Microchip Technology Incorporated · MCHP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2025

Microchip pairs stronger demand with a margin-recovery plan

The quarter supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: demand improved across data-center, MCU and analog markets, and Gen 6 Switchtec creates a potential growth avenue. The thesis still depends on converting that demand into better margins as inventory and fab-utilization charges recede.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $42.78B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.35 Consensus $0.33
EPS surprise +5.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.14B Consensus $1.13B
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.2% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -5.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +19.7% Up to 20 sessions
MCHPSPY benchmark

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What changed

Microchip delivered sequential sales growth and introduced its 3-nm PCIe Gen 6 Switchtec, but reported margin pressure from inventory write-offs and underutilization. Management maintained guidance and pointed to future improvement from fab right-sizing and lower inventory.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained: December sales were indicated slightly lower sequentially, with non-GAAP margin of 57%-59%.

Key takeaways

  • Sequential sales growth was driven by data-center, MCU and analog demand.
  • The 3-nm PCIe Gen 6 Switchtec expands the AI and hyperscale opportunity.
  • Inventory write-offs and underutilization charges remain a near-term margin drag.

Management priorities

  • Ramp Fab 4 and Fab 5 while progressing the Fab 2 sale
  • Launch and ramp Gen 6 Switchtec production
  • Reduce inventory and underutilization to support margin recovery

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MCHP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $0.57 Q4 '24 actual $0.57, match Q1 '25 estimate $0.52 Q1 '25 actual $0.53, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.43 Q2 '25 actual $0.46, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.24 Q1 '26 actual $0.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.33 Q2 '26 actual $0.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.43 Q3 '26 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.51 Q4 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.70 Q1 '27 actual $0.76, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.93 Q3 '27 estimate $0.81 Q4 '27 estimate $0.87
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3068.2%
Neutral1431.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$77.77Current
$61Low
$95.1Average
$135High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 21, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 20, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 13, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 11, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainMay 8, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainMay 8, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 8, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 8, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 6, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 21, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 15, 2026
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainJan 12, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJan 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJan 6, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainAug 8, 2025
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 8, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 10, 2025
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainNov 6, 2024
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJan 18, 2024
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 3, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 3, 2022
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 23, 2021
B. Riley FBR Buy BuyMaintainFeb 5, 2021
Vertical Research Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 3, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJun 3, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 8, 2020
B. Riley Buy BuyMaintainNov 6, 2019
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 17, 2018
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2018
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 27, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2017
Summit Redstone Partners Buy HoldUpgradeApr 4, 2017
Summit Insights Group Buy HoldUpgradeApr 4, 2017
CLSA Buy BuyMaintainMay 17, 2016
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2015
Drexel Hamilton Hold BuyDowngradeOct 10, 2014
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeNov 18, 2013
ISI Group Strong Buy BuyUpgradeMar 4, 2013
Miller Tabak Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 16, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $77.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$90$84.81 +15.7%Aug 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$74.36 +54.3%Aug 7, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$100$74.36 +28.6%Aug 7, 2026
Wells FargoJoe Quatrochi$88$80.96 +13.2%Jul 20, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$105$99.09 +35.0%May 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$130$97.97 +67.2%May 8, 2026
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$120$98.64 +54.3%May 8, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$120$99.59 +54.3%May 8, 2026
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$105$98.7 +35.0%May 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$94$99.6 +20.9%May 8, 2026
Raymond JamesMelissa Fairbanks$125$99.58 +60.7%May 8, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$117$101.14 +50.4%May 8, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$112$101.58 +44.0%May 8, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$135$101.58 +73.6%May 8, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$120$101.58 +54.3%May 8, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$80$80.75 +2.9%Feb 12, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$69$76.86 -11.3%Feb 10, 2026
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$90$75.58 +15.7%Feb 6, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldMatthew Prisco$100$75.54 +28.6%Feb 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$68$75.28 -12.6%Feb 6, 2026
KeyBancJohn Vinh$85$75.96 +9.3%Feb 6, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$93$74.21 +19.6%Feb 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$90$78.04 +15.7%Feb 6, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$84$78.04 +8.0%Feb 6, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$100$77.12 +28.6%Feb 2, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$95$74.7 +22.2%Jan 26, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$90$74.91 +15.7%Jan 22, 2026
BNP ParibasDavid O'Connor$90$76.2 +15.7%Jan 22, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$78$75.51 +0.3%Jan 21, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$85$74.68 +9.3%Jan 15, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$83$74.06 +6.7%Jan 9, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$69$74.87 -11.3%Jan 7, 2026
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$80$67.06 +2.9%Jan 6, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$85$67.06 +9.3%Jan 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$80$67.2 +2.9%Dec 16, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldCJ Muse$85$67.2 +9.3%Dec 16, 2025
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$75$63.99 -3.6%Dec 4, 2025
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$60$56.28 -22.8%Nov 9, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$65$55.34 -16.4%Nov 7, 2025
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$68$60.25 -12.6%Nov 4, 2025
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$77$62.97 -1.0%Aug 8, 2025
Raymond JamesMelissa Fairbanks$75$61.87 -3.6%Aug 8, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldMatthew Prisco$70$68.02 -10.0%Jun 18, 2025
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$83$67.93 +6.7%Jun 12, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$43$39.43 -44.7%Apr 21, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$68$58.14 -12.6%Mar 4, 2025
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$58$52.6 -25.4%Feb 4, 2025
KeyBancWeston Twigg$90$70.31 +15.7%Dec 3, 2024
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$71$74.4 -8.7%Nov 6, 2024
NeedhamRajvindra Gill$85$74.4 +9.3%Nov 6, 2024
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$95$74.4 +22.2%Nov 6, 2024
KeyBancWeston Twigg$95$74.4 +22.2%Nov 6, 2024
Raymond JamesMelissa Fairbanks$95$74.4 +22.2%Nov 6, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$95$76.58 +22.2%Oct 18, 2024
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$80$77.01 +2.9%Sep 23, 2024
CitigroupChristopher Danely$92$80.28 +18.3%Aug 21, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesHans Mosesmann$90$74.67 +15.7%Aug 5, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$115$98.14 +47.9%May 23, 2024
Piper SandlerHarsh Kumar$90$93.02 +15.7%May 7, 2024
NeedhamRajvindra Gill$100$93.76 +28.6%May 7, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$85$93.76 +9.3%May 7, 2024
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$106$85.7 +36.3%Apr 15, 2024
Wolfe ResearchChris Caso$105$83.34 +35.0%Jan 17, 2024
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$85$76.94 +9.3%Nov 16, 2022
Piper SandlerHarsh Kumar$80$59.46 +2.9%Nov 3, 2022
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$61$65.31 -21.6%Jul 27, 2022
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$75$59.45 -3.6%Jun 28, 2022
BMO CapitalAmbrish Srivastava$85$68.25 +9.3%May 11, 2022
Wells FargoGary Mobley$80$72.92 +2.9%Feb 4, 2022
B.Riley FinancialCraig Ellis$105$72.92 +35.0%Feb 4, 2022
NeedhamRajvindra Gill$105$72.92 +35.0%Feb 4, 2022
Cowen & Co.Matt Ramsay$78$72.92 +0.3%Feb 4, 2022
BMO CapitalAmbrish Srivastava$95$72.92 +22.2%Feb 4, 2022
CitigroupChristopher Danely$78$72.92 +0.3%Feb 4, 2022
Raymond JamesChris Caso$110$85.22 +41.4%Nov 5, 2021
Credit SuisseJohn Pitzer$120$85.22 +54.3%Nov 5, 2021
Piper SandlerHarsh Kumar$100$85.22 +28.6%Nov 5, 2021
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$100$85.22 +28.6%Nov 5, 2021
KeyBancJohn Vinh$92.5$72.38 +18.9%Jul 6, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Microchip Technology Incorporated creates, produces, and sells intelligent, interconnected, and secure embedded control solutions to customers throughout the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The company's core offerings include a range of microcontrollers, such as general-purpose 8-bit, 16-bit, and 32-bit models, as well as 32-bit embedded microprocessors. These specialized microcontrollers are designed for numerous applications across industries like automotive, industrial, computing, communications, lighting, power supplies, motor control, human-machine interfaces, security, and various wired and wireless connectivity needs. Beyond its processors, Microchip provides development tools that enable system designers to program its microcontroller and microprocessor units for specific tasks. Its product lineup also features Field-Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) and a broad selection of analog, interface, mixed-signal, and timing components.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T01:16:03.752094+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T01:16:03.748963+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.