Lam Research Corporation · LRCX · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2025

Lam Research: AI and memory demand support a confident outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: AI-linked logic, advanced packaging, and memory upgrades can sustain growth, while China restrictions, CSBG mix, and NAND timing remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $330.30B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.87
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.32B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.4% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +6.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.9% Up to 20 sessions
LRCXSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about LRCX FY2025 Q2

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis remains confident and maintains guidance, while adding emphasis on Cryo 3.0 upgrades, Aether dry-resist adoption at a leading memory customer, and Dextro Cobot deployment. Compared with the prior analysis, the main continuity is the AI, advanced-packaging, and NAND-upgrade growth thesis; the main constraints remain China exposure, margin mix, and service-business softness.

Guidance delta

Maintained. The supplied analysis describes Q1 2025 revenue guidance of $4.65B plus or minus $0.3B, approximately 48% gross margin, 32% operating margin, and $1 EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Management linked growth to AI-driven gate-all-around, advanced packaging, and NAND upgrade demand.
  • Margin expansion was attributed to low-cost manufacturing in Malaysia and scaling Asian operations.
  • New product activity includes Cryo 3.0, Aether dry-resist, and Dextro Cobot service automation.
  • CSBG is expected to be flat in 2025, with upgrades partly offsetting a Reliant decline.

Management priorities

  • Expand deposition, etch, and advanced-packaging capabilities.
  • Roll out Cryo 3.0, Aether dry-resist, and Dextro Cobot offerings.
  • Continue R&D and digital-transformation investment.
  • Address customer needs across Asia and the United States while managing China restrictions.

Follow LRCX with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LRCX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $4B Q4 '24 actual $4B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $4B Q1 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q3 '26 actual $6B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q4 '26 actual $7B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $8B Q2 '27 estimate $8B Q3 '27 estimate $8B
Show less

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish3880.9%
Neutral817.0%
Bearish12.1%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$263.94Current
$54.3Low
$240.73Average
$575High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 43 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $263.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyShane Brett$385$347.49 +45.9%Oct 5, 2026
Fundamental ResearchAnalyst unavailable$390$336.72 +47.8%Oct 1, 2026
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$420$320.42 +59.1%Sep 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$425$301.49 +61.0%Sep 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$365$310.17 +38.3%Aug 25, 2026
See 133 more

Track every rating change on LRCX the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Lam Research Corporation is a prominent supplier of equipment vital for semiconductor processing, encompassing its design, production, sales, repair, and ongoing maintenance. These sophisticated systems are fundamental for the creation of integrated circuits. The company's extensive product catalog features a variety of deposition technologies. For tungsten metallization, they provide ALTUS systems that deposit conformal films. SABRE products excel in electrochemical deposition, crucial for copper interconnect transitions and enabling copper damascene manufacturing. SOLA utilizes ultraviolet thermal processing for film treatments, while VECTOR delivers plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (CVD) and atomic layer deposition (ALD) solutions. Furthermore, SPEED addresses gapfill applications with its high-density plasma CVD products, and Striker is engineered for single-wafer atomic layer deposition of dielectric films.…

Historical context

All LRCX earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the LRCX recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-15T00:03:22.707476+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T04:10:45.074318+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T04:10:45.070440+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.