Microchip Technology Incorporated · MCHP · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2025
Microchip’s recovery plan faces an inventory and margin test
The supplied analysis supports a recovery case built on inventory normalization, restructuring, and new-product design wins, but the evidence is not yet conclusive: revenue remains weak, margins face utilization and reserve pressure, and cash flow is strained. The next proof points are execution of the restructuring plan, inventory reduction, and conversion of product activity into demand and healthier operating leverage.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Management’s emphasis shifted from managing a prolonged inventory downturn toward executing a more defined restructuring program, including Fab Two closure, capacity realignment, inventory reduction, and channel redesign. The company also highlighted a broader pipeline of RISC-V, Wi-Fi, automotive networking, and aerospace products, while acknowledging near-term margin, expense, and cash-flow pressure.
Guidance delta
Guidance was maintained, with the next-quarter outlook calling for a modest sales recovery while still reflecting margin and operating-expense pressure.
Key takeaways
- Management described a nine-point restructuring plan centered on fab right-sizing, inventory reduction, and channel changes.
- New RISC-V, Wi-Fi, automotive networking, and aerospace products are intended to support longer-term growth.
- The near-term setup remains constrained by weak revenue, elevated inventory, utilization costs, and higher operating expenses.
- The dividend was maintained despite short-term free-cash-flow pressure.
Management priorities
- Execute the nine-point restructuring plan and close Fab Two.
- Reduce excess inventory and improve fab utilization.
- Advance new product introductions and regain design momentum with key accounts.
- Improve free cash flow while maintaining the dividend.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 21, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Rosenblatt | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 20, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 11, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | May 8, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 8, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 8, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 8, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 6, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 15, 2026 |
| B. Riley Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Maintain | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Jan 18, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2022 |
| Longbow Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 23, 2021 |
| B. Riley FBR | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 5, 2021 |
| Vertical Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 3, 2021 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 3, 2020 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 8, 2020 |
| B. Riley | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 6, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 17, 2018 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 10, 2018 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 27, 2018 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 6, 2017 |
| Summit Redstone Partners | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 4, 2017 |
| Summit Insights Group | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 4, 2017 |
| CLSA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 17, 2016 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 4, 2015 |
| Drexel Hamilton | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 10, 2014 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Nov 18, 2013 |
| ISI Group | Strong Buy | Buy | Upgrade | Mar 4, 2013 |
| Miller Tabak | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 16, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $81.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $84.81 | +10.8% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $74.36 | +47.7% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $74.36 | +23.1% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Joe Quatrochi | $88 | $80.96 | +8.3% | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tom O'Malley | $105 | $99.09 | +29.2% | May 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $97.97 | +60.0% | May 8, 2026 |
| Needham | Quinn Bolton | $120 | $98.64 | +47.7% | May 8, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $99.59 | +47.7% | May 8, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $105 | $98.7 | +29.2% | May 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $99.6 | +15.7% | May 8, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Melissa Fairbanks | $125 | $99.58 | +53.8% | May 8, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Mark Lipacis | $117 | $101.14 | +44.0% | May 8, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $112 | $101.58 | +37.8% | May 8, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $135 | $101.58 | +66.1% | May 8, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $101.58 | +47.7% | May 8, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tom O'Malley | $80 | $80.75 | -1.6% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $69 | $76.86 | -15.1% | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Tore Svanberg | $90 | $75.58 | +10.8% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Matthew Prisco | $100 | $75.54 | +23.1% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $75.28 | -16.3% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | John Vinh | $85 | $75.96 | +4.6% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Mark Lipacis | $93 | $74.21 | +14.4% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $78.04 | +10.8% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $84 | $78.04 | +3.4% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Industrial Alliance Securities | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $77.12 | +23.1% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $74.7 | +16.9% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $74.91 | +10.8% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | David O'Connor | $90 | $76.2 | +10.8% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $78 | $75.51 | -4.0% | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $74.68 | +4.6% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $83 | $74.06 | +2.1% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $69 | $74.87 | -15.1% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Tore Svanberg | $80 | $67.06 | -1.6% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $67.06 | +4.6% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $80 | $67.2 | -1.6% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | CJ Muse | $85 | $67.2 | +4.6% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $63.99 | -7.7% | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $60 | $56.28 | -26.2% | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $55.34 | -20.0% | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $68 | $60.25 | -16.3% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Needham | Quinn Bolton | $77 | $62.97 | -5.2% | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Melissa Fairbanks | $75 | $61.87 | -7.7% | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Matthew Prisco | $70 | $68.02 | -13.9% | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Mark Lipacis | $83 | $67.93 | +2.1% | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $39.43 | -47.1% | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $58.14 | -16.3% | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $58 | $52.6 | -28.6% | Feb 4, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Weston Twigg | $90 | $70.31 | +10.8% | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $71 | $74.4 | -12.6% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Needham | Rajvindra Gill | $85 | $74.4 | +4.6% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Mark Lipacis | $95 | $74.4 | +16.9% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Weston Twigg | $95 | $74.4 | +16.9% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Melissa Fairbanks | $95 | $74.4 | +16.9% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $95 | $76.58 | +16.9% | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | William Stein | $80 | $77.01 | -1.6% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Christopher Danely | $92 | $80.28 | +13.2% | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Rosenblatt Securities | Hans Mosesmann | $90 | $74.67 | +10.8% | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $115 | $98.14 | +41.5% | May 23, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Harsh Kumar | $90 | $93.02 | +10.8% | May 7, 2024 |
| Needham | Rajvindra Gill | $100 | $93.76 | +23.1% | May 7, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vijay Rakesh | $85 | $93.76 | +4.6% | May 7, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Mark Lipacis | $106 | $85.7 | +30.4% | Apr 15, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Chris Caso | $105 | $83.34 | +29.2% | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $76.94 | +4.6% | Nov 16, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Harsh Kumar | $80 | $59.46 | -1.6% | Nov 3, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Toshiya Hari | $61 | $65.31 | -24.9% | Jul 27, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Tore Svanberg | $75 | $59.45 | -7.7% | Jun 28, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Ambrish Srivastava | $85 | $68.25 | +4.6% | May 11, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Gary Mobley | $80 | $72.92 | -1.6% | Feb 4, 2022 |
| B.Riley Financial | Craig Ellis | $105 | $72.92 | +29.2% | Feb 4, 2022 |
| Needham | Rajvindra Gill | $105 | $72.92 | +29.2% | Feb 4, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Matt Ramsay | $78 | $72.92 | -4.0% | Feb 4, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Ambrish Srivastava | $95 | $72.92 | +16.9% | Feb 4, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Christopher Danely | $78 | $72.92 | -4.0% | Feb 4, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Chris Caso | $110 | $85.22 | +35.4% | Nov 5, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | John Pitzer | $120 | $85.22 | +47.7% | Nov 5, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | Harsh Kumar | $100 | $85.22 | +23.1% | Nov 5, 2021 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joseph Moore | $100 | $85.22 | +23.1% | Nov 5, 2021 |
| KeyBanc | John Vinh | $92.5 | $72.38 | +13.8% | Jul 6, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationMicrochip Technology Incorporated creates, produces, and sells intelligent, interconnected, and secure embedded control solutions to customers throughout the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The company's core offerings include a range of microcontrollers, such as general-purpose 8-bit, 16-bit, and 32-bit models, as well as 32-bit embedded microprocessors. These specialized microcontrollers are designed for numerous applications across industries like automotive, industrial, computing, communications, lighting, power supplies, motor control, human-machine interfaces, security, and various wired and wireless connectivity needs. Beyond its processors, Microchip provides development tools that enable system designers to program its microcontroller and microprocessor units for specific tasks. Its product lineup also features Field-Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) and a broad selection of analog, interface, mixed-signal, and timing components.…
Historical context
All MCHP earningsTechnology peers this season
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Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- LWFY2027 Q1 · October 6, 2026+27.8% EPS+7.5% move
- RPMFY2027 Q1 · October 6, 2026+1.5% EPS+3.2% move
- ACNFY2026 Q4 · October 1, 2026+3.5% EPS+15.8% move
- MKCFY2026 Q3 · October 1, 2026+13.9% EPS-4.9% move
- NKEFY2027 Q1 · October 1, 2026+10.0% EPS-0.7% move
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-23T00:02:36.799981+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T09:30:44.101845+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T09:30:44.099008+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.