MetLife, Inc. · MET · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

MetLife: Asia growth offsets underwriting and investment pressure

MetLife's growth initiatives and regional sales momentum support the longer-term strategy, but the near-term earnings picture remains balanced by underwriting pressure, lower variable investment income and commercial-mortgage risk.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $62.52B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.02 Consensus $2.15
EPS surprise -6.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $17.34B Consensus $18.53B
Revenue surprise -6.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.8% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -2.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.7% Up to 20 sessions
METSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the company continued to emphasize Asia and Latin America growth, strategic transactions and expense discipline, while adjusted earnings were down 16% year over year and underwriting and variable-investment-income pressure remained central concerns.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was maintained; it expects improvement in Q3 and Q4 while continuing its New Frontier strategy.

Key takeaways

  • Asia sales momentum and new FX annuity products remain important growth drivers.
  • Underwriting pressure and lower variable investment income weighed on the quarter.
  • Expense discipline remained a support, with the direct expense ratio at 11.7% versus a 12.1% target.
  • PineBridge, Chariot Re, Workday and early AI initiatives extend the company's strategic agenda.

Management priorities

  • Advance the PineBridge acquisition and expand investment-management capabilities.
  • Scale Chariot Re and pursue additional risk-transfer transactions.
  • Expand AI applications across claims, programming and call centers.
  • Continue capital returns while funding growth initiatives and developing new products.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MET REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $18B Q4 '23 actual $19B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $18B Q1 '24 actual $16B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $19B Q2 '24 actual $18B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $19B Q3 '24 actual $18B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $19B Q2 '25 actual $17B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $19B Q3 '25 actual $17B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $27B Q4 '25 actual $24B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $19B Q1 '26 actual $20B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $20B Q2 '26 actual $19B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $20B Q4 '26 estimate $21B Q1 '27 estimate $21B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2678.8%
Neutral721.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$95.76Current
$68Low
$94.17Average
$145High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $95.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSMichael Ward$110$96.88 +14.9%Oct 6, 2026
Piper SandlerPaul Newsome$110$96.64 +14.9%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$111$95.75 +15.9%Aug 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$109$96.73 +13.8%Aug 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$97$96.26 +1.3%Aug 6, 2026
See 58 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

MetLife, Inc. operates as a leading global financial services entity, delivering an extensive array of services encompassing insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management. The company manages its operations through five primary divisions: the U.S., Asia, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and MetLife Holdings. Its broad insurance offerings include life, dental, group short-term and long-term disability, individual disability, pet, accidental death and dismemberment, vision, and accident and health coverages, as well as prepaid legal plans. MetLife also supports employers with administrative services-only (ASO) arrangements. Furthermore, it provides sophisticated financial instruments such as general and separate account contracts, synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, and private floating rate funding agreements.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T16:00:43.710140+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T16:00:43.706805+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.