McKesson Corporation · MCK · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026

McKesson raises FY27 outlook as specialty growth and AI investments advance

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: specialty demand and technology-led efficiency are contributing to growth, while the raised FY27 outlook improves visibility. The key test is whether these gains persist as pricing, regulation, free cash flow, and separation execution remain constraints.

Reported After market closeNYSEHealthcare $103.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $9.93 Consensus $9.56
EPS surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $105.38B Consensus $103.88B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.7% Up to 20 sessions
MCKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q1 FY27 exceeded expectations, with adjusted EPS up 20% and revenue up 8% in the supplied analysis. Management raised FY27 adjusted EPS guidance, cited strong oncology and multispecialty performance, and continued advancing the Medical-Surgical separation.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY27 adjusted EPS guidance to $44.20-$45.00 from the prior $43.80-$44.60 range.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 FY27 adjusted EPS was $9.93, above the $9.56 estimate, while revenue was $105.38 billion versus a $103.875 billion estimate.
  • Oncology and multispecialty growth, GLP-1 distribution, and provider-network expansion were central growth drivers.
  • Management highlighted measurable efficiency gains from AI and technology investments and continued progress on the Medical-Surgical separation.

Management priorities

  • Expand oncology and multispecialty provider networks.
  • Scale AI deployment and the Oklahoma distribution center.
  • Advance the Well-verse standalone transition while maintaining disciplined capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MCK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $6.34 Q4 '24 actual $6.18, miss Q1 '25 estimate $7.21 Q1 '25 actual $7.88, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6.88 Q2 '25 actual $7.07, beat Q1 '26 estimate $8.14 Q1 '26 actual $8.26, beat Q2 '26 estimate $9.03 Q2 '26 actual $9.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $9.17 Q3 '26 actual $9.34, beat Q4 '26 estimate $11.56 Q4 '26 actual $11.69, beat Q1 '27 estimate $9.56 Q1 '27 actual $9.93, beat Q2 '27 estimate $10.71 Q3 '27 estimate $11.08 Q4 '27 estimate $13.04
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2580.6%
Neutral619.4%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$886.47Current
$257Low
$806.48Average
$1,085High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 14, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 8, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 6, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 5, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainNov 6, 2025
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 6, 2025
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2025
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 24, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJun 24, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 18, 2022
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2021
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMay 27, 2020
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainMay 20, 2020
Standpoint Research Buy HoldUpgradeJul 10, 2018
Leerink Swann Market Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 29, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainApr 11, 2018
Needham Hold HoldMaintainApr 4, 2017
Avondale Partners Market Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 18, 2017
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 12, 2016
S&P Capital IQ Buy Strong BuyDowngradeJan 13, 2014
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 29, 2013
ISI Group Strong Buy BuyUpgradeOct 24, 2013
Sterne Agee Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $886.47. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysGlen Santangelo$1,000$869.26 +12.8%Aug 19, 2026
RBC CapitalRyan Halsted$845$869.26 -4.7%Aug 19, 2026
Wells FargoStephan Baxter$933$879.87 +5.2%Aug 11, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$1,015$843.89 +14.5%Aug 6, 2026
UBSKevin Caliendo$1,050$744.46 +18.4%May 8, 2026
Deutsche BankGeorge Hill$875$763.9 -1.3%May 8, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$970$930.31 +9.4%Mar 5, 2026
Leerink PartnersMichael Cherny$1,085$930.22 +22.4%Mar 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$1,050$946.47 +18.4%Feb 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$966$826.62 +9.0%Jan 29, 2026
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$968$833.36 +9.2%Jan 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$960$797.93 +8.3%Dec 8, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$1,000$852.02 +12.8%Nov 6, 2025
UBSKevin Caliendo$920$801.3 +3.8%Oct 27, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$900$769.49 +1.5%Oct 13, 2025
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$772$659.01 -12.9%Aug 13, 2025
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$766$714.88 -13.6%Jun 3, 2025
JefferiesRob Dickerson$715$541.15 -19.3%Nov 19, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$688$526.54 -22.4%Nov 7, 2024
Deutsche BankGeorge Hill$579$479.16 -34.7%Sep 25, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$531$505 -40.1%Sep 24, 2024
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$535$511.17 -39.6%Sep 13, 2024
Leerink PartnersMichael Cherny$665$514.75 -25.0%Sep 6, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesMichael Cherny$635$526.5 -28.4%Sep 5, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnn Hynes$570$617.51 -35.7%Aug 8, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$694$589.53 -21.7%Jul 9, 2024
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$670$608.72 -24.4%Jun 24, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$679$549.26 -23.4%May 29, 2024
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$570$527.28 -35.7%Apr 10, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$603$534.79 -32.0%Apr 5, 2024
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$567$494.01 -36.0%Feb 8, 2024
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$480$515.03 -45.9%Feb 7, 2024
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$426$370.98 -51.9%Feb 2, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$420$384.01 -52.6%Jan 6, 2023
UBSKevin Caliendo$380$322.86 -57.1%May 23, 2022
Morgan StanleyRicky Goldwasser$370$323.25 -58.3%Apr 16, 2022
Robert W. BairdEric Coldwell$340$258.02 -61.6%Feb 2, 2022
Morgan StanleyRicky Goldwasser$292$232.69 -67.1%Dec 17, 2021
BarclaysSteven Valiquette$290$230.35 -67.3%Dec 9, 2021
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$270$219.39 -69.5%Nov 8, 2021
Goldman SachsRobert Jones$257$195.97 -71.0%May 7, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

McKesson Corporation is a prominent global provider of healthcare services, operating extensively in both the United States and international markets. Its diverse operations are strategically organized into four key business segments. The U.S. Pharmaceutical division plays a crucial role in the distribution of a comprehensive array of pharmaceutical products, encompassing branded, generic, specialty, biosimilar, and over-the-counter medications, alongside other health-related merchandise. This segment also delivers specialized support to community-based oncology and other specialty medical practices through practice management tools, technology solutions, clinical guidance, and broader business services. Furthermore, it assists pharmacies with consulting, outsourcing, and technology services, while also furnishing financial, operational, and clinical software solutions.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-21T15:19:38.960143+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T01:40:52.079903+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T01:40:52.076988+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.