McCormick & Company, Incorporated · MKC · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2026

McCormick beats Q1 estimates but shares slide ~9% on Unilever Foods merger

McCormick cleared consensus in Q1 (EPS $0.66 vs $0.594; revenue $1.87B vs $1.79B), yet the stock fell roughly 9% on the session on elevated volume — the market's focus was the newly unveiled Reverse Morris Trust combination with Unilever Foods. The deal is strategically substantial: a global flavor leader with pro-forma 2025 net sales of ~$20B, $600M of targeted annual cost synergies, and margins seen expanding from ~21% to 23-25%. But current McCormick holders receive just 35% of the combined entity, leverage starts near ~4x pro-forma, and the 13.8x EBITDA multiple plus integration complexity drew analyst skepticism. The session's negative reaction reads as caution about deal scale, dilution, and execution risk rather than disappointment with the reported quarter.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $12.86B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.66 Consensus $0.59
EPS surprise +11.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.87B Consensus $1.79B
Revenue surprise +4.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -6.1% Event window
SPY move +2.9% Same window
Abnormal move -9.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.2% Up to 20 sessions
MKCSPY benchmark

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What changed

McCormick reported FY2026 Q1 EPS of $0.66 versus $0.594 estimated (+11.1%) and revenue of $1.87 billion versus $1.79 billion estimated (+4.9%). Alongside the results, management unveiled a Reverse Morris Trust combination with Unilever Foods. The market reacted negatively on the session despite the beats: an abnormal move of roughly -9.0% versus a positive benchmark move, on about 3.1x normal volume.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance sentiment. The deal outlook targets 3-5% organic sales growth and margin expansion to 23-25% by year three post-synergies, with pro-forma 2025 net sales of ~$20B at ~21% operating margins. Dividend policy stays unchanged, and net leverage is expected to decline from ~4x at close to ~3x within two years.

Key takeaways

  • FY2026 Q1 EPS of $0.66 beat consensus by ~11%; revenue of $1.87B beat by ~5%.
  • Management announced a Reverse Morris Trust combination with Unilever Foods creating a global flavor leader; Unilever shareholders receive 65% of combined equity, McCormick shareholders 35%.
  • Targeted annual run-rate cost synergies of $600M, with $100M reinvested in brand marketing and innovation.
  • Pro-forma 2025 net sales of ~$20B with operating margins of ~21%, seen expanding to 23-25% after synergies.
  • Dividend policy unchanged; net leverage expected to fall from ~4x at close to ~3x within two years.
  • The stock fell ~9% on the announcement session on ~3x normal volume despite the earnings beat.

Management priorities

  • Deploy $100M of incremental marketing and innovation spend.
  • Accelerate geographic expansion of high-growth brands such as Cholula and Frank's.
  • Scale the dual-engine Food Service platform globally, including front-of-house and back-of-house cross-selling.
  • Launch new flavor innovations leveraging combined R&D capabilities.
  • Maintain and potentially increase the dividend while deleveraging toward ~3x net leverage.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MKC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.79 Q4 '23 actual $0.85, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.58 Q1 '24 actual $0.63, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.59 Q2 '24 actual $0.69, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.68 Q3 '24 actual $0.83, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.65 Q2 '25 actual $0.69, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.83 Q3 '25 actual $0.85, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.88 Q4 '25 actual $0.86, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.59 Q1 '26 actual $0.66, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.69 Q2 '26 actual $0.80, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.76 Q4 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '27 estimate $0.66 Q2 '27 estimate $0.79
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1034.5%
Neutral1758.6%
Bearish26.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$47.94Current
$51Low
$71.33Average
$93High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Hold BuyDowngradeSep 14, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 29, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 26, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJun 26, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $47.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Coker PalmerThomas Palmer$62$49.34 +29.3%Sep 18, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$55$51.05 +14.7%Jun 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$52$48.35 +8.5%Jun 26, 2026
BernsteinAlexia Howard$68$48.35 +41.8%Jun 26, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$60$48.35 +25.2%Jun 26, 2026
See 35 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

McCormick & Company, Incorporated is a global leader in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of a wide array of flavorful products, including spices, seasoning mixes, and condiments, to the food industry. Its operations are divided into two primary segments: Consumer and Flavor Solutions. The Consumer segment provides an extensive range of items such as spices, herbs, seasonings, sauces, and desserts. These are sold under numerous prominent brands across various regions: McCormick, French's, Frank's RedHot, Lawry's Cholula Hot Sauce, Gourmet Garden, Club House, and OLD BAY in the Americas; Ducros, Schwartz, Kamis, Drogheria & Alimentari, and Vahiné throughout Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA); McCormick and DaQiao in China; and McCormick, Aeroplane, and Gourmet Garden in Australia.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T19:11:37.582966+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T19:11:37.579956+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.