MongoDB, Inc. · MDB · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

MongoDB: Atlas growth, margin gains and AI investment strengthen outlook

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Atlas consumption growth, improved operating leverage, AI product expansion and up-market execution strengthen MongoDB’s growth case. The thesis remains exposed to non-Atlas revenue pressure, competition and the pace of AI adoption.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $27.15B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.00 Consensus $0.67
EPS surprise +49.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $549.0M Consensus $528.1M
Revenue surprise +4.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +12.8% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +13.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.8% Up to 20 sessions
MDBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management’s stance strengthened: guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised, non-GAAP operating margin improved to 16%, Atlas reached 72% of revenue, and the authorized buyback increased to $1 billion. The company also highlighted Voyage AI embedding and vector-search capabilities as a larger part of its product strategy.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year revenue and margin guidance; the analysis does not provide the revised figures.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and Atlas growth beat guidance, with Atlas at 72% of total revenue.
  • Non-GAAP operating margin reached 16%, and full-year margin guidance was raised by 200 basis points.
  • Voyage AI and new embedding models are central to the company’s AI and vector-search strategy.
  • Management expanded total authorized share repurchases to $1 billion and reported strong customer additions.

Management priorities

  • Expand Atlas AI and vector-search capabilities, including automatic embedding generation.
  • Scale application-modernization tools for legacy migrations.
  • Pursue enterprise up-market growth and expand the self-serve channel.
  • Continue developer education and product enhancements, including MongoDB 8.1.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $404M Q3 '24 actual $433M, beat Q4 '24 estimate $437M Q4 '24 actual $458M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $441M Q1 '25 actual $451M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $465M Q2 '25 actual $478M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $528M Q1 '26 actual $549M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $554M Q2 '26 actual $591M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $594M Q3 '26 actual $628M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $670M Q4 '26 actual $695M, beat Q1 '27 estimate $665M Q1 '27 actual $688M, beat Q2 '27 estimate $735M Q2 '27 actual $772M, beat Q3 '27 estimate $763M Q4 '27 estimate $806M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy45 ratings
Bullish3680.0%
Neutral715.6%
Bearish24.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$337.57Current
$215Low
$411.33Average
$560High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainOct 8, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 30, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $337.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankPatrick Colville$450$366.23 +33.3%Oct 8, 2026
D.A. DavidsonRudy Kessinger$415$353.36 +22.9%Sep 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$385$358.36 +14.1%Sep 30, 2026
Piper SandlerHannah Rudoff$470$356.22 +39.2%Sep 30, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$420$337.19 +24.4%Sep 30, 2026
See 103 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

MongoDB, Inc. serves as a global provider of a versatile database platform. The company's offerings feature MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a sophisticated commercial database server designed for corporate clients, which can be deployed in cloud, on-premises, or hybrid environments. It also presents MongoDB Atlas, a fully managed, multi-cloud database-as-a-service (DBaaS) solution. For developers seeking to start with MongoDB, the company offers a free, downloadable Community Server that includes fundamental database functionalities. Beyond its core database products, MongoDB, Inc. provides professional services such as consulting and training. Founded in 2007 and based in New York, New York, the company was formerly known as 10gen, Inc. before adopting the name MongoDB, Inc. in August 2013.

Historical context

All MDB earnings

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T17:30:44.812342+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T17:30:44.809348+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.