MetLife, Inc. · MET · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

MetLife advances its strategy while managing spread and investment-income pressures

The current analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of MetLife's operating trajectory: earnings growth, retirement-solution demand, international sales and capital actions provide support, but spread pressure, variable investment income, real-estate exposure and macro sensitivity could limit durability.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $64.03B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.01
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $18.08B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.5% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.7% Up to 20 sessions
METSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, MetLife reported continued earnings growth and emphasized a Talcott Resolution Life risk transfer, stronger Asia sales and further acquisition integration. The focus also shifted toward declining RIS spreads, below-implied-run-rate variable investment income and the need for a preliminary second-quarter update.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management also planned a preliminary variable investment income update for the second quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted earnings grew year over year, supported by underwriting, volume growth and investment income, while foreign-currency and interest-margin pressures moderated results.
  • Management highlighted retirement solutions, pension risk transfers, international sales and capital returns as central to the outlook.
  • The Talcott Resolution Life risk transfer is intended to reduce legacy variable-annuity tail risk; execution and investment-income variability remain important watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Continue executing the New Frontier five-year strategy
  • Expand retirement and income solutions and pension risk transfers
  • Integrate the Mesirow and PineBridge acquisitions
  • Develop international distribution, including the Japan banc-channel product
  • Launch Chariot Re to enhance capital flexibility

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MET EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.84 Q1 '24 actual $1.83, match Q2 '24 estimate $2.10 Q2 '24 actual $2.28, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.17 Q3 '24 actual $1.93, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.15 Q2 '25 actual $2.02, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2.31 Q3 '25 actual $2.34, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.34 Q4 '25 actual $2.58, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.27 Q1 '26 actual $2.42, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.30 Q2 '26 actual $2.43, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.76 Q4 '26 estimate $2.59 Q1 '27 estimate $2.49
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2678.8%
Neutral721.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$100.76Current
$68Low
$95.14Average
$145High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 24, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainJul 13, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 14, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2024
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainMay 22, 2024
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJan 9, 2024
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 4, 2023
Raymond James Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 22, 2022
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 22, 2022
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeAug 19, 2022
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainApr 12, 2019
Sandler O'Neill Hold BuyDowngradeMar 19, 2019
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 16, 2019
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2018
B. Riley FBR Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2018
Atlantic Equities Overweight NeutralUpgradeMar 26, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainNov 6, 2017
FBR Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 10, 2017
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 4, 2016
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 12, 2015
Sterne Agee Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2014
Drexel Hamilton Buy BuyMaintainJul 7, 2014
Janney Montgomery Scott Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 3, 2014
Janney Capital Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 3, 2014
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $100.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$109$97.16 +8.2%Oct 7, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$111$97.16 +10.2%Oct 7, 2026
UBSMichael Ward$110$96.88 +9.2%Oct 6, 2026
Piper SandlerPaul Newsome$110$96.64 +9.2%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$111$95.75 +10.2%Aug 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$109$96.73 +8.2%Aug 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$97$96.26 -3.7%Aug 6, 2026
Atlantic EquitiesAnalyst unavailable$103$92.44 +2.2%Jul 15, 2026
JefferiesSuneet Kamath$103$91.15 +2.2%Jul 10, 2026
UBSMichael Ward$105$90.27 +4.2%Jul 8, 2026
BarclaysAlex Scott$94$90.46 -6.7%Jul 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$103$90.93 +2.2%Jul 6, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$90$88.03 -10.7%Jun 24, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$86$84.06 -14.6%May 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$93$83.5 -7.7%May 21, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$95$77.98 -5.7%May 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$95$78.82 -5.7%May 8, 2026
BarclaysAlex Scott$93$80.16 -7.7%May 7, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$93$74.63 -7.7%Apr 13, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$96$74.65 -4.7%Apr 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$102$74.65 +1.2%Apr 9, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$100$78.89 -0.8%Feb 12, 2026
Evercore ISIThomas Gallagher$95$77.92 -5.7%Feb 10, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$98$78.01 -2.7%Feb 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$102$77.08 +1.2%Jan 14, 2026
Wells FargoElyse Greenspan$97$78.32 -3.7%Jan 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$94$79.79 -6.7%Jan 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$90$79.47 -10.7%Jan 8, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$97$81.77 -3.7%Jan 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$101$82.62 +0.2%Dec 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$101$83.22 +0.2%Dec 15, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$98$82.75 -2.7%Oct 8, 2025
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$97$82.7 -3.7%Oct 7, 2025
Piper SandlerJohn Barnidge$84$79.07 -16.6%Sep 19, 2025
Wolfe ResearchTracy Benguigui$95$80.46 -5.7%Sep 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$98$77.74 -2.7%Jul 14, 2025
Piper SandlerJohn Barnidge$94$82.49 -6.7%Apr 2, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$109$86.18 +8.2%Feb 28, 2025
Piper SandlerJohn Barnidge$92$81.78 -8.7%Oct 2, 2024
BarclaysAlex Scott$91$77.52 -9.7%Sep 4, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesJoshua Shanker$96$76.85 -4.7%Aug 1, 2024
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$83$69.92 -17.6%Jul 10, 2024
Argus ResearchKevin Heal$80$73.15 -20.6%May 22, 2024
Piper SandlerJohn Barnidge$82$70.94 -18.6%May 6, 2024
CFRACatherine Seifert$77$72.67 -23.6%Mar 13, 2024
Goldman SachsAlex Scott$80$68.92 -20.6%Jan 8, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$145$63.79 +43.9%Sep 14, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$90$72.68 -10.7%Feb 2, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$71.35 -12.7%Jan 10, 2023
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$78$73.58 -22.6%Jan 9, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$80$73.58 -20.6%Jan 6, 2023
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$82$73.61 -18.6%Dec 9, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$87$74.01 -13.7%Nov 17, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$77$67.39 -23.6%Aug 22, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$83$67.25 -17.6%Aug 17, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$79$64.14 -21.6%Aug 4, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$75$57.79 -25.6%Jul 14, 2022
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$80$61.4 -20.6%Jul 6, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$78$61.58 -22.6%Jul 6, 2022
Wolfe ResearchCharles Lederer$74$61.75 -26.6%Jun 22, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$80$67.23 -20.6%May 5, 2022
Evercore ISIThomas Gallagher$75$64.18 -25.6%Jan 5, 2022
Goldman SachsAlex Scott$77$58.92 -23.6%Dec 2, 2021
Credit SuisseAndrew Kligerman$68$63.12 -32.5%May 13, 2021
Argus ResearchKevin Heal$72$65.2 -28.5%May 7, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

MetLife, Inc. operates as a leading global financial services entity, delivering an extensive array of services encompassing insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management. The company manages its operations through five primary divisions: the U.S., Asia, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and MetLife Holdings. Its broad insurance offerings include life, dental, group short-term and long-term disability, individual disability, pet, accidental death and dismemberment, vision, and accident and health coverages, as well as prepaid legal plans. MetLife also supports employers with administrative services-only (ASO) arrangements. Furthermore, it provides sophisticated financial instruments such as general and separate account contracts, synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, and private floating rate funding agreements.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-16T00:02:45.914612+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T03:00:40.643287+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T03:00:40.640545+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.