Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. · MAA · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

MAA Keeps FFO Guidance as Demand Holds, Revenue Outlook Eases

MAA's Q2 evidence supports a resilient-demand thesis: absorption, turnover, expense control, renovations, and Wi-Fi initiatives were constructive. The case is tempered by lower revenue assumptions, slower new-lease pricing, market-specific supply pressure, and financing needs.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $13.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.07 Consensus $0.76
EPS surprise +41.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $555.1M Consensus $556.2M
Revenue surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.0% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -4.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.4% Up to 20 sessions
MAASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management highlighted stronger demand indicators and expanded the development pipeline, while moving to an increasing capex outlook. Revenue assumptions were trimmed even as core FFO guidance stayed intact; planned starts and renovation and Wi-Fi initiatives were advanced.

Guidance delta

Full-year core FFO guidance was maintained, while revenue assumptions were lowered.

Key takeaways

  • Management described resilient demand, strong absorption, and record-low turnover.
  • Expense discipline, renovations, and community Wi-Fi supported operating performance.
  • The development pipeline expanded, but supply and slower new-lease pricing remain constraints.

Management priorities

  • Advance planned development starts and expand the development pipeline.
  • Accelerate interior unit upgrades and community Wi-Fi rollout.
  • Continue redevelopment while balancing development, repurchases, and acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MAA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.23 Q1 '24 actual $2.22, match Q2 '24 estimate $2.20 Q2 '24 actual $2.22, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.18 Q3 '24 actual $2.21, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.14 Q2 '25 actual $2.15, match Q3 '25 estimate $2.17 Q3 '25 actual $2.16, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.22 Q4 '25 actual $2.23, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.83 Q1 '26 actual $1.09, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.76 Q2 '26 actual $1.07, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.77 Q4 '26 estimate $0.85 Q1 '27 estimate $0.77
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1748.6%
Neutral1645.7%
Bearish25.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$119.1Current
$123Low
$150.33Average
$225High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 17, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Underperform Sector UnderperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 1, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 14, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 6, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainMar 2, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 11, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainFeb 6, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 9, 2026
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainMay 22, 2025
Raymond James Outperform Strong BuyDowngradeMay 15, 2025
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 1, 2025
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeMar 10, 2025
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainSep 10, 2024
B of A Securities Buy UnderperformUpgradeAug 12, 2024
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2024
Janney Montgomery Scott Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 13, 2024
Colliers Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 28, 2023
Wolfe Research Underperform Peer PerformDowngradeMay 15, 2023
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 19, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeJan 9, 2023
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold BuyDowngradeJun 18, 2020
Janney Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 4, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeAug 3, 2018
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeAug 3, 2018
BTIG Research Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 31, 2018
DA Davidson Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 17, 2016
Oppenheimer Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 4, 2016
Hilliard Lyons Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 10, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $119.1. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$123$118.36 +3.3%Sep 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$125$121.76 +5.0%Sep 17, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$132$121.9 +10.8%Sep 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$129$125.6 +8.3%Sep 15, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$129$124.79 +8.3%Sep 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$140$128.32 +17.5%Sep 8, 2026
Wells FargoJames Feldman$146$128.85 +22.6%Sep 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$146$133.49 +22.6%Aug 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyAdam Kramer$147$131.74 +23.4%Aug 12, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$134$132.05 +12.5%Aug 4, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$140$133.8 +17.5%Aug 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$130$134.87 +9.2%Jul 30, 2026
Wells FargoJames Feldman$148$132.24 +24.3%Jul 22, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$143$133.71 +20.1%Jul 21, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$137$133.71 +15.0%Jul 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$147$135.89 +23.4%Jul 14, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$137$137.05 +15.0%Jul 9, 2026
Morgan StanleyAdam Kramer$155$137.36 +30.1%Jun 25, 2026
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$129$133.89 +8.3%Jun 18, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$152$138.91 +27.6%Jun 10, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$132$137.6 +10.8%Jun 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAdam Kramer$150$126.58 +25.9%May 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$132$128.71 +10.8%May 14, 2026
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$120$129.34 +0.8%May 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$139$129.31 +16.7%May 11, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$132$128.56 +10.8%May 4, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$137$125.66 +15.0%Apr 27, 2026
Truist FinancialAnthony Hau$142$129.97 +19.2%Mar 10, 2026
KeyBancAustin Wurschmidt$155$137.32 +30.1%Feb 11, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$141$132.11 +18.4%Feb 9, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$136$131.02 +14.2%Feb 6, 2026
Colliers SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$145$130.72 +21.7%Feb 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$139$135.38 +16.7%Jan 21, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$144$133.42 +20.9%Jan 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$150$135.47 +25.9%Jan 12, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$158$138.54 +32.7%Jan 9, 2026
UBSMichael Goldsmith$134$134.98 +12.5%Jan 8, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$137$139.13 +15.0%Jan 5, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$143$132.6 +20.1%Dec 15, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$142$132.86 +19.2%Dec 5, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$150$135.07 +25.9%Nov 25, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$142$133.31 +19.2%Nov 25, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$146$133.61 +22.6%Nov 24, 2025
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$146$129.38 +22.6%Nov 10, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$144$126.36 +20.9%Nov 3, 2025
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$140$128.23 +17.5%Nov 3, 2025
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$153$134.94 +28.5%Oct 13, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$157$134.55 +31.8%Oct 13, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Andeson$150$139.73 +25.9%Oct 1, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$155$138.61 +30.1%Sep 30, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$154$142.2 +29.3%Sep 15, 2025
RBC CapitalBrad Heffern$158$148.26 +32.7%Jan 9, 2025
Raymond JamesStrong Buy$175$154.59 +46.9%Oct 21, 2024
BTIGMichael Gorman$160$152.69 +34.3%Oct 17, 2024
Deutsche BankOmotayo Okusanya$163$160.3 +36.9%Sep 10, 2024
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$167$156.66 +40.2%Aug 26, 2024
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$161$156.66 +35.2%Aug 26, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesJoshua Dennerlein$189$153.07 +58.7%Aug 12, 2024
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$226$172.53 +89.8%May 19, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$222$206.13 +86.4%Apr 29, 2022
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$225$202.42 +88.9%Nov 2, 2021
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$235$203.18 +97.3%Oct 29, 2021
Goldman SachsChandni Luthra$202$189.27 +69.6%Sep 23, 2021
JefferiesJonathan Petersen$205$181.68 +72.1%Jul 15, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Mid-America Apartment Communities, known as MAA, is a prominent S&P 500 entity operating as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). Its core objective is to generate outstanding, comprehensive investment returns for its shareholders. MAA achieves this by strategically acquiring, developing, redeveloping, owning, and managing high-quality apartment complexes. These properties are primarily located across the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. As of December 31, 2020, the company held an interest in 102,772 apartment units, a figure that includes communities currently under development, spread throughout 16 states and the District of Columbia.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T18:08:43.237780+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T13:30:54.912395+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T13:30:54.909284+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.