Lowe's Companies, Inc. · LOW · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Lowe's: Pro Momentum and AI Offset Acquisition Dilution

Lowe's current analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: Pro growth, omnichannel execution, AI-enabled productivity, and acquisition cross-selling are advancing, but housing weakness and integration dilution remain material constraints.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $107.34B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.98 Consensus $1.94
EPS surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $20.58B Consensus $20.34B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.6% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -6.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.2% Up to 20 sessions
LOWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management emphasized that operating margin held flat despite acquisition dilution, Pro growth was accelerating, online sales remained strong, and FBM and ADG integration was on track. The tone remains more cautious around housing demand.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its fiscal 2026 guidance while acknowledging volatile housing conditions and elevated mortgage rates.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted operating margin held flat despite acquisition dilution, supported by productivity initiatives.
  • Pro growth is accelerating, helped by the expanded DEWALT assortment and new AI tools.
  • Online sales grew by more than 10% and holiday-season records reinforced the omnichannel strategy.
  • FBM and ADG integration is on track, adding cross-selling opportunities alongside execution risk.

Management priorities

  • Roll out additional AI tools for associates and customers, including Pro Companion.
  • Expand the Pro brand offering and DEWALT power-tool assortment.
  • Scale Lowe's Media Network to monetize supplier partnerships.
  • Execute cross-selling opportunities among Lowe's, FBM, and ADG.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LOW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $3.03 Q3 '24 actual $3.06, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.68 Q4 '24 actual $1.77, beat Q1 '25 estimate $2.94 Q1 '25 actual $3.06, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.97 Q2 '25 actual $4.10, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.24 Q2 '26 actual $4.33, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.97 Q3 '26 actual $3.06, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.94 Q4 '26 actual $1.98, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2.97 Q1 '27 actual $3.03, beat Q2 '27 estimate $4.22 Q2 '27 actual $4.40, beat Q3 '27 estimate $3.14 Q4 '27 estimate $2.06
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy50 ratings
Bullish3162.0%
Neutral1836.0%
Bearish12.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$188.49Current
$210Low
$262.34Average
$325High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 9, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 9, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 45 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $188.49. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinZhihan Ma$254$201.09 +34.8%Sep 9, 2026
GuggenheimSteven Forbes$275$217.34 +45.9%Aug 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesDavid Bellinger$250$220.71 +32.6%Aug 20, 2026
Truist FinancialScot Ciccarelli$255$215.84 +35.3%May 21, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$232$216.57 +23.1%May 21, 2026
See 96 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its various subsidiary entities, operates as a prominent home improvement retailer serving both the United States and international markets. The company supplies a broad spectrum of items essential for construction, upkeep, renovations, and interior design projects. Its comprehensive product line encompasses major appliances, seasonal and outdoor living essentials, lawn and garden tools, timber, kitchen and bathroom fixtures, power tools, paints, custom millwork, general hardware, flooring options, plumbing components, building materials, decorative accents, lighting solutions, and electrical supplies.…

Historical context

All LOW earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T19:00:54.073030+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T19:00:54.070263+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.