Meta Platforms, Inc. · META · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Meta Q3: Strong ad growth meets accelerating AI investment

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view of Meta's growth trajectory: resilient advertising demand and improving AI-driven engagement provide evidence for continued growth, while the payoff from sharply higher AI investment remains unproven and carries execution, margin, regulatory, and seasonality risks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQCommunication Services $1854.77B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.25 Consensus $6.72
EPS surprise +7.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $51.24B Consensus $49.51B
Revenue surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -11.3% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -10.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 7.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.8% Up to 20 sessions
METASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior-quarter analysis, Meta reported faster revenue growth, expanded its AI product and model roadmap, and made the scale of infrastructure financing more explicit through the Blue Owl joint venture. The new analysis also highlights a near-term Q4 Reality Labs headwind from lapping the Quest 3S launch, alongside continued regulatory and capex concerns.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management emphasized continued investment in AI compute, data centers, products, and advertising automation.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue rose 26% year over year, driven by strong advertising growth and video engagement.
  • Management highlighted AI-powered recommendations, Advantage+ automation, Meta AI, and AI glasses as growth drivers.
  • AI infrastructure investment is accelerating; a Blue Owl joint venture is intended to fund future data-center builds.
  • Reality Labs revenue grew 74% year over year in Q3, but management flagged a Q4 headwind from lapping the Quest 3S launch.
  • The central tension is whether AI investment can sustain growth while capex, expenses, regulatory scrutiny, and product-seasonality risks rise.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI compute and data-center capacity, including through the Blue Owl joint venture.
  • Advance frontier AI models and integrate them across Meta's family of apps.
  • Expand Advantage+ automated advertising and improve ad conversion and efficiency.
  • Scale AI glasses and next-generation Ray-Ban and Oakley devices.
  • Develop Meta AI, Vibes, and other AI-created content experiences.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
META EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4.96 Q4 '23 actual $5.33, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4.32 Q1 '24 actual $4.71, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4.73 Q2 '24 actual $5.16, beat Q3 '24 estimate $5.25 Q3 '24 actual $6.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.88 Q2 '25 actual $7.14, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.72 Q3 '25 actual $7.25, beat Q4 '25 estimate $8.19 Q4 '25 actual $8.88, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6.70 Q1 '26 actual $10.44, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7.19 Q2 '26 actual $6.18, miss Q3 '26 estimate $6.77 Q4 '26 estimate $8.48 Q1 '27 estimate $8.28
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy64 ratings
Bullish5179.7%
Neutral1117.2%
Bearish23.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$728.08Current
$105Low
$543.55Average
$950High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Arete Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 2, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeApr 30, 2026
Erste Group Hold BuyDowngradeApr 2, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 29, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 29, 2026
Show 59 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $728.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
MonnessBrian White$830$751.66 +14.0%Sep 28, 2026
Canaccord GenuityMaria Ripps$950$777.59 +30.5%Sep 25, 2026
Piper SandlerThomas Champion$875$777.59 +20.2%Sep 25, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$875$741.24 +20.2%Sep 22, 2026
Wells FargoKen Gawrelski$796$665.75 +9.3%Sep 21, 2026
See 242 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Meta Platforms Inc., which operated as Facebook, Inc. until its October 2021 rebranding, is a technology enterprise focused on developing innovative products that empower people globally to connect and share with their friends and family. These services are accessible across a variety of digital platforms, including mobile phones, personal computers, virtual reality devices, and wearables. The company's activities are organized into two principal divisions: the Family of Apps and Reality Labs. The Family of Apps segment encompasses well-known platforms such as: Facebook, where users can share content, participate in discussions, explore new interests, and build connections.…

Historical context

All META earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T17:10:43.094202+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T17:10:43.091306+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.