LyondellBasell Industries N.V. · LYB · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

LyondellBasell emphasizes cost control amid a prolonged downturn

The supplied analysis supports a resilience-through-restructuring thesis rather than a demand-led growth thesis: cost actions, a low-cost feedstock position and selective projects may strengthen the portfolio, but weak industry conditions and execution risks remain decisive.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $19.37B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.43
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $7.45B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.3% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.6% Up to 20 sessions
LYBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the emphasis shifted toward executing the cash-improvement plan, advancing Flex-2 and MoReTec-2, and resolving the European asset review while guidance sentiment remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis indicates no change in guidance sentiment from the prior quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Management's near-term response centers on portfolio restructuring, cost reduction and cash improvement.
  • Flex-2 and MoReTec remain the main longer-term growth projects in the supplied analysis.
  • The investment case is balanced by trade-policy, demand and project-execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute the cash-improvement plan across capex, working capital and fixed costs.
  • Advance Flex-2 construction and MoReTec-2 engineering and commitments.
  • Complete the European strategic review and refine the asset base.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LYB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $10B Q4 '23 actual $11B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $10B Q1 '24 actual $10B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $10B Q2 '24 actual $11B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $11B Q3 '24 actual $10B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $8B Q2 '25 actual $8B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $7B Q3 '25 actual $8B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '26 actual $7B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $9B Q2 '26 actual $9B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $9B Q4 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold39 ratings
Bullish1846.1%
Neutral1743.6%
Bearish410.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$60.01Previous close
$43Low
$86.27Average
$146High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 13, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 30, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 25, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeAug 3, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $60.01. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$68$59.76 +13.3%Oct 13, 2026
BarclaysAleksey Yefremov$66$59.41 +10.0%Oct 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$62$59.42 +3.3%Sep 25, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$72$61.11 +20.0%Aug 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$64$59.31 +6.6%Aug 4, 2026
See 91 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

LyondellBasell Industries N.V., established in 2009 and based in Houston, Texas, operates as a prominent global chemical manufacturer with a significant international footprint, including the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, and the Netherlands. The company's diverse operations are organized into six distinct segments. Its core business involves the production and marketing of olefins and various polyolefins, such as high, low, and linear low-density polyethylene, along with polypropylene homopolymers and copolymers, for markets spanning the Americas…

Historical context

All LYB earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
RPM RPM International Inc. FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 +1.5% +3.2% RPM posts record quarter, but input costs narrow the outlook

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-11T00:04:52.040594+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T09:10:43.429088+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T09:10:43.426138+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.