174.06 +29.9%Feb 17, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$212$190.46 +22.4%Feb 2, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$213$188.19 +23.0%Feb 2, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$208$182.7 +20.1%Jan 14, 2026
Wells FargoElyse Greenspan$199$185.63 +14.9%Jan 13, 2026
BarclaysAlex Scott$210$182.9 +21.2%Jan 8, 2026
Goldman SachsRobert Cox$199$182.9 +14.9%Jan 7, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$236$182.65 +36.2%Jan 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$190$187.28 +9.7%Dec 16, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$212$187.28 +22.4%Dec 15, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$200$179.28 +15.5%Nov 24, 2025
BarclaysAlex Scott$206$177.13 +18.9%Nov 20, 2025
Roth CapitalHarry Fong$200$189.59 +15.5%Oct 20, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$195$189.59 +12.6%Oct 20, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$195$189.16 +12.6%Oct 17, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$237$189.8 +36.8%Oct 17, 2025
Wells FargoElyse Greenspan$212$186.48 +22.4%Oct 17, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$257$203.84 +48.4%Oct 8, 2025
BarclaysAlex Scott$221$203.84 +27.6%Oct 8, 2025
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$215$203.2 +24.1%Oct 7, 2025
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$220$207.74 +27.0%Aug 18, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldRyan Tunis$256$204.41 +47.8%Aug 12, 2025
UBSBrian Meredith$258$212.86 +48.9%Jul 21, 2025
BMO CapitalMichael Zaremski$228$222.06 +31.6%Oct 22, 2024
Roth CapitalHarry Fong$230$225.88 +32.8%Oct 18, 2024
RBC CapitalMark Dwelle$242$226.92 +39.7%Oct 18, 2024
Goldman SachsRobert Cox$220$226.92 +27.0%Oct 18, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesJoshua Shanker$250$226.76 +44.3%Oct 10, 2024
BMO CapitalMichael Zaremski$217$224.01 +25.3%Oct 1, 2024
BarclaysAlex Scott$236$231.42 +36.2%Sep 4, 2024
Roth CapitalHarry Fong$220$217.42 +27.0%Jul 19, 2024
RBC CapitalMark Dwelle$228$210.94 +31.6%Jun 28, 2024
RBC CapitalMark Dwelle$210$201.73 +21.2%Apr 19, 2024
Wells FargoElyse Greenspan$213$201.73 +23.0%Apr 19, 2024
Evercore ISIDavid Motemaden$221$201.73 +27.6%Apr 18, 2024
Piper SandlerPaul Newsome$211$196.29 +21.8%Apr 17, 2024
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$190$175.28 +9.7%Feb 1, 2023
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$178$170.96 +2.8%Jan 9, 2023
Credit SuisseAndrew Kligerman$157$165.7 -9.4%Dec 23, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$185$168.57 +6.8%Dec 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$150$169.58 -13.4%Nov 22, 2022
Atlantic EquitiesJohn Heagerty$185$163.01 +6.8%Nov 8, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$180$158.12 +3.9%Jul 22, 2022
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$181$155.95 +4.5%Jul 12, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$163$149.77 -5.9%May 23, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$183$157.93 +5.6%May 3, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$164$175.32 -5.3%Apr 22, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$197$175.76 +13.7%Apr 22, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$190$178.7 +9.7%Apr 22, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$185$178.7 +6.8%Apr 22, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$163$179.6 -5.9%Apr 21, 2022
Piper SandlerPaul Newsome$145$132.19 -16.3%Apr 28, 2021
Deutsche BankPhil Stefano$135$132.19 -22.1%Apr 28, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH) functions as a leading professional services organization, delivering expert guidance and innovative solutions to clients across the vital domains of risk management, strategic planning, and human capital. Based in New York City, the firm maintains a substantial global workforce, employing approximately 65,000 full-time professionals. This entity serves as the parent company for several prominent advisory and consulting brands.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T15:11:05.393433+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T15:11:05.390592+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.