Microchip Technology Incorporated · MCHP · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026

Microchip beats guidance as data center drives Q2 FY2027 growth

Microchip's Q2 evidence supports a constructive growth narrative: data center was a major driver, other end markets improved, and management maintained an ambitious near-term outlook. The counterevidence is that supply constraints, inventory normalization, one-time pricing and licensing benefits, and uncertain demand durability make the next-year trajectory dependent on execution and sustained demand.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $40.61B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.76 Consensus $0.70
EPS surprise +8.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.48B Consensus $1.46B
Revenue surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +13.9% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +13.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.4% Up to 20 sessions
MCHPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the narrative shifted from recovery supported by automotive Ethernet, FPGA, licensing, memory, and PCIe design wins to a stronger data-center-led upturn. Management added the Hailo acquisition to its AI-on-edge roadmap, reported ongoing capacity constraints, and continued to emphasize debt reduction and roughly $100 million of FY27 capex.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, reaffirming an 8% sequential revenue rise and 66–67% non-GAAP gross-margin guidance for Q3.

Key takeaways

  • Microchip's Q2 FY2027 results beat the high end of guidance, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.76 and revenue of $1.485 billion.
  • Data-center sales grew 97% year over year and management highlighted a pipeline that could take exposure to about $1 billion.
  • Industrial, aerospace and defense, and automotive demand also showed strength, broadening the growth contribution.
  • Supply constraints, inventory normalization, and one-time pricing and licensing benefits complicate the durability of the current margin and sales trajectory.

Management priorities

  • Launch and ramp PCIe Gen6 switches, retimers, and NVMe controllers in FY27.
  • Integrate the Hailo acquisition into the AI-on-edge product roadmap.
  • Continue debt reduction while keeping FY27 capital spending around $100 million.
  • Expand internal capacity and testing capabilities while improving visibility into end-market sales and design wins.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MCHP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1.04 Q3 '24 actual $1.08, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.57 Q4 '24 actual $0.57, match Q1 '25 estimate $0.52 Q1 '25 actual $0.53, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.43 Q2 '25 actual $0.46, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.24 Q1 '26 actual $0.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.33 Q2 '26 actual $0.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.43 Q3 '26 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.51 Q4 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.70 Q1 '27 actual $0.76, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.93 Q3 '27 estimate $0.81 Q4 '27 estimate $1.00
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3068.2%
Neutral1431.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$74.78Previous close
$61Low
$95.1Average
$135High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 21, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $74.78. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$90$84.81 +20.4%Aug 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$74.36 +60.5%Aug 7, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$100$74.36 +33.7%Aug 7, 2026
Wells FargoJoe Quatrochi$88$80.96 +17.7%Jul 20, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$105$99.09 +40.4%May 11, 2026
See 74 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Microchip Technology Incorporated creates, produces, and sells intelligent, interconnected, and secure embedded control solutions to customers throughout the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The company's core offerings include a range of microcontrollers, such as general-purpose 8-bit, 16-bit, and 32-bit models, as well as 32-bit embedded microprocessors. These specialized microcontrollers are designed for numerous applications across industries like automotive, industrial, computing, communications, lighting, power supplies, motor control, human-machine interfaces, security, and various wired and wireless connectivity needs. Beyond its processors, Microchip provides development tools that enable system designers to program its microcontroller and microprocessor units for specific tasks. Its product lineup also features Field-Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) and a broad selection of analog, interface, mixed-signal, and timing components.…

Historical context

All MCHP earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-09T00:14:34.720340+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T07:10:52.507909+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T07:10:52.504963+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.