MetLife, Inc. · MET · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

MetLife pairs record retirement volumes with maintained 2026 targets

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view of MetLife’s operating trajectory: retirement volumes, international growth, asset-management scale, and efficiency initiatives support continued earnings growth, while underwriting, macro, integration, and workforce risks temper the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $61.26B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.58 Consensus $2.34
EPS surprise +10.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $23.81B Consensus $27.22B
Revenue surprise -12.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.4% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.6% Up to 20 sessions
METSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, MetLife has closed the PineBridge acquisition and established MetLife Investment Management as a standalone segment. The current analysis also emphasizes record annual pension risk transfer origination, international sales growth, and maintained 2026 targets, while adding integration and disability-severity considerations.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, including double-digit adjusted EPS growth and 15–17% ROE in 2026, with a 12.1% direct expense-ratio target for 2026.

Key takeaways

  • The current analysis describes adjusted EPS growth and 2025 ROE as meeting five-year targets.
  • International sales growth, especially in Asia and Latin America, remained a central driver.
  • PineBridge is now integrated into a standalone MetLife Investment Management segment, adding scale while creating integration considerations.

Management priorities

  • Sustain double-digit adjusted EPS growth and 15–17% ROE in 2026.
  • Expand pension risk transfer, retirement, and annuity reinsurance flows.
  • Scale MetLife Investment Management and digital platforms while improving efficiency.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MET EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.88 Q4 '23 actual $1.93, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.84 Q1 '24 actual $1.83, match Q2 '24 estimate $2.10 Q2 '24 actual $2.28, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.17 Q3 '24 actual $1.93, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.15 Q2 '25 actual $2.02, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2.31 Q3 '25 actual $2.34, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.34 Q4 '25 actual $2.58, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.27 Q1 '26 actual $2.42, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.30 Q2 '26 actual $2.43, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.60 Q4 '26 estimate $2.59 Q1 '27 estimate $2.55
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2678.8%
Neutral721.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$95.2Current
$68Low
$94Average
$145High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 11, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $95.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerPaul Newsome$110$96.64 +15.5%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$111$95.75 +16.6%Aug 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$109$96.73 +14.5%Aug 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$97$96.26 +1.9%Aug 6, 2026
Atlantic EquitiesAnalyst unavailable$103$92.44 +8.2%Jul 15, 2026
See 57 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

MetLife, Inc. operates as a leading global financial services entity, delivering an extensive array of services encompassing insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management. The company manages its operations through five primary divisions: the U.S., Asia, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and MetLife Holdings. Its broad insurance offerings include life, dental, group short-term and long-term disability, individual disability, pet, accidental death and dismemberment, vision, and accident and health coverages, as well as prepaid legal plans. MetLife also supports employers with administrative services-only (ASO) arrangements. Furthermore, it provides sophisticated financial instruments such as general and separate account contracts, synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, and private floating rate funding agreements.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T04:46:07.235017+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T04:46:07.231734+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.