McCormick & Company, Incorporated · MKC · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2025

McCormick: Volume Growth Holds, Tariff Mitigation Takes Focus

The supplied analysis supports a measured version of the growth thesis: volume-led Consumer performance, innovation and distribution expansion provide support, while tariff exposure, price elasticity, softer Flavor Solutions performance and execution demands are material offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $12.21B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.69 Consensus $0.65
EPS surprise +6.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.66B Consensus $1.66B
Revenue surprise +0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.3% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +4.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.7% Up to 20 sessions
MKCSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the Q2 analysis placed greater emphasis on quantified tariff exposure and mitigation, product and platform launches, and a functional SAP deployment approach. Consumer momentum remained a support, while Flavor Solutions was flat.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management continued to expect 2025 organic net-sales growth of 1–3%.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 organic sales growth was volume-led, with Consumer growth offsetting a flat Flavor Solutions result.
  • Management highlighted sourcing, analytics and targeted pricing as responses to tariff and commodity pressure.
  • Product launches, distribution expansion, brand marketing and digital transformation remain central to the operating plan.
  • The transcript analysis identifies price elasticity, EMEA QSR traffic and SAP implementation as key execution questions.

Management priorities

  • Protect volume through brand marketing and product innovation
  • Mitigate tariff and commodity pressure through sourcing, analytics and targeted pricing
  • Expand distribution, e-commerce and the McCormick For Chefs platform
  • Continue digital and AI investment and manage the SAP ERP deployment

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MKC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, match Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1034.5%
Neutral1758.6%
Bearish26.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$45.25Current
$47Low
$67.94Average
$93High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 2, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 2, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainOct 2, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 2, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 2, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $45.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$48$44.52 +6.1%Oct 2, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$57$44.55 +26.0%Oct 2, 2026
BernsteinAlexia Howard$59$44.14 +30.4%Oct 2, 2026
Stifel NicolausMatthew Smith$48$44.14 +6.1%Oct 2, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$47$44.14 +3.9%Oct 2, 2026
See 40 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

McCormick & Company, Incorporated is a global leader in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of a wide array of flavorful products, including spices, seasoning mixes, and condiments, to the food industry. Its operations are divided into two primary segments: Consumer and Flavor Solutions. The Consumer segment provides an extensive range of items such as spices, herbs, seasonings, sauces, and desserts. These are sold under numerous prominent brands across various regions: McCormick, French's, Frank's RedHot, Lawry's Cholula Hot Sauce, Gourmet Garden, Club House, and OLD BAY in the Americas; Ducros, Schwartz, Kamis, Drogheria & Alimentari, and Vahiné throughout Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA); McCormick and DaQiao in China; and McCormick, Aeroplane, and Gourmet Garden in Australia.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T19:30:42.547302+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T19:30:42.544585+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.