MongoDB, Inc. · MDB · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

MongoDB pairs stable Atlas demand with heavier AI investment

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: stable Atlas consumption, enterprise expansion, and AI capabilities provide growth avenues, while the non-Atlas headwind, lower expected operating margin, and uncertain AI monetization temper the case.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $29.85B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.64
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $519.6M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -26.9% Event window
SPY move -1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -25.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 9.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -15.4% Up to 20 sessions
MDBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, MongoDB added the Voyage AI acquisition, described stable Atlas consumption at a larger revenue mix, and put greater emphasis on a $50 million FY26 non-Atlas headwind and lower operating margin.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance sentiment while outlining FY26 revenue of $2.24-$2.28 billion and operating margin around 10%, below FY25.

Key takeaways

  • Atlas represented 71% of Q4 revenue, with stable consumption growth.
  • Voyage AI adds embedding and reranking capabilities to MongoDB's AI strategy.
  • Non-Atlas growth faces an expected $50 million multiyear headwind in FY26.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Voyage AI models into MongoDB's platform.
  • Expand application modernization services for legacy Java workloads.
  • Invest in strategic accounts, AI features, and the partner ecosystem.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.49 Q3 '24 actual $0.96, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.46 Q4 '24 actual $0.86, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.38 Q1 '25 actual $0.51, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.49 Q2 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.67 Q1 '26 actual $1.00, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.67 Q2 '26 actual $1.00, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.81 Q3 '26 actual $1.32, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.48 Q4 '26 actual $1.65, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.19 Q1 '27 actual $1.32, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.62 Q2 '27 actual $1.90, beat Q3 '27 estimate $1.61 Q4 '27 estimate $1.73
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy45 ratings
Bullish3680.0%
Neutral715.6%
Bearish24.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$371.09Current
$215Low
$411.33Average
$560High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainOct 8, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 30, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $371.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankPatrick Colville$450$366.23 +21.3%Oct 8, 2026
D.A. DavidsonRudy Kessinger$415$353.36 +11.8%Sep 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$385$358.36 +3.7%Sep 30, 2026
Piper SandlerHannah Rudoff$470$356.22 +26.7%Sep 30, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$420$337.19 +13.2%Sep 30, 2026
See 103 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

MongoDB, Inc. serves as a global provider of a versatile database platform. The company's offerings feature MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a sophisticated commercial database server designed for corporate clients, which can be deployed in cloud, on-premises, or hybrid environments. It also presents MongoDB Atlas, a fully managed, multi-cloud database-as-a-service (DBaaS) solution. For developers seeking to start with MongoDB, the company offers a free, downloadable Community Server that includes fundamental database functionalities. Beyond its core database products, MongoDB, Inc. provides professional services such as consulting and training. Founded in 2007 and based in New York, New York, the company was formerly known as 10gen, Inc. before adopting the name MongoDB, Inc. in August 2013.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-20T12:55:22.487459+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T18:20:43.416576+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T18:20:43.413598+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.