Masco Corporation · MAS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Masco lowers EPS outlook as tariffs and demand weigh

The quarter provides mixed evidence for a resilient-demand thesis: repair-and-remodel drivers and targeted product initiatives remain supportive, but softer demand and higher tariffs led to narrower full-year EPS guidance.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $13.50B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.97 Consensus $1.02
EPS surprise -4.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.92B Consensus $1.82B
Revenue surprise +5.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.7% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -4.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.2% Up to 20 sessions
MASSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management shifted from maintained guidance to a narrowed lower-end outlook, while emphasizing tariff costs, soft DIY paint demand and inventory-related timing issues. Growth priorities remained focused on plumbing innovation, sustainable paints and PRO Paint.

Guidance delta

FY adjusted EPS guidance narrowed to $3.90-$3.95 from the prior quarter's $3.90-$4.10 range, reflecting softer demand and higher tariffs.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 net sales declined 3%, or 2% excluding the Kichler divestiture, while operating margin held at 16.3%.
  • Management highlighted luxury faucets, water filtration, sustainable paints and the Home Depot PRO Paint partnership as growth initiatives.
  • Tariff mitigation relies on sourcing changes, pricing and cost reductions, while soft DIY paint demand remains a headwind.
  • Strong cash generation supported $188 million of dividends and share repurchases; $500 million was earmarked for buybacks or bolt-on acquisitions.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate tariff mitigation through sourcing changes, pricing and cost reductions
  • Expand luxury faucets and water-filtration products
  • Roll out sustainable paint products
  • Grow PRO Paint through the Home Depot partnership
  • Pursue bolt-on acquisitions while maintaining share repurchases

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MAS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish1951.4%
Neutral1643.2%
Bearish25.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$68.46Previous close
$54Low
$77.85Average
$97High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeJul 30, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $68.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$80$73.19 +16.9%Aug 24, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$74$73.26 +8.1%Aug 3, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$94$71.29 +37.3%Jul 30, 2026
Wells FargoSam Reid$87$76.2 +27.1%Jul 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$82$76.2 +19.8%Jul 14, 2026
See 49 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Masco Corporation is a prominent global manufacturer and distributor of home improvement and building products, serving markets across North America, Europe, and other international regions. The company operates through two main segments. Its Plumbing Products division offers a vast array of items, from fixtures like faucets, showerheads, and valves to comprehensive bathing solutions such as tubs, shower bases, sinks, and toilets. This segment also provides high-end offerings like spas, exercise pools, and fitness systems, alongside crucial plumbing system components made from brass, copper, and composites, as well as connected water technologies, thermoplastic solutions, and PEX tubing. These products are sold under numerous recognized brands, including DELTA, HANSGROHE, KRAUS, HOT SPRING, and ENDLESS POOLS. The Decorative Architectural Products segment enhances both the aesthetic and functional aspects of homes.…

Historical context

All MAS earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T08:20:43.490346+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T08:20:43.487839+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.