Linde plc · LIN · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
Linde: Strong electronics demand offsets weak Europe
The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient earnings, a large backlog and strong electronics and commercial-space demand provide support, while Europe, helium pricing, macro uncertainty and execution risks temper the outlook.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shows a larger reported backlog and greater emphasis on electronics and commercial-space growth, alongside continued European weakness. The tone remains confident, but guidance is still cautious and helium pricing is now identified as a specific drag.
Guidance delta
Maintained; management remained cautious, with Q4 EPS guidance of $4.10-$4.20 and full-year revenue growth guidance of 5%-6%.
Key takeaways
- Management described a strong quarter, with EPS of $4.21 and $1.7 billion of free cash flow.
- The backlog was reported at $10 billion, while electronics and commercial space gases were highlighted as growth areas.
- U.S. manufacturing volumes are recovering, but European industrial demand remains soft.
- Guidance stayed cautious amid macro uncertainty, helium pricing pressure, tariffs, tax and FX effects.
Management priorities
- Add capacity for electronics and space gas projects.
- Continue tuck-in acquisitions in packaged gases across the Americas and APAC.
- Expand AI use cases across operations.
- Advance decarbonization projects and maintain disciplined capital allocation.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 28, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 10, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 10, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 17, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 7, 2025 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Erste Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 15, 2022 |
| HSBC | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 15, 2022 |
| Societe Generale | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 17, 2022 |
| Stifel | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 10, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 16, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 11, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Dec 9, 2021 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 18, 2021 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Dec 7, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 7, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 18, 2020 |
| KeyBanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 9, 2019 |
| Evercore Partners | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Aug 25, 2014 |
| Gabelli & Co. | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 24, 2014 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $482.38. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $574 | $479.48 | +19.0% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $538 | $471.79 | +11.5% | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Bernstein | James Hooper | $563 | $463.92 | +16.7% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $542 | $461.62 | +12.4% | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $580 | $487.37 | +20.2% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $546 | $488.14 | +13.2% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bernstein | James Hooper | $564 | $482.46 | +16.9% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Arun Viswanathan | $553 | $482.25 | +14.6% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $612 | $478.38 | +26.9% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $559 | $520.74 | +15.9% | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $525 | $531.79 | +8.8% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $600 | $494.4 | +24.4% | Jun 2, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $560 | $495.09 | +16.1% | May 5, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $570 | $493.55 | +18.2% | May 5, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | David Begleiter | $575 | $499.45 | +19.2% | May 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Arun Viswanathan | $552 | $505.73 | +14.4% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $575 | $492.8 | +19.2% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $579 | $503.3 | +20.0% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $530 | $451.85 | +9.9% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $550 | $452.28 | +14.0% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | John Roberts | $525 | $459.69 | +8.8% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | John McNulty | $501 | $423.51 | +3.9% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Arun Viswanathan | $490 | $412.97 | +1.6% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $495 | $403.32 | +2.6% | Dec 11, 2025 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $500 | $420.67 | +3.7% | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Bernstein | James Hooper | $516 | $418.3 | +7.0% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Michael Harrison | $500 | $418.3 | +3.7% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $507 | $467.61 | +5.1% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Arun Viswanathan | $576 | $465.98 | +19.4% | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Eric Boyes | $490 | $430.2 | +1.6% | Dec 17, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | John McNulty | $507 | $457.31 | +5.1% | Nov 1, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | John McNulty | $477 | $449.94 | -1.1% | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Steve Byrne | $516 | $454 | +7.0% | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Barclays | Michael Leithead | $510 | $454 | +5.7% | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Pat Cunningham | $480 | $443.5 | -0.5% | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | David Begleiter | $510 | $443.5 | +5.7% | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Laurence Alexander | $523 | $440.02 | +8.4% | Jun 20, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | John McNulty | $475 | $425.8 | -1.5% | May 6, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | John Roberts | $512 | $419.62 | +6.1% | May 3, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | John Roberts | $510 | $446.79 | +5.7% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $510 | $467.55 | +5.7% | Mar 27, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $375 | $339.83 | -22.3% | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $418 | $337.12 | -13.3% | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $375 | $330.07 | -22.3% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $402 | $342.01 | -16.7% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $375 | $335.04 | -22.3% | Nov 15, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $320 | $293.37 | -33.7% | Sep 12, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $355 | $290.73 | -26.4% | Jun 16, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Tim Jones | $351.29 | $292.34 | -27.2% | Feb 14, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | John McNulty | $365 | $292.34 | -24.3% | Feb 14, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Chris Parkinson | $339 | $307.62 | -29.7% | Feb 10, 2022 |
| Alembic Global | Hassan Ahmed | $331.71 | $319.88 | -31.2% | Jan 18, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Vincent Andrews | $365 | $335.08 | -24.3% | Jan 11, 2022 |
| Citigroup | PJ Juvekar | $400 | $335.08 | -17.1% | Jan 11, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Michael Sison | $395 | $336.66 | -18.1% | Jan 6, 2022 |
| Societe Generale | Peter Clark | $400 | $343.43 | -17.1% | Jan 4, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Josh Silverstein | $404 | $330.79 | -16.2% | Dec 9, 2021 |
| Evercore ISI | Stephen Richardson | $355 | $329.33 | -26.4% | Dec 7, 2021 |
| Barclays | Duffy Fischer | $380 | $335.06 | -21.2% | Nov 8, 2021 |
| Norddeutsche Landesbank | Thorsten Strauss | $293.65 | $325.17 | -39.1% | Nov 2, 2021 |
| Vertical Research | Kevin McCarthy | $330 | $293.79 | -31.6% | May 18, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationLinde plc functions as a global industrial gas and engineering powerhouse, extending its operations throughout North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company's comprehensive product line features atmospheric gases like oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and various rare gases, alongside a diverse array of process gases such as carbon dioxide, helium, hydrogen, specialized electronic gases, and acetylene. Beyond gas supply, Linde is also adept at designing and constructing turnkey process plants. These engineering solutions serve both third-party customers and its own gas business facilities, covering types like olefin, natural gas, air separation, hydrogen, and synthesis gas plants. Linde's extensive client base spans numerous sectors, including healthcare, energy, general manufacturing, food and beverage carbonation, fiber-optics, steel production, aerospace, chemicals, and water treatment. Established in 1879, the company is headquartered in Woking, United Kingdom.
Historical context
All LIN earningsBasic Materials peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | 0.0% | -6.2% | Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain |
Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T02:30:42.968612+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T02:30:42.965518+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.