Monster Beverage Corporation · MNST · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Monster Beverage: Growth Broadens as 2026 Innovation Pipeline Builds

The latest analysis supports a constructive operating thesis for Monster Beverage: broad international growth, pricing and innovation are supporting sales and margin expansion. The thesis remains conditional on sustained market-share gains, manageable input costs and successful execution of the 2026 launch pipeline.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Defensive $81.64B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.51 Consensus $0.48
EPS surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.13B Consensus $2.04B
Revenue surprise +4.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.6% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -15.8% Up to 20 sessions
MNSTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the latest analysis adds a record Q4 revenue milestone above $2 billion, continued margin expansion, a more detailed 2026 launch and affordable-energy roadmap, and a digital-transformation priority. It also places greater emphasis on aluminum-price volatility, distribution disruption and the execution of new products.

Guidance delta

No explicit guidance was provided, so a guidance change is not available.

Key takeaways

  • The latest analysis describes Q4 2025 net sales growth of 17.6% to $2.13 billion, with the Monster Energy segment up 18.9%.
  • International sales growth was broad-based, while innovation, pricing and affordable-energy offerings remained central growth drivers.
  • Gross margin expanded to 55.5% despite modest aluminum and tariff pressures.
  • Management outlined staggered 2026 launches and continued expansion in emerging-market affordable energy.
  • The main open questions are the durability of share gains, cost pressure and execution of the product pipeline.

Management priorities

  • Staggered 2026 launches, including additional Ultra, Lando Norris and America250 innovations.
  • Expansion of affordable-energy offerings in emerging markets.
  • Continued review of domestic and international pricing opportunities.
  • Rollout of new alcohol-brand products during 2026.
  • Digital transformation, including planned SAP S/4HANA implementation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MNST REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, match Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold44 ratings
Bullish2352.3%
Neutral1840.9%
Bearish36.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$41.74Previous close
$23Low
$74.11Average
$105High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 7, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeJul 20, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $41.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$100$90.36 +139.6%Aug 10, 2026
RBC CapitalNik Modi$97$94.65 +132.4%Aug 5, 2026
BMO CapitalAndrew Strelzik$95$97.5 +127.6%Jul 20, 2026
Deutsche BankSteve Powers$98$97.5 +134.8%Jul 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$104$99.59 +149.2%Jul 16, 2026
See 66 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Monster Beverage Corporation is a global entity primarily involved in the innovation, marketing, sale, and distribution of energy beverages and concentrates. Its business operations are categorized into three main divisions: Monster Energy Drinks, Strategic Brands, and a segment designated as "Other." The company boasts an extensive product portfolio, encompassing a wide array of carbonated energy drinks, alongside various non-carbonated options. These include ready-to-drink iced teas, lemonades, diverse juice cocktails, single-serving juices, and fruit beverages. Additionally, their offerings extend to ready-to-drink dairy and coffee-based concoctions, specialized sports drinks, single-serve still waters, and a selection of sodas described as natural, sparkling juices, and flavored sparkling beverages. Monster Beverage distributes its products through a comprehensive network, supplying bottlers and full-service beverage distributors.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T08:56:12.755599+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T08:56:12.752646+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.