Medtronic plc · MDT · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2025

Medtronic raises FY26 EPS outlook as cardiac ablation growth accelerates

The quarter provided support for a growth-and-execution case: revenue growth, an EPS beat and higher guidance were accompanied by strong CAS momentum. The thesis still depends on converting upcoming product launches and the MiniMed separation into durable growth and margin improvement while managing tariffs and mix.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $110.57B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.26 Consensus $1.23
EPS surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.58B Consensus $8.38B
Revenue surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.1% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -2.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.2% Up to 20 sessions
MDTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter's maintained outlook, Medtronic raised FY26 EPS guidance to $5.60-$5.66. CAS growth accelerated, while the company added detail on Diabetes sensor launches, the MiniMed separation, Symplicity and Hugo execution.

Guidance delta

Raised: FY26 EPS guidance moved to $5.60-$5.66 from the prior quarter's maintained outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 FY26 revenue grew 8.4%, or 4.8% organically, and EPS beat expectations.
  • Cardiac ablation solutions grew about 50%, with Sphere-360 positioned as a further growth driver.
  • Diabetes sensors and the MiniMed separation remain central to the margin and growth framework.
  • Management highlighted Symplicity, Hugo, Instinct and other launches as upcoming execution milestones.

Management priorities

  • Scale cardiac ablation products, including Sphere-360
  • Advance Diabetes sensor launches and the MiniMed separation
  • Prepare commercialization of Symplicity renal denervation and Hugo
  • Increase R&D investment and strengthen operating governance

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.18 Q2 '24 actual $1.25, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.26 Q3 '24 actual $1.30, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.45 Q4 '24 actual $1.46, match Q1 '25 estimate $1.20 Q1 '25 actual $1.23, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.23 Q1 '26 actual $1.26, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.31 Q2 '26 actual $1.36, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.34 Q3 '26 actual $1.36, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.54 Q4 '26 actual $1.55, match Q1 '27 estimate $1.39 Q1 '27 actual $1.45, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.33 Q3 '27 estimate $1.42
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3160.8%
Neutral2039.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$88Current
$77Low
$105.19Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $88. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$92$91.5 +4.6%Sep 3, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$110$92.18 +25.0%Sep 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Petrone$115$92.18 +30.7%Sep 2, 2026
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$95$92.04 +8.0%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoLarry Biegelsen$104$92.04 +18.2%Sep 2, 2026
See 102 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Medtronic plc is a leading global medical technology enterprise that invents, develops, manufactures, and distributes an extensive range of device-based medical therapies. These solutions serve healthcare systems, clinicians, physicians, and patients across the world. The company's operations are categorized into several key portfolios: Cardiovascular Portfolio: This segment focuses on cardiac health, providing technologies for heart rhythm management, including implantable pacemakers, defibrillators, and monitoring systems, alongside cardiac ablation tools and remote patient software. It also addresses structural heart issues with products like aortic and pulmonary valves, surgical repair devices, and endovascular stent grafts, in addition to offerings for percutaneous coronary interventions (e.g., angioplasty balloons).…

Historical context

All MDT earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T18:30:42.309447+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T18:30:42.306783+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.